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Tanko - CBB Plays 2023-2024

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sharpsquare

sharpsquare

Joined
Nov 26, 2021
Messages
2,505
Lets see if we can't piss away yesterday's winnings.....

Wisc pk -110
UCSB -3.5 -113
La Tech -7 -108
Delaware -5 -108
W. Illinois -4.5 -107
Jacksonville St. +3.5 -105
Jacksonville St. ML +147
Oregon St +10 -105

Couple more that I'm not as confident about but are on my card:
Purdue Fort Wayne -3.5 -110
Tenn Tech -1.5 -106


I went through that Jax St game a couple of times leaning that way but it just missed. Going to take another look and may add it now I see ur also on it.

GL today tank, and hopefully the little change puts u on a big run!
 

Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
42,497
I went through that Jax St game a couple of times leaning that way but it just missed. Going to take another look and may add it now I see ur also on it.

GL today tank, and hopefully the little change puts u on a big run!
There is an injury to Burney that makes this game a little more risky. He's been out a week but they played well without him their last game. The one before that (without him) they sucked. So, it has some risk. He is questionable tonight.
 

JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
45,029
Lets see if we can't piss away yesterday's winnings.....

Wisc pk -110
UCSB -3.5 -113
La Tech -7 -108
Delaware -5 -108
W. Illinois -4.5 -107
Jacksonville St. +3.5 -105
Jacksonville St. ML +147
Oregon St +10 -105

Couple more that I'm not as confident about but are on my card:
Purdue Fort Wayne -3.5 -110
Tenn Tech -1.5 -106
Great job yesterday love the mid season tweak, let’s see if it pans out for you the rest of the season.
 

Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
42,497
Butler +10.5 -105

Butler is showing the ability to hang close when playing opponents who are above them especially when those opponents are slower in tempo (<=68 possessions/gm). Creighton's tempo is 66.

Butler's only two losses over the last month and a half have been to higher paced teams (tempo Xavier 71, St. Johns 69).

The other 3 losses were to teams slower (Seton 65, Uconn 65, Providence 68) and the margins were much tighter than the 10.5 we're getting today.

It seems the slower the tempo, the more likely Butler is to stay close, intuitively that makes sense.
 

JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
45,029
Butler +10.5 -105

Butler is showing the ability to hang close when playing opponents who are above them especially when those opponents are slower in tempo (<=68 possessions/gm). Creighton's tempo is 66.

Butler's only two losses over the last month and a half have been to higher paced teams (tempo Xavier 71, St. Johns 69).

The other 3 losses were to teams slower (Seton 65, Uconn 65, Providence 68) and the margins were much tighter than the 10.5 we're getting today.

It seems the slower the tempo, the more likely Butler is to stay close, intuitively that makes sense.
I didn’t even consider this good information Tanko.
 

Wagerallsports

Wagerallsports

Joined
Mar 6, 2018
Messages
52,836
Butler +10.5 -105

Butler is showing the ability to hang close when playing opponents who are above them especially when those opponents are slower in tempo (<=68 possessions/gm). Creighton's tempo is 66.

Butler's only two losses over the last month and a half have been to higher paced teams (tempo Xavier 71, St. Johns 69).

The other 3 losses were to teams slower (Seton 65, Uconn 65, Providence 68) and the margins were much tighter than the 10.5 we're getting today.

It seems the slower the tempo, the more likely Butler is to stay close, intuitively that makes sense.
Thanks Tank

Great call by a few at BMR
 

Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
42,497
Massive card today but I'm only posting the few that are a little higher value.
Feels weird they are all Favs. 🤷‍♂️
  • Auburn -3.5 -105 This line has been beaten down too much.
  • BYU -7 -105 BYU is good. W. Virg misses Huggy.
  • Oakland -3.5 -108 Likely my Best Bet today
  • Columbia -1.5 -109 This feels like a gift
  • W. Kentucky -6 -109 I'm seeing +14% EV on this line WTH?
  • Oklahoma -1 -108 Too much love out there for UCF (sorry RDalert) This Okla tm is good. UCF is avg.
There might be more as we go along today.
 
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