Texas St. -4.5 +108

[JDS]

line getting very weak, but we some time off, i might use OD for the 1st half only

Yeah the line is going in the other direction for some reason.

 

[JDS]

I like the play. Got in at -3 -103 just now.

Nice number and price Tanko, the -4.5 is now +100 at Justbet so I’m ok with that actually. I have that same number but +108.

 

[JDS]

I don’t understand the line movement as the ticket % and money is both heavy for Texas St. Do the books convey a ”fake out” line movement to get more even action on both sides, this is from Caesars sports book below.

 

[JDS]

These two seasonal ATS indicators are very favorable for Texas St.

 

[Tanko]

I don’t understand the line movement as the ticket % and money is both heavy for Texas St. Do the books convey a ”fake out” line movement to get more even action on both sides, this is from Caesars sports book below.

View attachment 29535

Don't over-analyze the money movement. This is a low key game so the amount of action may not be too high. Would love to see the actual $$$ bet on this game to get a good read on the line.

 

[lekidecincinnati]

good lucks, refreshing to see people play lines that are in the + money and not losing playing high juice lines

 

[JDS]

good lucks, refreshing to see people play lines that are in the + money and not losing playing high juice lines

Appreciate it, when I bet a game I cap it to be at least 3 points better than the line suggests so I have no problem selling a half or sometimes a full point back for an even plus payout. I’ve done this approximately 120 times in the last 18 months and only 3 games the sold point came into play to lose or push.

 

[lekidecincinnati]

Appreciate it, when I bet a game I cap it to be at least 3 points better than the line suggests so I have no problem selling a half or sometimes a full point back for an even plus payout. I’ve done this approximately 120 times in the last 18 months and only 3 games the sold point came into play to lose or push.

i actually think this would be a great idea if all books let u sell points in basketball betting to play plus lines on every play, buying points in basketball is silly

 

[JDS]

Appreciate it, when I bet a game I cap it to be at least 3 points better than the line suggests so I have no problem selling a half or sometimes a full point back for an even plus payout. I’ve done this approximately 120 times in the last 18 months and only 3 games the sold point came into play to lose or push.

117 games of +100 on average, I save 80 dollars per game so 80 X 117 = 9,360. 2 lost wagers and a push for selling the point = 3,823. Saved myself approximately +5,500 betting this way.

 

[JDS]

117 games of +100 on average, I save 80 dollars per game so 80 X 117 = 9,360. 2 lost wagers and a push for selling the point = 3,823. Saved myself approximately +5,500 betting this way.

Check that you only save money when you win, so in those 120 plays I won 62% so 73 X 80 = 5,850 - 3,823 = +2,017.

 

[BigJay]

Sun Belt tourney time 1st round from Pensacola. ODU is absolutely abysmal all year long 7-22 ATS and I don’t see them righting the ship here tonight. Since they booted their star freshman Vasean Allette back in January they have only won two games in that span.

These two teams did not face each other this year, but ODU had a better squad last year and they got upset by Texas St. 65-36 in this same conference tournament. Texas St. has won and covered their last 3 games so I like their confidence right now. Sold a full point for plus money payout I see them winning by 10 or more.

Lay the points with Texas St. and good luck if you tail

My Bobcats! My Alma Matter Jerky! Good luck!

 

[BigJay]

117 games of +100 on average, I save 80 dollars per game so 80 X 117 = 9,360. 2 lost wagers and a push for selling the point = 3,823. Saved myself approximately +5,500 betting this way.

https://media.tenor.com/gn8Y9e3SAJwAAAAe/zach-galifianakis-math.png

 

[JDS]

My Bobcats! My Alma Matter Jerky! Good luck!

You‘re my good luck charm BJ this is a great sign for my bet

 

[BigJay]

You‘re my good luck charm BJ this is a great sign for my bet

I’m wearing a Texas State Football shirt today too that I rarely wear

 

[JDS]

I’m wearing a Texas State Football shirt today too that I rarely wear

LFG !!!

 

[JDS]

Bro I swear @BigJay you have come in my threads a handful of times midway through the game and then things start to change for my advantage I LOVE THIS motherf******* !!!

Let‘s see if we can keep that trend going here tonight brother

 

[JDS]

At the gym & this is my low key hype song for tonight’s wager

 

[BigJay]

Bro I swear @BigJay you have come in my threads a handful of times midway through the game and then things start to change for my advantage I LOVE THIS motherf******* !!!

Let‘s see if we can keep that trend going here tonight brother

Jerky send me a c-note

 

[JDS]

Jerky send me a c-note

When I finish my rollover from my last two deposits I’ll paypal your ass for sure, let’s see if I can sustain this type of winning through these next 30 some odd best bets.

 

[BigJay]

When I finish my rollover from my last two deposits I’ll paypal your ass for sure, let’s see if I can sustain this type of winning through these next 30 some odd best bets.

Go, Hot Dog, go!

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