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TNF Week 15: Falcons vs Buccaneers 🏈 *LIVE DISCUSSION THREAD*🏈

BMR Genie

BMR Genie

Joined
Jun 16, 2016
Messages
45,895
BMR Betting Analysis:


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"This is a matchup between divisional rivals in the NFC South. Tampa Bay currently leads the division at 7-6, but the Buccaneers have been spiraling. In their last game, they were shocked at home by the lowly Saints. They’ve now lost four of their last five games. As for Atlanta, the Falcons are 4-9 and therefore seem to lack a realistic shot at making the playoffs. They’ll be playing for pride.

To be clear, pride is a real thing. For example, after the Falcons were shut out 30-0 by Carolina, they beat Washington in the following week. The Falcons are coming off a blowout loss and will be eager to rebound. "
 

maltedhopsfrenzy

maltedhopsfrenzy

Joined
Jan 24, 2023
Messages
6,841
👍🍺

My fantasy optimizer just told me to start Baker over Brock Purdy - it had been saying Purdy all week up until today. Plus, I see the line went up a couple of points.

F#CK IT! Bucs & over 41 for +120. I’m hoping they’re wanting to make up for that $#!T-Show last week against the ‘Aint’s. Primetime, another divisional, short week, Bucs stay at home…..

“The Bake Show” gonna get cookin’ tonite!!!!!

Good Luck Everybody!!!!!
 

BMR Genie

BMR Genie

Joined
Jun 16, 2016
Messages
45,895
👍🍺

My fantasy optimizer just told me to start Baker over Brock Purdy - it had been saying Purdy all week up until today. Plus, I see the line went up a couple of points.

F#CK IT! Bucs & over 41 for +120. I’m hoping they’re wanting to make up for that $#!T-Show last week against the ‘Aint’s. Primetime, another divisional, short week, Bucs stay at home…..

“The Bake Show” gonna get cookin’ tonite!!!!!

Good Luck Everybody!!!!!
Good luck, Malted! :cheers:
 

Wagerallsports

Wagerallsports

Joined
Mar 6, 2018
Messages
76,467

Best Falcons Player Prop Bets​

  • Darnell Mooney has hit the Receptions Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+6.15 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Kyle Pitts has hit the Longest Reception Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.85 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Drake London has hit the Receptions Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+4.45 Units / 29% ROI)
  • David Sills has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 58% ROI)
  • David Sills has hit the Longest Reception Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.85 Units / 54% ROI)
Best Buccaneers Player Prop Bets
  • Rachaad White has hit the Carries Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.70 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Sterling Shepard has hit the Longest Reception Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.75 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Sterling Shepard has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.35 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Tez Johnson has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 90% ROI)
  • Bucky Irving has hit the Longest Reception Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 84% ROI)
 

Wagerallsports

Wagerallsports

Joined
Mar 6, 2018
Messages
76,467

Falcons Best Bets​

  • The Atlanta Falcons have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.20 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 19 games (+5.30 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Falcons have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games (+2.80 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Falcons have covered the 3Q Spread in 6 of their last 9 away games (+2.65 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 away games (+2.35 Units / 22% ROI)

Buccaneers Best Bets​

  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+8.00 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+6.80 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have covered the 3Q Spread in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.10 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.05 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 games (+4.95 Units / 19% ROI)
 
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