Super Bowl LX Prop thread.

[Archie]

that worries me

 

[pipe]

He could very well be the MVP

Nope.

 

[pipe]

Smith-Njigba most popular player in early Super Bowl betting​

By Doug Greenberg

In early player prop and MVP wagering for Super Bowl LX, one name is rising above the rest: Jaxon Smith-Njigba.

The Seattle Seahawks wide receiver is currently DraftKings Sportsbook's most-bet first touchdown scorer (+550) with 15% of the handle, as well as its most-bet anytime touchdown scorer. BetMGM similarly reports Smith-Njigba attracting the most anytime touchdown and first touchdown wagers, making him a liability for the book.

"Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Seattle's Defense/Special Teams finding paydirt have become bad results for the book right now," BetMGM trading manager Christian Cipollini said in an email release.

Both books list the 23-year-old's anytime touchdown prop at -110, which has already shortened from +100 likely due in part to the heavy action he has received. That said, Smith-Njigba's implied odds to score a touchdown, defined as "the probability of an outcome projected by Mike Clay [converted] into a money line," are +181.

Smith-Njigba has by far the highest receiving yards over/under of any player at 95.5, according to DraftKings lines. The sportsbook reports him receiving the most wagers in the most receiving yards market (-185), as well as the most receptions market (-158).

All the early betting fervor around Smith-Njigba extends to the Super Bowl MVP market, where he is also becoming a creeping liability. At +550, he has the shortest odds for a wide receiver to win Super Bowl MVP since Larry Fitzgerald in 2009 (+400), and seeks to be the longest winner overall since his current teammate, Cooper Kupp, won it at +600 with the Los Angeles Rams in 2022, according to SportsOddsHistory.

DraftKings says Smith-Njigba is its second-most-bet MVP candidate by handle (19%), while BetMGM reports him receiving by far its most handle (24.9%), making him its largest liability in the market.

 

[Archie]

big on JSN already
might as well take MVP and a record breaking performance.


Single
@
+3500
Open
Feb 4 • 2026
Ticket ID: 12191673022
Any Player to Record 216+ Receiving Yards - Including Overtime: Yes (Winner)
SEA Seahawks vs NE Patriots
Wager:
$10.00
Pot. Payout:
$360.00

 

[Archie]

might hit 58+ yard fg prop for +650 as well

 

[KingKolzig]

If J.Smith-Nigre gets to 100.5 yds im pounding the under

 

[Pimike]

Over

 

[JDS]

TE AJ Barner u 2.5 total receptions +125.

His last 4 games his targets have plummeted to 12.7% per route run rate. They will probably play him man to man as New England often does, which in those situations last 4 games 0% targets. The return of rookie Elijah Arroyo and resurgence of Cooper Cupp could make this a good prop to take a look at.