Tanko - CBB Plays 2023-2024

[JDS]

We'll try these today:

CMU -1.5 -107
San Diego St. +2 -105
UCF -2.5 -108

May be more coming later.

Gald to know we’re on the same play.

 

[Tanko]

Gald to know we’re on the same play.

I'm seeing a 7% edge on this one. Like you said, should be around -3.1 pt spread.

 

[sharpsquare]

We'll try these today:

CMU -1.5 -107
San Diego St. +2 -105
UCF -2.5 -108

May be more coming later.

I have been back and forth on that SD St play all day. I see a solid value on SD St yet the other side is taking the cash it seems with the move to +2.5, the home court always matters there but it has me wondering a bit about pulling the trigger

 

[charliebrown]

How do you guys calculate this stuff ?

 

[JDS]

How do you guys calculate this stuff ?

Great question for Tanko

 

[Tanko]

I have been back and forth on that SD St play all day. I see a solid value on SD St yet the other side is taking the cash it seems with the move to +2.5, the home court always matters there but it has me wondering a bit about pulling the trigger

I'm not real solid on SD St. Its hitting a lot of my metrics to be a play but frankly Utah St at home is good.

 

[Tanko]

How do you guys calculate this stuff ?

What stuff Charliebrown?
Spreads --> I'm sure JDS, like me has some models and/or systems we use to eval plays to find an edge.

 

[madmaddaddy]

I'm not real solid on SD St. Its hitting a lot of my metrics to be a play but frankly Utah St at home is good.

 

[charliebrown]

What stuff Charliebrown?
Spreads --> I'm sure JDS, like me has some models and/or systems we use to eval plays to find an edge.

I don't even know where to begin. What system? Where do I get one?

 

[Tanko]

1-2 -113 yesterday.

 

[BMR Genie]

Tank, I think CMU almost gave you and JDS a heart attack. But thank you for winning the OT CMU!

 

[Tanko]

Tank, I think CMU almost gave you and JDS a heart attack. But thank you for winning the OT CMU!

It was dicey in near the end.

 

[Tanko]

Today we go with:

Georgia pk -108
James Mad -6.5 -108
Samford -7 -110
Citadel +7.5 -110
N. Iowa Over 131.5 -108

I like the first two the most.

 

[BMR Genie]

Today we go with:

Georgia pk -108
James Mad -6.5 -108
Samford -7 -110
Citadel +7.5 -110
N. Iowa Over 131.5 -108

I like the first two the most.

Rooting for you, Tank!

 

[Tanko]

Adding Illinois -7.5 -108

Djefferies posted this one earlier. Looking it over I agree. It has some legs. GO ILLINI.

 

[Tanko]

3-3 -28 yesterday.... The winners were easy winners. A couple of the losers were close to covering.
Woulda, coulda, shoulda...... been a winning day.

• 5-6 -151 for the week.
• 173-147-12 +1617 for the season.

 

[JDS]

Tanko any info you got on Elon vs Northeastern line seems to be off and it’s stretching even more for the home team ? I don’t see any injuries for Elon.

 

[Tanko]

Tanko any info you got on Elon vs Northeastern line seems to be off and it’s stretching even more for the home team ? I don’t see any injuries for Elon.

Just started capping for the day. Way behind.

Did you notice BOL changed their format again? It messes up my spreadsheets when I scrape the data from the their site. Got to work on fixing it now.

 

[JDS]

Just started capping for the day. Way behind.

Did you notice BOL changed their format again? It messes up my spreadsheets when I scrape the data from the their site. Got to work on fixing it now.

Elon is 2-8 ATS as a underdog -14.4 MOV so the number makes sense, but I like how they've been playing the last couple games, they are still on my radar for today.

 

[Tanko]

Tanko any info you got on Elon vs Northeastern line seems to be off and it’s stretching even more for the home team ? I don’t see any injuries for Elon.

The only thing I see that could be moving it is people are reading into Northeasterns 12 pt win at Elon last month. Frankly, Elon has been playing well the last week beating Top 150 ranked teams Delaware and Wilmington.

Northeastern should win but I'm starting to lean towards the +9.5... If it gets to 10, I may dive in.