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Tanko - CBB Plays 2023-2024

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Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
42,543
Tank, what are some of the implications today in NCAA for teams and Tournament rankings or getting in at all?

In other words, which games matter the most to certain teams?
Biggest one is NC State. Win and they are in. Lose and I don't think they make it.
You will see desperation on their part. Could be a good game to take NC State + points but I've not studied the value yet.
 

Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
42,543
Start today with one of the early games...

UMass +8.5 -108

This line should be closer to +6 so I feel there is some value here with the spread.
This is the #1 and #2 team in the conference vying for NCAA tourny bid. Umass has a shot at winning but taking the spread feels like a safer play with more value.
 

Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
42,543
Adding

UMass +8.5 -108
S. Florida -2 -108

S. Florida seems to easy of a pick... only giving up 2. Maybe I'm reading this one wrong but statistically this should be a 4-5 point spread. I like the edge.
 

Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
42,543
UMass +8.5 -108
S. Florida -2 -108
Nebraska +4.5 -108


Cornhuskers looked pretty damn good yesterday vs Indiana. The Illini didn't look so good vs a good Ohio St. team. Hoiberg should have a good game plan for handling Illinois. 3 pointers will be key IMO.
 

Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
42,543
Any opinion on Houston-Iowa st?
Houston is amazing lately. They crush teams (e.g. TCU, Texas Tech).
Not sure ISU can slow them down enough to win/cover. It will be low scoring as the O/U shows (122 Tot).

I'm laying off that one. Houston will likely cover but I just can't commit since ISU was one of the few teams to find a way to beat them earlier in the year.
 
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