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Tanko - 2025 MLB Plays

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Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
49,588
OK @flyingillini we have Cards @ Pirates for the early game today.

Fedde (STL) vs Keller (PIT)
  • Both had good opening game and stunk in 2nd game. (Toss up)
  • Pirates bats 0.249 vs Fedde
  • Cards bats 0.290 vs Keller:checkmark

  • Fedde: WHIP 1.32, K/BB 0.75❌
  • Keller: WHIP 1.86, K/BB 1.60
Cards vs Pirates bats:
  • Cards: WRC+ 133, OPS 0.826, AVG 0.289 :checkmark
  • Pirates: WRC+80, OPS 0.605, Avg 0.205
Runs scored:
  • Last 5 games: STL 6.8 RPG, PIT 4.8 RPG :checkmark
  • Run-differential: STL 4, PIT -19 :checkmark
I could show more but most boxes show Cards advantage.
Odds to win are Cards ~52%.

Is there an edge?
 

Franz555

Franz555

Joined
Apr 10, 2018
Messages
7,383
OK @flyingillini we have Cards @ Pirates for the early game today.

Fedde (STL) vs Keller (PIT)
  • Both had good opening game and stunk in 2nd game. (Toss up)
  • Pirates bats 0.249 vs Fedde
  • Cards bats 0.290 vs Keller:checkmark

  • Fedde: WHIP 1.32, K/BB 0.75❌
  • Keller: WHIP 1.86, K/BB 1.60
Cards vs Pirates bats:
  • Cards: WRC+ 133, OPS 0.826, AVG 0.289 :checkmark
  • Pirates: WRC+80, OPS 0.605, Avg 0.205
Runs scored:
  • Last 5 games: STL 6.8 RPG, PIT 4.8 RPG :checkmark
  • Run-differential: STL 4, PIT -19 :checkmark
I could show more but most boxes show Cards advantage.
Odds to win are Cards ~52%.

Is there an edge?
I was leaning to the Over 7.5. As you noted above , both were hit hard last time out. Last night was Gray vs Skenes , and St Louis hit Skenes like a rag doll. Their 7 games in April has St Louis with totals of 16 , 17 , 22 , 9 , 25 and 8 last night. Weather is cool and cloudy 51F
 

flyingillini

flyingillini

Joined
Jul 25, 2022
Messages
20,424
OK @flyingillini we have Cards @ Pirates for the early game today.

Fedde (STL) vs Keller (PIT)
  • Both had good opening game and stunk in 2nd game. (Toss up)
  • Pirates bats 0.249 vs Fedde
  • Cards bats 0.290 vs Keller:checkmark

  • Fedde: WHIP 1.32, K/BB 0.75❌
  • Keller: WHIP 1.86, K/BB 1.60
Cards vs Pirates bats:
  • Cards: WRC+ 133, OPS 0.826, AVG 0.289 :checkmark
  • Pirates: WRC+80, OPS 0.605, Avg 0.205
Runs scored:
  • Last 5 games: STL 6.8 RPG, PIT 4.8 RPG :checkmark
  • Run-differential: STL 4, PIT -19 :checkmark
I could show more but most boxes show Cards advantage.
Odds to win are Cards ~52%.

Is there an edge?
I am onthem, currently they are -109 at Pinnacle, comes on at 23:35 today, in 90 minutes, can't wait!
 

Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
49,588
I was leaning to the Over 7.5. As you noted above , both were hit hard last time out. Last night was Gray vs Skenes , and St Louis hit Skenes like a rag doll. Their 7 games in April has St Louis with totals of 16 , 17 , 22 , 9 , 25 and 8 last night. Weather is cool and cloudy 51F
Good points. If you can hit Skenes, you can hit anyone.
I love the STL bats but the pitching, especially relief is quesitonable. Your over play is probably the smart one with the poor starting pitching from last outing and bad relief pitching.
 
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