Tennis picks/discussion 2023

[jjgold]

Sammy your rarely get smacked bad

 

[samsncharge99]

Winer last 2 plays. 5-2

 

[JDS]

Winer last 2 plays. 5-2

I should’ve auto tailed these plays back in January when I mentioned this thread could help pay my bills. Dumb mistake not to act on that idea. Another great day by you Sammy

 

[jjgold]

Why work if we got Sammy?

 

[JDS]

Why work if we got Sammy?

Yeah I know guy is absolutely killing it as I mentioned earlier today.

 

[samsncharge99]

I should’ve auto tailed these plays back in January when I mentioned this thread could help pay my bills. Dumb mistake not to act on that idea. Another great day by you Sammy

Imagine betting more than 100 each play

 

[samsncharge99]

And again most of my plays are less than -120

 

[JDS]

And again most of my plays are less than -120

Yeah I notice you try & keep the juice relatively low and with that winning percentage this is something very special before our eyes.

 

[samsncharge99]

5-2 yesterday (+287)

311-215-16 on the year (+5657)

 

[Wagerallsports]

yes, not as intense of course, but watched it a little and played a little too. I never played on school teams as I played soccer, wrestling, basketball and did little league baseball as a kid

You're a bit younger than some of us so I believe you missed the best era

Agassi and that backhand return

 

[Wagerallsports]

5-2 yesterday (+287)

311-215-16 on the year (+5657)

Solid work sam

 

[jjgold]

Sammys avoiding betting those big chalks very good

 

[JDS]

Sammys avoiding betting those big chalks very good

Yeah I’ve notice that too & he’s also pointed that out to me.

 

[jjgold]

Anastasia Potapova +117

Magda Linette +340

Sorana Cirstea +180

 

[samsncharge99]

Monday action, here we go!!!

ATP
McDonald/Halys OVER 23 games (-110)
Cerundolo +4.5 games (-125)
Tiafoe/Sonego OVER 23 games (-110)

WTA
Rybakina/Mertens UNDER 20.5 games (-112)
Pegula/Linette UNDER 20 (-108)
Sabalenka -1.5 sets (+110)

 

[pete0]

thats a lot of games per day, sammy

do u think one can only win at this long term ?
like ur record is like ~500 games. ~60ish % win rate at -110 ish odds.
do u think hitting like 80-90% on spot plays is unrealistic ?

out of all these plays, if u had to pick one u liked the most, which one would it be ?

 

[pete0]

Anastasia Potapova +117

Magda Linette +340

Sorana Cirstea +180

which one do u like the most JJ ?

 

[samsncharge99]

thats a lot of games per day, sammy

do u think one can only win at this long term ?
like ur record is like ~500 games. ~60ish % win rate at -110 ish odds.
do u think hitting like 80-90% on spot plays is unrealistic ?

out of all these plays, if u had to pick one u liked the most, which one would it be ?

you can easily win at any sport short term or long term, just depends on how many games you bet, how much you are betting and of course, you have to WIN

i'd guess my average line is closer to -120 since the spread on line are 25-30 cents, but i try not to have too many higher juices in there above -150, but sometimes I will

i dont think if I was spot betting for bigger money i would do better. i know me, if I was betting more per match and I started losing, I would immediately chase the loss on a LIVE bet to try and make it back up. that's why betting volume at lower dollar amounts works better and less chances of making quick bad decision compared to spot betting.

Everyone is different, know yourself is very important and I know me haha

If I had to choose 1-2 plays from my card today, i love Sabalenka -1.5 sets at + odds. Krejickova won a tough 2 set match last night where Sabalenka has steam rolled her matches so far

This is her biggest test of this tournament and Krejicova beat Sabalenka in Dubai last month. This is a faster hard court and give the edge to Sabalenka

2nd favorite i guess would be Cerundolo +4.5 games. FAA isn't great at breaking serve and even 1 standard break each set is 6-4 6-4 as long as FAA doesn't serve 1st and get early break giving it 6-3 6-4 and covering the 4.5 games

I expect 1 tie breaker so 7-6 and then traditional 1 break

 

[jjgold]

which one do u like the most JJ ?

just stabs
all have same chance to win

 

[samsncharge99]

Tough loss on Mcdonald OVER. Had 4 chances for guaranteed tie. And 3 chances potentially to win

lost them all and lost bet. Damn