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Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
42,518
G. Mason -2 -108 @ Fordham

I have this game at G. Mason -4.5 to -5, so there is definitely some value on this line.

I think this -2 was influenced by Fordham's recent win over Duquense, which in my view is a 1-off. Prior to Duquene, Fordham was soundly beaten by Davidson, Dayton, St. Bonny, and VCU. 3 of those teams are similar in strenght to G. Mason so why should we expect anything different tonight?

G. Mason is 13-1 this season vs teams ranked > 120 on KenPom (Fordham is #198). Also, they have an overwhelming stats advantage on paper.

1709051803801.jpeg
 

Franz555

Franz555

Joined
Apr 10, 2018
Messages
5,781
G. Mason -2 -108 @ Fordham

I have this game at G. Mason -4.5 to -5, so there is definitely some value on this line.

I think this -2 was influenced by Fordham's recent win over Duquense, which in my view is a 1-off. Prior to Duquene, Fordham was soundly beaten by Davidson, Dayton, St. Bonny, and VCU. 3 of those teams are similar in strenght to G. Mason so why should we expect anything different tonight?

G. Mason is 13-1 this season vs teams ranked > 120 on KenPom (Fordham is #198). Also, they have an overwhelming stats advantage on paper.

View attachment 28933
Great info

Appreciate it
 

sharpsquare

sharpsquare

Joined
Nov 26, 2021
Messages
2,506
G. Mason -2 -108 @ Fordham

I have this game at G. Mason -4.5 to -5, so there is definitely some value on this line.

I think this -2 was influenced by Fordham's recent win over Duquense, which in my view is a 1-off. Prior to Duquene, Fordham was soundly beaten by Davidson, Dayton, St. Bonny, and VCU. 3 of those teams are similar in strenght to G. Mason so why should we expect anything different tonight?

G. Mason is 13-1 this season vs teams ranked > 120 on KenPom (Fordham is #198). Also, they have an overwhelming stats advantage on paper.

View attachment 28933

Looked at this one a few times. figured this line would have been 3.5/4 instead of 2.5, opened lower and the fact that it has moved to -2 has me :+clueless :+clueless :+clueless so I ended up passing.

Now I have to look again
 

Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
42,518
G. Mason -2 -108 @ Fordham

I have this game at G. Mason -4.5 to -5, so there is definitely some value on this line.

I think this -2 was influenced by Fordham's recent win over Duquense, which in my view is a 1-off. Prior to Duquene, Fordham was soundly beaten by Davidson, Dayton, St. Bonny, and VCU. 3 of those teams are similar in strenght to G. Mason so why should we expect anything different tonight?

G. Mason is 13-1 this season vs teams ranked > 120 on KenPom (Fordham is #198). Also, they have an overwhelming stats advantage on paper.

View attachment 28933
G. Mason blew a 14 pt lead in 2nd half. Crazy stuff.

0-1 -108
 

Jrgum3

Jrgum3

Joined
Oct 18, 2021
Messages
5,022
College hoops is just brutal for me. I was on Auburn +7 and of course they lose by 8. They take a stupid shot down 8 with about 20 seconds left and then give up so I lose my bet. Just brutal lately for me but hopefully when March Madness rolls around I scale down my volume and start trending back in the positive direction.
 

Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
42,518
College hoops is just brutal for me. I was on Auburn +7 and of course they lose by 8. They take a stupid shot down 8 with about 20 seconds left and then give up so I lose my bet. Just brutal lately for me but hopefully when March Madness rolls around I scale down my volume and start trending back in the positive direction.
Turn it around Jrgum. Hopefully conference tourny's and March Madness will bring better luck.
 

Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
42,518
Tank any idea what Gonzaga’s ATS is this season?
The SF Dons record is impressive (22-7 w/ 1 loss at home) but they've played no one.
Zags SOS 144. Dons SOS 233.
21 of their 22 wins are against teams > 100 in KenPom. Zags are #20.
Dons are 0-6 as a dog so far this year.

Zags won 11 out of last 12. They are on a momentum upswing.
 

JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
45,036
The SF Dons record is impressive (22-7 w/ 1 loss at home) but they've played no one.
Zags SOS 144. Dons SOS 233.
21 of their 22 wins are against teams > 100 in KenPom. Zags are #20.
Dons are 0-6 as a dog so far this year.

Zags won 11 out of last 12. They are on a momentum upswing.
FYI not a true road game, this game will be played at the Golden State Warriors' home arena, the Chase Center.
 
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