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Tampa Bay Downs 2022-2023

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rdalert447

rdalert447

Joined
Jun 5, 2022
Messages
3,570
Race 2

$20 win #5 Lady Wood 15-1

$2 exbx 5/4,6

$1 P3 5/ALL/5

$1 P3 5/2/ALL

Trainer Leslielyn Hardesty doesn’t show up often, but when she (he?) does, it’s usually bombs away. Last two meets here she’s 5 for 19, +$71 ROI. Positive ROI with short-ish type layoffs, 15-30 days +$38. Positive ROI with the owner, 4 for 12 +$60. My kind of trainer…
 

rdalert447

rdalert447

Joined
Jun 5, 2022
Messages
3,570
Race 2

$20 win #5 Lady Wood 15-1

$2 exbx 5/4,6

$1 P3 5/ALL/5

$1 P3 5/2/ALL

Trainer Leslielyn Hardesty doesn’t show up often, but when she (he?) does, it’s usually bombs away. Last two meets here she’s 5 for 19, +$71 ROI. Positive ROI with short-ish type layoffs, 15-30 days +$38. Positive ROI with the owner, 4 for 12 +$60. My kind of trainer…
Not much out of that one.
 

rdalert447

rdalert447

Joined
Jun 5, 2022
Messages
3,570
Race 5

$20 win #10 Stronger Together

$1 P3 10/3,5/ALL

Wasn’t going to bet this one due to its 5/2 morning line, but currently 5-1 with 5 mtp. If we get anywhere near that, it’s a steal. Trainer has been solid here last couple of meets.
 

rdalert447

rdalert447

Joined
Jun 5, 2022
Messages
3,570
Race 6

$20 win #3 Royal Gold Digger 20-1

$2 exbx 3-5

.50c tri 3,5/ALL/3,5

$1 P3 3/ALL/5,8

Another Aldana Spieth/Endsley Oaks entrant, which I mentioned a couple times early in the thread. I’m convinced they are going to bomb one out this meet.
 

rdalert447

rdalert447

Joined
Jun 5, 2022
Messages
3,570
Race 9

$20 win #8 Novrogod The Great

$2 exbx 8/2,5,7

Gulick very solid at Tampa, usually hitting in the 25% range. Horse is solid too at 10-4-3-2. Surprised it’s hovering in the 6-1 area with about 6 mtp.
 

rdalert447

rdalert447

Joined
Jun 5, 2022
Messages
3,570
Heading out to Universal for the day. Fired out win bets on these. Hope one or two bombers connect:

Race 2 #5 Nip of Bourbon (Spieth) 15-1

Race 3 #6 D’Oro Baby (Ochoa) 10-1

Race 6 #5 Luca Drew the Ace (Posadas) 20-1

Race 7 #6 Fall Moon (Padilla) 8-1

Race 8 #7 Galaxy Music (Ochoa) 15-1

Race 9 #2 Major Sparks (Granitz) 15-1

Daigon Alley, here I come…
 

rdalert447

rdalert447

Joined
Jun 5, 2022
Messages
3,570
A couple of live long ones today, boys. Look alert.

Race 1

#3 Luca Drew the Ace 12-1

I don’t know if trainer Hardesty is a guy or girl, but she has some great numbers at Tampa in very limited number of starts. Over the last two meets, she is 5 for 19 with a whopping plus $71 ROI. Unheard of. When you break it down by category, it makes today’s entrant all the more appealing:

33% Dirt Sprints, +$79 ROI

25 % Short Layoffs, +$38 ROI

33% cutting in distance, plus +$32

and here’s a crazy one: 50% when off at 11-1 to 20-1, +$54 ROI.

Fire at will.
 

rdalert447

rdalert447

Joined
Jun 5, 2022
Messages
3,570
Ochoa has the other live long one. He’s a notorious bomber here and at Colonial. Hasn’t detonated a thing yet. He will.

Race 5

#1 True Atka 15-1

Ochoa scored with this one at 57-1 at Colonial in August. Has run some good races here in the past. Should be improving today with a few Tampa races under its belt.

Ochoa has two other entrants today as well, in races 3 and 7. Low odds though, so I’ll probably only use in exotics.


Good luck today.
 
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