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JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
45,197
Lets try the early game today.

CUBS -1.5 +107
CUBS F5 RL -0.5 -143


Steele (CUB) is sharp this season. Since his injury on May 31st, he's had 2 starts 5 innings/6 innings giving up only 3 ER total. Quantrill (CLE) is coming back from the IL (shoulder issue in late May). He wasn't very good before he went on IL and I don't see how that will have changed.

Cleveland is also pretty weak vs left handed pitchers (0.237 avg).

Cubs are about breakeven on the units won at home.
CLE is a -6 units on the road so far this year.
Double dip these bastids 😁 🤘
 

Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
42,667
Lets try the early game today.

CUBS -1.5 +107
CUBS F5 RL -0.5 -143


Steele (CUB) is sharp this season. Since his injury on May 31st, he's had 2 starts 5 innings/6 innings giving up only 3 ER total. Quantrill (CLE) is coming back from the IL (shoulder issue in late May). He wasn't very good before he went on IL and I don't see how that will have changed.

Cleveland is also pretty weak vs left handed pitchers (0.237 avg).

Cubs are about breakeven on the units won at home.
CLE is a -6 units on the road so far this year.
Got the F5 winner.
Now Cubs need to just wrap up the entire game with a nice lead.
 

DiggityDaggityDo

DiggityDaggityDo

Joined
Oct 30, 2021
Messages
26,764
Lets try the early game today.

CUBS -1.5 +107
CUBS F5 RL -0.5 -143


Steele (CUB) is sharp this season. Since his injury on May 31st, he's had 2 starts 5 innings/6 innings giving up only 3 ER total. Quantrill (CLE) is coming back from the IL (shoulder issue in late May). He wasn't very good before he went on IL and I don't see how that will have changed.

Cleveland is also pretty weak vs left handed pitchers (0.237 avg).

Cubs are about breakeven on the units won at home.
CLE is a -6 units on the road so far this year.

Too Eazy, Tanko. :an_clap:
 

Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
42,667
Adding:

PIT F5 +126

Oviedo (PIT) isn't a common household name like Burnes (MIL) has been but, he is pitching a whole lot better than Burnes lately. Burnes has struggled on the road. He's giving up 3-4 ER in his 5-6 innings on the road. Oviedo is averaging 2 ER in 6+ innings in his last 5 starts.

MIL is a good team but I have PIT as a better team over the last week. They are averaging more runs (6 vs 4 rpg) than MIL and they are tearing it up ab the plate relative to the Brewers over that period.

MIL 79 WRC+ 0.289 AVG
PIT 103 WRC+ 0.326 AVG

Feeling that PIT has the edge on the mound and at the plate, the last piece is the bull pen. Frankly MIL has the edge here and its pretty decent. MIL bullpen is their strongest piece of their game. So, to play it a little safe and capitalize on the advantages I see, we'll take PIT F5 for a nice + money.
 

Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
42,667
Ok guys what are we missing here..... Miami +145 is a crazy line. I see huge +EV on this one. Sure ATL is on a nice run (6 in a row) but Perez (MIA) is pitching lights out with 1 ER total in his last 28 innings pitched. Charlie Morton (ATL) is averaging 3.5 runs per every 5 inning outing over his last 5 games.

I agree the Braves are hot lately but Perez should cool those bats today. That winning streak should come to an end today for the Braves.

MIA +150
MI F5 +125
 
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