Tanko's Massive MLB Card for 8/30/22

[Tanko]

I don't know why but I feel like I'm at a dessert buffet looking over the MLB card today. I usually try to limit myself to a few plays a day (you know money management stuff) but today, I just can't help it. This is a pretty big MLB card for me for one day.

There are too many plays to write up each one.
You know the routine. My picks are based on (not in order of importance):

1. Starting pitching (recent performance most weighted) and pitcher/batter history.
2. Batting (recent batting heavily weighted)
3. Recent rpg peformance. Looking for a Δ of 2+ rpg between teams.
4. Relief pitching comparisons
5. +/- Unit performance when playing at Rd/Hm for the season and for the last week or two.
6. Teams w/ momentum (or not).... win or losing streaks.
7. For run lines, I look at how much they outscore or if they are outscored at home or on the road for the season. Usually apply RL when juice is high and if the historical scoring data supports the run line play.
8. blah, blah, blah

Not every game meets every criteria. There's subjectivity.
These are games I see value on with the given odds. I can guarantee not all will win but, I hope they do.

 

[Tanko]

MIL ML -164
KC ML +117
STL RL -1.5 -145
ATL RL -1.5 -159
Detroit ML +157
Oakland ML -102
Boston O 8.5 -125
San Diego ML -123

 

[Over Under]

Good luck today tanko sir.

 

[Tanko]

The 8th point I mentioned.
blah, blah, blah. Is probably the most leveraging method I use.

 

[Wagerallsports]

Nothing in the Baltimore game tank?

 

[Bubbles]

MIL ML -164
KC ML +117
STL RL -1.5 -145
ATL RL -1.5 -159
Detroit ML +157
Oakland ML -102
Boston O 8.5 -125
San Diego ML -123

this is a lot of actions tanko. good luck.

 

[Tanko]

Nothing in the Baltimore game tank?

Well, I have plays on 8 out of 15 games. I thought that was enough.

A lot of stats say Cleveland but one thing that scares the hell out of me with going against Baltimore is they are the best DOG road team this year (+9 units) and its not even close.

Also, Cleveland outscores opponents +1.8 rpg as Home Favs. That is a big number, 4th in MLB to Mets, Cards, Dodgers.

So I passed on that one.

 

[Tanko]

this is a lot of actions tanko. good luck.

Thanks Bubbles. Anything on your card today?

 

[lemartinsports]

You know the routine. My picks are based on (not in order of importance):

1. Starting pitching (recent performance most weighted) and pitcher/batter history.
2. Batting (recent batting heavily weighted)
3. Recent rpg peformance. Looking for a Δ of 2+ rpg between teams.
4. Relief pitching comparisons
5. +/- Unit performance when playing at Rd/Hm for the season and for the last week or two.
6. Teams w/ momentum (or not).... win or losing streaks.
7. For run lines, I look at how much they outscore or if they are outscored at home or on the road for the season. Usually apply RL when juice is high and if the historical scoring data supports the run line play.
8. blah, blah, blah

this alone is helpful info T. thank you and good luck!

i said i was going to avoid mlb today but i'm likin your two dog plays (KC & Detroit ML).....

 

[Tanko]

this alone is helpful info T. thank you and good luck!

i said i was going to avoid mlb today but i'm likin your two dog plays (KC & Detroit ML).....

Of the two dog plays, I like the KC play better. Lots of aligments with the stats and measures I look at.

 

[Wagerallsports]

Well, I have plays on 8 out of 15 games. I thought that was enough.

A lot of stats say Cleveland but one thing that scares the hell out of me with going against Baltimore is they are the best DOG road team this year (+9 units) and its not even close.

Also, Cleveland outscores opponents +1.8 rpg as Home Favs. That is a big number, 4th in MLB to Mets, Cards, Dodgers.

So I passed on that one.

Good point

 

[lemartinsports]

Of the two dog plays, I like the KC play better. Lots of aligments with the stats and measures I look at.

noted good sir, thank you

 

[BobbyFK]

Where's the wonderful write up's?
Good luck today Tanko!

 

[Tanko]

Where's the wonderful write up's?
Good luck today Tanko!

Too much work.

I've got about an hour to cap 4 EPL games so I'm focusing on that instead of MLB write-ups.

 

[Bubbles]

Thanks Bubbles. Anything on your card today?

tough loss yesterday so i decided to rest today.

 

[carolinakid]

bol with your tuesday action Tank

 

[Tanko]

Thanks CK. GL on your plays.

 

[Tanko]

Cardinals lost easily to the Reds. Ouch.
0-1-0 -1.45 units so far. 7 left to go.

 

[Tanko]

Got a little bit of the Cards loss back.
Boston O 8.5 -125 - Winner

1-1-0 -0.45. 6 plays left to go.

 

[JDS]

You’re a capping machine right now, your picks are all over the forum with analysis.