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TNF Week 11: Jets vs Patriots 🏈 *LIVE DISCUSSION THREAD*🏈

Wagerallsports

Wagerallsports

Joined
Mar 6, 2018
Messages
77,109

Best JETS PLAYER PROP BETS​

  • Nick Folk has hit the Field Goals Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+10.40 Units / 68% ROI)
  • Mason Taylor has hit the Longest Reception Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.90 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Justin Fields has hit the Interceptions Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.30 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Isaiah Davis has hit the Carries Under in his last 5 games (+5.20 Units / 84% ROI)
  • Justin Fields has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 88% ROI)

Best PATRIOTS PLAYER PROP BETS​

  • Mack Hollins has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+8.33 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Drake Maye has hit the Passing Yards Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.40 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Austin Hooper has hit the Receptions Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+6.35 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Demario Douglas has hit the Longest Reception Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • TreVeyon Henderson has hit the Longest Reception Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.90 Units / 65% ROI)
 

Wagerallsports

Wagerallsports

Joined
Mar 6, 2018
Messages
77,109

Jets Best Bets​

  • The New York Jets have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.60 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have hit the 2H Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games (+8.32 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have covered the 2H Spread in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.62 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.55 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 away games (+5.50 Units / 86% ROI)

Patriots Best Bets​

  • The New England Patriots have hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 18 games (+12.25 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The New England Patriots have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.40 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The New England Patriots have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.25 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The New England Patriots have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.05 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The New England Patriots have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 games (+5.00 Units / 17% ROI)
 

Wagerallsports

Wagerallsports

Joined
Mar 6, 2018
Messages
77,109

BetMGM bettor makes $100K wager on sharp side on Patriots-Jets game​

LV REVIEW JOURNAL SUBSCRIPTION

The Patriots are on a 4-0 over run, and the Jets have gone over in their past two games.

But a BetMGM gambler is betting big on the under in the New England-New York matchup on “Thursday Night Football.”

The bettor made a $100,000 wager on under 43½, according to BetMGM’s John Ewing (@johnewing), and the total is now 43 after it opened at 45½.

The Westgate SuperBook reported sharp action on the under down to 43.

At BetMGM, 57 percent of the bets are on the over, while 80 percent of the money is on the under. At STN Sports, 75 percent of the tickets are on the over.

Five of the past six meetings between the AFC West foes have gone under.

Sharp action also has been reported on the Patriots, who are consensus 13-point favorites after the line opened at 10½. The Westgate, dealing -105 juice on both sides on Thursday, is still at 12½.

“We opened New England -10.5, took sharp play at -11.5, currently at -12.5,” SuperBook vice president of risk Jeff Sherman said in a text message. “Public is on the Patriots. Right now we need the Jets.”

So does STN Sports.

“Public has clearly been all over the Pats as the number has gone from -10.5 to -13,” Red Rock Resort sportsbook director Chuck Esposito said via text. “Best case is probably Pats win but don’t cover.”

The Patriots account for 61 percent of the tickets at STN Sports and 57 percent at MGM, where 63 percent of the money is on New England.

The Patriots (8-2, 7-3 against the spread) are tied with the Broncos as the hottest team in football with a seven-game winning streak (6-1 ATS).

The Jets have won and covered two straight games over the Bengals and Browns after starting the season 0-7 (3-4 ATS).

New England has not allowed an opposing running back to rush for more than 53 yards this season. Breece Hall’s over-under rushing yards prop at BetMGM is 62½ (o/u-115).
 
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