Thurs August 1-Thurs August 8 MLB Winners

[piratealew]

White Sox will be lucky to score 1 run. Minn gonna score the other 8 ?

yes, the over is 6-2 in their last 8 and 6-0 in twins games Joe Ryan hit the struggle bus in July as in four starts, he went 1-2 with a 5.48 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP in 23.0 innings of work while Davis Martin is making his second appearance of the season so he wont be expected to go much beyond 60 pitches/5 innings (that's what they condition these guys for in AA/AAA now). White sox also 22nd in MLB with a 2.51 EA, while twins are 10th at .235. There should be run scoring opportunities throughout as the wind is blowing about 10-15mph to right-center, and while this ump is a new one, he's 2-1 over, on a whopping 13 runs.

 

[sunshine11]

Ok thanks. I know tail at my own risk. Lol I know you but runs I see. I think my line is 8.5 I'll check.

 

[sunshine11]

Lol stupid what I said. I'm not drunk. I have no edit on my phone.

 

[sunshine11]

Date Placed: 08/02/24 19:20:21
Header:
INTERNET : 2 Team Parlay risk 10.00 win 8.79
Bet Details:

1. 302233 USA (M) (-20000) (Olympics Basketball Men)
2. 973 White Sox vs Twins over 8½ (-115)

A real ticket. No worries if I lose. Haha. They actually have a ML on the basketball game it's tomorrow morning. Favorite by 35.5

 

[sunshine11]

The Rays TT line is 4 at my book. I can't buy runs. If you had to guess. 4 is a push. You still like over? They need 5 to win.

 

[piratealew]

The Rays TT line is 4 at my book. I can't buy runs. If you had to guess. 4 is a push. You still like over? They need 5 to win.

Don’t have to buy at betrivers. -3.5 with + juice . Can u get in there ? MGM also.

Yeah I like over 5@4. Kikuchi is a gas can . Should give up 4-5

 

[sunshine11]

Just asking. I’ll put $2 on it with the ML 20000
lol

 

[piratealew]

***4th Umpire Over is Padres/Rockies Over 8 with Larry Vanover (Played above) who is rated 4.28 in the moderate hitter friendly cat, and while his numbers are down this yr som at 9 runs per game and 10-9 over, last year saw 11.62 runs per and 9-3 over. He is consistently between 61.5-63% strikes and 2-2.5 so/bb ratio (1.9 last year). Gomber v Vasquez should be a run producer as Gomber is 0-2, 6.91 in his last 3 starts (over 6-2 last eight), while Vasquez is 1-2, 4.24 in his last 5, & over 6-1 last seven starts. Rockies own the worst Bullpen in MLB with an astonishing 5.53, while Chaplains not much better at 4.07 ERA so run chances should be plenty through the 9th.

This is a top play now. Forgot that.

 

[piratealew]

Just asking. I’ll put $2 on it with the ML 20000
lol

2-0 in the first rays...homer no outs....Kikuchi is giving it up early. only need 2 more lol

 

[piratealew]

Hope so! lets do this!

***2nd Umpire Over is KC/Detroit Over 6.5-125 with Alan Porter who is rated 4.29 putting him tied with James Hoye in the extreme hitter friendly category. His games have gone 10-9 over but avg 9.37 runs due to his extremely low so/BB ratio at 2.08, meaning more walks than K's (3+ is better for pitchers) and his 63% strike call means he will be squeezing the pitchers today even with not the best pitching matchup for the over--the over did hit last 2 Ragans starts and last Skubal start

Cashed in the 7th, even with a bad pitching matchup, the umpire came thru with the walks and squeezes

 

[piratealew]

added:

Padres-130 (F5)
Phillies+110 (F5)

 

[phantom888]

Let’s go Padres and over!!
Good luck!

 

[piratealew]

***3rd Umpire Over is ⭐️Baltimore/Cleveland Over 9-115, who like Drekman above is almost an auto over play as he is avg 12.95 runs per game, now a whopping 18-3 over, on a low 2.01 SO/BB Ratio. Already an over, I like this even more as Carrasco is a gas can carrying a 5.36 ERA and a .307 BAA in 42 innings in 8 home games. Since ASB, O's are 4th in MLB with a .821 OPS, while Kremer is 1-5 with a 4.93 ERA and 1.5 Whip in last 7.

More easy cash. 3-0 umpire overs. 20-3 Last 5 days

 

[piratealew]

yes, the over is 6-2 in their last 8 and 6-0 in twins games Joe Ryan hit the struggle bus in July as in four starts, he went 1-2 with a 5.48 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP in 23.0 innings of work while Davis Martin is making his second appearance of the season so he wont be expected to go much beyond 60 pitches/5 innings (that's what they condition these guys for in AA/AAA now). White sox also 22nd in MLB with a 2.51 EA, while twins are 10th at .235. There should be run scoring opportunities throughout as the wind is blowing about 10-15mph to right-center, and while this ump is a new one, he's 2-1 over, on a whopping 13 runs.

$$$$ Hope you tailed. 8-2 twins

 

[piratealew]

#1 play Red sox cashes again easily. Faders lose again since they took Texas. Dummies. Another good day. now 8 days straight $$$

 

[piratealew]

Kids football practice most of AM and today so getting these out as early, not as much time for writeups. Decent day yesterday hit the #1 play easy again and 3-1 umpire overs. Now 20-3 last 5 days on umpire overs. Crappy umpire assignments today....Hit 5-2 in olympics/bball Friday, only bball game of interest (USA).

MLB YTD=1383-1245 YTD/ (677-627 Top plays) Umpire Overs=153-104 Umpire Under=15-11

“All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays. **Top plays are listed in order of strength.*

⭐️Pirates-110
⭐️Boston-109
⭐️Twins-1-105
⭐️Yankees-1-120
⭐️Baltimore/Clev Over 8.5-120 (Umpire Over-Jansen Visconti)
⭐️Seattle-122
⭐️Cards+108
⭐️Bodymore Orioles-120 (F5)
⭐️Dodgers-1-130
⭐️Cards/Cubs Over 7.5-115 (Umpire Over-Mark Wegner)
⭐️Brewers-125
⭐️NY Mess-120
⭐️Padres-0.5-130 (F5)
⭐️Dbags/Pirates Over 8-120
Royals-135
Reds-126
Minnesota/Chicago OVER 7-130 (Umpire Over-Alphonso Marquez)
Toronto/NYY Over 8.5-120
Hotlanta Braves-1.5-110
Dodgers-0.5-115 (F5)
Philly/Seattle Over 8-115
Twins-135 (F5)
Tampa+150
Yankees-125 (F5)
Padres-1.5-110
Boston/Texas Over 7.5-115
Nats/Brewers Over 8.5-125
Dodgers/A's Over 7.5-130
Giants/Reds UNDER 9-103
Tigers/Royals UNDER 9-115 (Umpire Under-Sean Barber)

Olympics Bball
USA-34.5

***1st Umpire Over is Baltimore/Clev Over 8.5-120 with Jansen Visconti who is 14-7 over, on almost 10 runs a game. The over is 14-2 for the Orioles, it hit easily last 2 nights with 2 of the highest scoring offenses in MLB, Orioles ranked 3rd at 5 runs and Clev at 11 with 4.7. With Clev starting a rookie in his 2nd start, I expect Balty to pounce early and runs to be plenty.

***2nd Umpire Over is Cards/Cubs Over 7.5-115 with Mark Wegner who is 10-6 Over on a high 10.24 runs with a low 2.19 SO/BB Ratio and 64% strikes. The over hit last 2 games and is 7-1 last 8 for cards and 10-3 in Gibson start; I see that continuing as Gibson carries over a 5 ERA against the cubs, and 5 of the last 5 between these 2 hit the over as well as 5 of cubs last 7.

***3rd Umpire Over is Minnesota/Chicago OVER 7-130 with Alphonso Marquez who has long been rated if not the most, one of the most Hitter friendly umps in his career at 4.36 due to his normally higher walks and lower K's, and while this year is down for him a bit at just under 9 runs, last year was more typical at 10 runs, 18-12 over and a 2.3 SO/BB Ratio. The over is 9-3 fo the twins and 7-2 for the white sox and despite strong pitchers on the mound, I had this pegged for 8 runs and added 1 with Marquez behind home (his avg is 1.5 per game).


***1st Umpire UNDER is Tigers/Royals UNDER 9 with Sean Barber who is 9-8 UNDER on 8.7 runs with a higher than avg 2.6 SO/BB Ratio. Last year he has more typical high 3 SO/BB ratio just over 8 runs and 19-13 Under. Lorenzen gave up 1 runs in his last start and held Tigers scoreless earlier in 24. Detroit's offense has become anemic scoring only 7 runs while losing the last 5, and only mustered 3 runs in the previous 2 between these 2. This could be a 4-2 type game.

 

[azbob]

What do you think of the MGM app? Since Cosmopolitan is now part of MGM here in LV, I was thinking about getting it. I only have Stations locally now plus my offshores. Thanks and continued success.

 

[piratealew]

What do you think of the MGM app? Since Cosmopolitan is now part of MGM here in LV, I was thinking about getting it. I only have Stations locally now plus my offshores. Thanks and continued success.

MGM app is ok, It's clunky at times going state to state, but no real issues with it. I like betrivers a lot as they have cheaper prices on most....if it's one of the only around, you wont have any issues with MGM, payouts are quick too, within an hour or 2 most times...

left one off:

Tampa Team Total Over 3.5-105

 

[piratealew]

What do you think of the MGM app? Since Cosmopolitan is now part of MGM here in LV, I was thinking about getting it. I only have Stations locally now plus my offshores. Thanks and continued success.

forgot to mention, you have any priority with MGM either in casino or playing with their sportsbook? Do you have a host? I have a host on the APP here in VA, he's hooked me up a few times with big bonus bets, sports tickets, all kinds of good stuff. MGM is one of the better sportsbooks so far in terms of having VIP hosts and compensating....last week during the cloudflare strike that took a lot of apps offline, i txt him that i wasn't able to get on for about a day. he sent me a $250 bonus bet, and 2 $100 dollar bonus bets that day.....something to think about if you have any priority with them now or in the future..

 

[powplow]

Can’t find cubs line like that. I have -216, -214, -214 on three different books