Tanko - MLB Plays

[DiggityDaggityDo]

YTD 210-185-2 53% +425

DET -113
TEX -145
MIL +113
CIN +120

We’re both riding that Milwaukee train tonight, Tanko.

 

[Tanko]

Problem is we're on opposites sides on a couple of others.

 

[JDS]

Tanko a couple quick questions. How many years have you been consistently betting baseball to this volume and what seems to be the easiest part of the season. The beginning the middle or the end any idea I know you’re very analytical.

 

[Tanko]

Been working MLB for 4-5 years but only at this volume and focus the last 3 (maybe really the last 2 since the first year was a lot of trial and error and learning stuff I didn't know).

Not sure there is an easy part but, in the last 3 years I usually do well April/May/June and fade for several weeks in July (last year) or August (this year) and then come on with a better record for the last month or two.

Not a whole lot of data (2-3 years) so tough to say there's a trend.

 

[DiggityDaggityDo]

Problem is we're on opposites sides on a couple of others.

Only the Cinc/SF game.

If Tex wins by one run you cash Tex and I cash Mets +1.5.

 

[JDS]

Been working MLB for 4-5 years but only at this volume and focus the last 3 (maybe really the last 2 since the first year was a lot of trial and error and learning stuff I didn't know).

Not sure there is an easy part but, in the last 3 years I usually do well April/May/June and fade for several weeks in July (last year) or August (this year) and then come on with a better record for the last month or two.

Not a whole lot of data (2-3 years) so tough to say there's a trend.

Thanks for the response it seems like @LT Profits his models shines toward the end of the year and he’s been betting volume for decades. So it looks like you guys are pretty similar in that department.

 

[Tanko]

What's interesting is that I'm seeing my usual analytic methods to make plays starts to fall apart at some point mid-summer (August this year) so I have to change tactics and modify how I make selections.

For example, early in the season I focus on 30 day ERA (after a few weeks of play) for starters and team WRC and AVG to narrow my selections and then do some more analysis to end up with a card. That process usually stops working as well and now I've reverted to using more season ERA data, team trends, etc....

Its like you have to move your process as the season progresses.

 

[JDS]

What's interesting is that I'm seeing my usual analytic methods to make plays starts to fall apart at some point mid-summer (August this year) so I have to change tactics and modify how I make selections.

For example, early in the season I focus on 30 day ERA (after a few weeks of play) for starters and team WRC and AVG to narrow my selections and then do some more analysis to end up with a card. That process usually stops working as well and now I've reverted to using more season ERA data, team trends, etc....

Its like you have to move your process as the season progresses.

Yeah I agree with you the middle to early late season the dogs start coming in more frequently and often times they’re not so obvious to spot from a numbers standpoint.

 

[Wagerallsports]

Whatcha got tonight Tanko?

 

[Tanko]

Whatcha got tonight Tanko?

YTD 210-185-2 53% +425

DET -113
TEX -145
MIL +113
CIN +120

Got the posted early today Wager.

 

[Wagerallsports]

WTH

I saw that and was thinking it was yesterday's plays

 

[Wagerallsports]

Thoughts on Houston again?

Going to join you on Milwaukee

Maybe Reds too will see later

 

[Tanko]

Thoughts on Houston again?

Toss up. Sale vs Javier.... Which pitcher is going to show up for each team? Hard to say.
Could be 0-0 after 6th or 5-4. Bats are on fire for these teams. Both teams batting near 0.400 in the last week.

Too close to call for me. Really tough to pick.
Gun to my head.... I'd take the bullet cause I couldn't choose.

 

[keithrichard]

I'm with you Tanko on Cinn.& Milwaukee. Also 2 other dogs with Houston & Arizona.All dogs like me.Good luck to us.

 

[RRsilver]

Ive already took mil makes me nervous when everyone is on a side,, Hopefully we will all win! Yay

 

[keithrichard]

Good start for Milw. 4-0

 

[Wagerallsports]

Yes

Let's go brewers

 

[Wagerallsports]

Ive already took mil makes me nervous when everyone is on a side,, Hopefully we will all win! Yay

Only person I've seen on them was tank and why I decided to follow

Let's get this one gents

 

[RRsilver]

Only person I've seen on them was tank and why I decided to follow

Let's get this one gents

I thought I saw two others on here maybe not, as long as we win main thing.

 

[Wagerallsports]

We got that run back

5-1