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Super Bowl LX Prop thread.

Archie

Archie

Joined
Nov 8, 2021
Messages
9,464
never too early to sniff around.

already locked in JSN over 90.5 receiving yards
 

Archie

Archie

Joined
Nov 8, 2021
Messages
9,464
octapus +1200 player gets TD and 2 point conv
 

Wagerallsports

Wagerallsports

Joined
Mar 6, 2018
Messages
81,120

Smith-Njigba most popular player in early Super Bowl betting​


By Doug Greenberg

In early player prop and MVP wagering for Super Bowl LX, one name is rising above the rest: Jaxon Smith-Njigba.

The Seattle Seahawks wide receiver is currently DraftKings Sportsbook's most-bet first touchdown scorer (+550) with 15% of the handle, as well as its most-bet anytime touchdown scorer. BetMGM similarly reports Smith-Njigba attracting the most anytime touchdown and first touchdown wagers, making him a liability for the book.

"Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Seattle's Defense/Special Teams finding paydirt have become bad results for the book right now," BetMGM trading manager Christian Cipollini said in an email release.

Both books list the 23-year-old's anytime touchdown prop at -110, which has already shortened from +100 likely due in part to the heavy action he has received. That said, Smith-Njigba's implied odds to score a touchdown, defined as "the probability of an outcome projected by Mike Clay [converted] into a money line," are +181.

Smith-Njigba has by far the highest receiving yards over/under of any player at 95.5, according to DraftKings lines. The sportsbook reports him receiving the most wagers in the most receiving yards market (-185), as well as the most receptions market (-158).

All the early betting fervor around Smith-Njigba extends to the Super Bowl MVP market, where he is also becoming a creeping liability. At +550, he has the shortest odds for a wide receiver to win Super Bowl MVP since Larry Fitzgerald in 2009 (+400), and seeks to be the longest winner overall since his current teammate, Cooper Kupp, won it at +600 with the Los Angeles Rams in 2022, according to SportsOddsHistory.

DraftKings says Smith-Njigba is its second-most-bet MVP candidate by handle (19%), while BetMGM reports him receiving by far its most handle (24.9%), making him its largest liability in the market.
 
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