The 2nd game Memphis vs Utah State is the biggest mismatch IMO on the bowl schedule.
Utah St. is 110th overall on SP+
Memphis is 48th.
The biggest differential between these teams is Memphis Offense (18th) vs Utah St D (118th).
Memphis should be able to move the ball at will. Their passing attack is 19th in the country.
For Utah St to have chance, they will have to pass the ball and that isn't too likely with their QB#3 starting the game. They do have their stout RB#1 who was going to opt-out for NFL but decided to play. He is good but Memphis rushing-D is 27th in the country allowing 124 ypg.
Memphis -8