Tanko - 2024 MLB Plays

[Tanko]

Adding Baltimore +126

This one is pretty weak. Barely made the grade for having any value at these odds.
Baltimore has the better pitcher going today
They are 3rd in the league on road win% at 58% (behind NYY, SDP)

The issue has been their bats. Hitting 0.231 over the last 10 days with a run-differential of only 4. But, on the bright side, Boston hasn't been that much better. Avg 0.247 over 10 days and run-differential of -10.

 

[Tanko]

We're jumping back on the Mets today. Sure they lost yesterday so they are due.... right?

Manaea (NYM) v Francis (TOR)
A good pitching matchup. Season total stats may say Francis is the slightly better pitcher here but look deeper. Manaea is better on the road than at home and Francis is worse at home than on the road. I like that kind of trend.

• Manaea RD ERA 2.90/Francis HM ERA 4.41.
• Toronto is 25th in the league batting against left handers (AVG 0.231).

Mets RD vs TOR HM

• Mets win 55% of their road games. Toronto wins 50% of their home games. Slight edge to NYM
• Mets as RD FAV score 1.2 rpg MORE than their opponents. TOR as HM DOG score 2.2 rpg LESS than their opponent.

The only concern is the Mets bats have been flat of late. They will need to do better today.

I see value at this line on the Mets
NYM -115 Bookmaker

Wow. Got lucky on the Mets today. They scored 6 runs in top of the 9th to win 6-2.
I'll take luck over skill any day.

 

[Franz555]

Wow. Got lucky on the Mets today. They scored 6 runs in top of the 9th to win 6-2.
I'll take luck over skill any day.

KeithRichards and I made a pact to stay away from the Mets today.

Your Welcome

 

[Tanko]

KeithRichards and I made a pact to stay away from the Mets today.

Your Welcome

That must have been it.
Thanks guys.

 

[keithrichard]

That must have been it.
Thanks guys.

KeithRichards and I made a pact to stay away from the Mets today.

Your Welcome

Yup I almost pulled the trigger and backed out at the last minute.

 

[Tanko]

KeithRichards and I made a pact to stay away from the Mets today.

Your Welcome

Yup I almost pulled the trigger and backed out at the last minute.

You guys going to toy with me from now on aren't you?

 

[keithrichard]

You guys going to toy with me from now on aren't you?

Yup you probably should add the Franz&Keith factors into your daily analysis here on in.

 

[Tanko]

Today 1-1 $0
Breaking even. Was hoping for the O's to win in the 10th but no go.

 

[keithrichard]

Seattle's Woo pitching perfect game through 6 innings. My only bet today.

 

[Tanko]

Wow. I know its a short schedule Thursday but dayam.... There are some long odds on these games today.

I've been trying to stay away from the less advantageous (in general) runlines but we may have to bite some off today.

 

[Tanko]

SF +114

I see this game as a toss up (MIL/SF) with maybe a slight edge to SF with their recent play. Milwaukee has not played well lately. MIL is 55% win rate on the road and SF is the same at home.

 

[BMR Genie]

SF +114

I see this game as a toss up (MIL/SF) with maybe a slight edge to SF with their recent play. Milwaukee has not played well lately. MIL is 55% win rate on the road and SF is the same at home.

Good luck, Tank.

LT is only on the ML on this one.

 

[Tanko]

Yesterday 0-1 -$100

That makes it 3 days in a row without a +money day.
I've got to do better.

 

[RRsilver]

Yesterday 0-1 -$100

That makes it 3 days in a row without a +money day.
I've got to do better.

you can turn it around!

 

[Tanko]

Start with this one today.

DET -102

 

[Tanko]

Start with this one today.

DET -102

Adding:
CIN +155
PHI -130

 

[Tanko]

DET -102
CIN +155
PHI -130

Adding:
ATL -106
CLE -120

 

[RRsilver]

DET -102
CIN +155
PHI -130

Adding:
ATL -106
CLE -120

GL today!

 

[Tanko]

GL today!

We overlap on the reds and and atl but opposite sides on PHI/NYM.
GL buddy.

 

[Tanko]

Yesterday 3-2 +$94