Thurs August 1-Thurs August 8 MLB Winners

[piratealew]

***3rd umpire over is Houston/Texas Over 8-115 with Will Little (Played above). I like this guy's metrics last 2 years, this yr he's at 9.5 runs but a low 62% strike call and low SO/BB Ratio means he's walking more and K less than is good for pitchers. Both teams have major issues with pitching, starting with astros Brown who is 1-1, with a 7.00 ERA in 2 starts against texas this yr, while Heaney has a 4.81 era last 5 starts. The over is 10-1 last Rangers 11 games.

 

[sunshine11]

Phillies swept Dodgers 3 games last month. Sorry but revenge is sweet. LA wins but you may be right. GL

 

[piratealew]

Phillies swept Dodgers 3 games last month. Sorry but revenge is sweet. LA wins but you may be right. GL

I cant trust Glasnow right now and the dodgers offense hasnt been great with freaky freddie out, now he's back after a long absence but could be rusty. good luck!

Great Monday in Olympics Soccer 4-1, and MLB cashing the top 3 plays early (Zona, Giants, and Mets) and 1 umpire over already.

MLB=6-3 (Cash Top 3....4-2 Top plays) 1-0 Umpire Overs....26-7 Last week

Olympics=4-1


MLB YTD=1422-1271YTD/ (695-640 Top plays) Umpire Overs=158-107 Umpire Under=15-13

“All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays. **Top plays are listed in order of strength.*

️Arizona-113-W
️Giants-1-145-W
️Mets-108-W
️Phillies+120
️Houston-114
️Arizona/Cleveland Over 8-120-W (Umpire Over)-W
️Oakland-1-110
️Mets/Cards Over 8-130-L
️Marlins+0.5-115 (F5)-L

️Phillies/Dodgers Over 7.5 (Umpire Over)

️Royals/Red Sux Over 9.5-115
️Cubs Team Total Over 3.5-110
Royals-129
Cubs+109
Houston/Texas Over 8-115 (Umpire Over)
Mets-113 (F5)-W
Phillies+117 (F5)
Giants/Nats Over 9-108-L
Miami+1.5-125 (Full-game)
Arizona Team Total Over 4-W
Phillies/Dodgers Over 7.5-115
Cubs/Twinks Over 7.5-125
Oakland Team Total Over 4
Giants Team Total Over 5

Olympics Soccer=5-2 Last
Spain to Qualify-W

/BTTS-105-W

/Over 2.5+115-W
France-110 (1st half)-L

UNDER 2.5-120-W

 

[phantom888]

this is looking great 2-2 in the first...

***2nd Umpire Over is ️Phillies/Dodgers Over 7.5 played above with Marvin Hudson who is a stunning 12-6 over this yr on almost 10 runs, a 64% strike call. Helping the over, the dodgers have hit the over 4 out of their last 5, and both of these offenses are the top 2 run scoring in the NL, both at 4.9 runs per game. Phils pen carries a 4.03 ERA putting them outside the top 20 so the dodgers should be able to get a few across, phils have hit the over 5 of their last 6 and in their last series the over cashed in every game. This is now a top play.

Thank you Shohei!!!

 

[phantom888]

Thank you Shohei!!!

And Mr P!

Freeman return jazzed the crowd!

Banta becoming the set up guy? His slider is nasty!

 

[sunshine11]

I tried to warn you. Lol

 

[piratealew]

I tried to warn you. Lol

Yes you were right, glad i went big on the over when i saw the ump. game ended up a wash for me. cashed the big 3 with dbags, giants and mets so walked away with a good day. Hope you made a lot on Dodgers. good call. Phillies continue their long fade

 

[piratealew]

Thank you Shohei!!!

Another day, another umpire Over cashes. 2-1 yesterday on these. now 27-8 last 6 days. Near 80% still this week....back in a bit later when i finalize the card. another solid good + day in the books with the top 3 cashed and 7-5 top plays.

 

[piratealew]

A good day yesterday, cashed top 3, and 2-1 umpire overs. Let's have another good + day.

MLB YTD=1432-1283YTD/ (702-645 Top plays) Umpire Overs=160-108 Umpire Under=15-13

“All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays. **Top plays are listed in order of strength.*

️Giants-113
️Cleveland-111
️Padres-1-126
️Houston-110
️Dodgers/Phils Over 8-115
️Cubs-101
️Baltimore-137
️Yankees-1-135 (F5)
️Brewers+120
️Oakland-1-129
️Mariners-1-130
️Boston+121
️Baltimore TT Over 4
️Houston/Texas Over 7.5-120
Padres-0.5-115 (F5)
Reds-133
Cleveland/Arizona Over 7.5-125
Yankees/Angels Over 9-108
Yankees-1.5-115 (Full game)
Baltimore/Toronto Over 8-115
Tampa+137
Giants/Nats Over 8.5-125
Boston/KC Over 8.5-112
Cleveland-101 (F5)
Dodgers-105
Oakland TT Over 4.5-110
Brewers+125 (F5)
Giants TT Over 4.5-105
Mariners TT Over 4
Mets Team Total Over 5.5-115
Padres/Pirates Over 7.5-125
Chicago/Oakland Over 7.5-120

Olympics--4-1 yesterday/5-2 last week=9-3

USA/Brazil Under 186.5-120 (Mens bball)

France+8.5-110 (Mens bball vs Canada)

USA Womens Soccer ML-110 (Vs Germany)

Waiting on Umpire assignments this afternoon, may elevate a total or 2 later.

 

[piratealew]

forgot one at the bottom of top list

️Mets-139

 

[inzane]

Good luck today Mr. P!

 

[sunshine11]

USA total is 184.5 at my book. 2 points different. Pass than.

Cubs TT is 2.5 -135 since Cubs will win. 3 runs or more is easy?

 

[piratealew]

USA total is 184.5 at my book. 2 points different. Pass than.

Cubs TT is 2.5 -135 since Cubs will win. 3 runs or more is easy?

yeah i saw the total has come down some. I think it stays under 180 actually, books are adjusting for a lower scoring game.

Conventional wisdom is yes 3 runs should be easy for the cubs against Lopez but consider that Lopez is a fly ball pitcher prone to the home run, with 20 given up this year, however, there's a 20 mph wind blowing in from the left field and being a righty facing what looks to be 6-7 righties in the cubs line up, it might knock a few would be homers down into routine fly balls. Might need to be more reliant on XBH and walks, so i'm watching the umpire news closely. If it's fletcher, I'm banging the over and prob cubs tt over, if its estabrook, I'm prob not touching it.

 

[sunshine11]

Ok I’ll be checking in. 6 is the total seems low.

 

[piratealew]

Ok I’ll be checking in. 6 is the total seems low.

lowest so far this season and i think it really has to do with the heavy wind blowing in and Shota/Lopez pitching. The ump is Cuzzi for that game, who is more a pitcher friendly/under umpire FWIW.

Out of the 12 announcements so far, this is the only decent one for an over

***1st Umpire Over is ️Cincy/Miami Over 7.5-115 with Alan Porter. I had this game pegged 7-8 runs but added 1 to his usual avg of 1 run initiated per game, he also rates 4.29 in the extreme hitter friendly cat, is avg 9.45 runs per game due to his low 2.09 SO/BB Ratio and 63% strike call. The over is 4-1 last 5 reds games and 3-2 last 5 Meyer Starts, and the last 5 marlins home games have gone over. This is a top play.

 

[sunshine11]

Ok thanks. How much you lose on under USA? It wasn't even close. Glad I stayed away.

 

[sunshine11]

Yankees postponed

 

[piratealew]

Ok thanks. How much you lose on under USA? It wasn't even close. Glad I stayed away.

Lost a Mazeratti.

Nah, just a medium pizza, just something for action. USA decided to play no defense, that game should have been under but usa messed that up. Cant win em all.

Now giants up 4-0, i bet my sept mortgage on them, so hope they keep mashing.

 

[piratealew]

Oakland/Chicago Over 8-125

 

[sunshine11]

Oh oh Wash.