Super Bowl 60 🏈 PRE/IN GAME DISCUSSION THREAD 🏈

[BigJay]

The Patriots have had Sam Darnold's number View attachment 84603

Wow. Most of that is with the Jets obviously when he was in their same conference??

 

[Wagerallsports]

2026 Super Bowl betting buzz: Sportsbooks split on how to handle heavy early Seahawks betting​

Jan 31. Sportsbooks resist moving Super Bowl line despite heavy Seahawks action​

By David Purdum

After a week of betting, the point spread on Super Bowl LX was holding steady Saturday, with the Seattle Seahawks remaining consensus 4.5-point favorites over the New England Patriots.

Sportsbooks have been reporting early lopsided action on the Seahawks to cover the spread. As of Saturday, 75% of the money that had been bet on the Super Bowl spread with DraftKings was on Seattle. In addition, Patriots quarterback Drake Maye, who is battling a sore shoulder, missed Friday's practice with an illness.

Despite the early action on the Seahawks and Maye's ailments, most sportsbooks were holding the line at 4.5.

"At this point, it would require significant additional action on Seattle -4.5, or a meaningful update to Drake Maye's injury status, for us to consider a move," Neil Walsh, senior vice president for Hard Rock Bet, told ESPN. "We do not anticipate either occurring for the next few days."

Jamey Pileggi, head NFL oddsmaker for Circa Sports, said it would take a "six- or seven-figure" bet on the Seahawks at -4.5 to push the line up to -5.

Two Las Vegas sportsbooks -- the South Point and the Westgate SuperBook -- had bumped the line up to -5 in recent days.

Chris Andrews, the South Point's veteran sportsbook director, made the adjustment to Seahawks -5 on Thursday, saying that he'd rather be the first sportsbook to make the move than the last. Since making the move to -5, Andrews said the action has been extremely balanced.

"Only $3 separates the teams at five," Andrews said.

Bookmakers weren't putting much stock in any impact Maye's shoulder might have. Andrews said he was going to let the money wagered guide him. He estimated only around 5% of the total money that he expects will be wagered on the Super Bowl had been placed in the first week.

 

[pipe]

As of Saturday, 75% of the money that had been bet on the Super Bowl spread with DraftKings was on Seattle. Maye Day.

 

[pipe]

One week away... Warriors!

 

[pipe]

37K views · 2.3K reactions | WARRIORSSSSSS | New England Patriots

WARRIORSSSSSS

www.facebook.com

 

[agendaman]

it looks too good.caution.

 

[justlooking]

I didn't know anything about Don Juan at Covers until recently, but his Super Bowl record is pretty damn solid at 20-4.

Today, he picked Seattle -4.5. Mathematically, everything will go towards the mean of 50/50, which then he should lose but can't go against what he is picking. I can only hope my Seattle ML wager is safe and now I'm beginning to think to bet Seattle ML 1st Half as well as it's only -185 at DK. LOL


Hello, old friends and followers,

It's hard to believe that I'm 83 years young. Yet here I am defying the odds like a superhero in a retirement home, but with more wrinkles, and looking forward to watching my 60th Super Bowl.

First, I want to thank Covers/Wagerline for enabling me to share my selections and celebrate my 25th anniversary on this platform. Over the last 24 years, I've proudly managed a Super Bowl record of 20-4 against the spread. Some may call it luck, perhaps a little, but I attribute it to an unwavering passion for the game and a ton of research.

As many of you know, I prefer to focus on the big picture, rather than just statistics. This year, I'm backing the more seasoned quarterback. Darnold has played for five different teams, made it to two Pro Bowls, and reached the playoffs last year. He has more experience than a cat has nine lives, much like me. And, I like his mobility.

So, my official prediction for Super Bowl 60 is the Seattle Seahawks -4.5

Good luck and Godspeed, Don Juan.

 

[justlooking]

Something else I happened to notice at Covers.

Even though the bet percentage is a bit lopsided on Seattle currently, it's still way too early and I'm sure the majority of bets haven't even happened yet and I'm beginning to think that the public sentiment is towards New England and not Seattle since I'm reading more people picking New England than Seattle on Covers.

It will be interesting to see where the bet percentage falls by the kick off, but I'm guessing it will even out or maybe even move more towards New England by then which is what I'm hoping for.

 

[pipe]

Through 59 Super Bowls, favorites have a nearly .500 record against the spread (ATS), going 29-24-2 or 28-27-2 depending on the data source, indicating they rarely cover consistently. While winning 37 out of 57 games straight up (64.9%), favorites have struggled recently, with underdogs covering in 16 of the last 23, and in 17 of the last 25 games.
Historical Performance Against the Spread (ATS)
Overall Record: Favorites are approximately 29-24-2 ATS in Super Bowl history.
Recent Trend: Underdogs have dominated recently, covering in 16 of the last 23 Super Bowls.
Last 10 Years: Favorites are 3-7 ATS in the last 10 Super Bowls.
Consecutive Covers: Underdogs have covered in five consecutive Super Bowls.
Key Betting Trends
Close Games: Despite being favored, favorites often win by small margins, leading to "bad beats" where they win the game but fail to cover.
Common Spreads: The most frequent spread in Super Bowl history is 3 points.
Upsets: The biggest upset in Super Bowl history was Super Bowl III, where the New York Jets beat the Baltimore Colts as 18-point underdogs.
Large Spreads: Teams favored by double digits have historically struggled to cover, with the last three such favorites failing to do so.
While favorites win more than 60% of the time straight up, betting on them to cover the spread has not been profitable in the long term, particularly over the last two decades.

 

[pipe]

Gimme that +190 This will cash Super Sunday

 

[phillyflyers]

So let's see...

Vast majority of the planet believes Seahawks.

Many of the majority believes Seahawks in a blowout.

Vegas taking heavy action on Seahawks.

Chances Patriots win outright and the books fukk the whole planet?

100%.

 

[justlooking]

So let's see...

Vast majority of the planet believes Seahawks.

Many of the majority believes Seahawks in a blowout.

Vegas taking heavy action on Seahawks.

Chances Patriots win outright and the books fukk the whole planet?

100%.

Vast majority of the planet believes Seahawks. <- Incorrect. Go see for yourself at https://www.covers.com/forum/nfl-betting-21. Vast majority is picking New England. I haven't checked the posts here to see what percentage is backing New England, but my guess it's the same; thus New England is the public sentiment.

Many of the majority believes Seahawks in a blowout. <- Also, incorrect. I saw may be ONE post at Covers that he thinks Seahawks will win in a blowout, but it was posted by someone who is totally new and had only that one post. LOL

Vegas taking heavy action on Seahawks. <- I would say that's also incorrect. Where have you read that that's what's happening? Only 2 over a million dollar wagers and they are both on New England. The current bet percentage is skewered towards Seattle at 75% to 25%, but what's 75% of maybe 5% to 10% of the total wagers? Practically nothing. The bet percentage by the kick off is what matters, which then you know where the public is siding and I'm beginning to think it's going to be New England not like now. If not, then I guess my Seattle moneyline bet is in trouble but it could still win and New England could backdoor cover.

Chances Patriots win outright and the books fukk the whole planet? <- It could happen, but that's if the whole planet is on Seattle. I highly doubt that's what the $$$ bet percentage will be by the kick off.

In the end, you cannot be capping looking at something you don't know for fact.

Don't you think it's better to just figure out who the better team is and hope that better team wins and covers?

You don't think Seattle is the better team of the two? I do and that's why I already bet Seattle ML as soon as the line came out at DraftKings and I'm waiting to bet even more at Borgata or Hard Rock.

 

[pipe]

Winning

 

[pipe]

Seattle vs. New England A look at how both defenses stacked up this season, playoffs included

 

[pipe]

10M views · 259K reactions | Dirty lowdown... 🕺 | Defected Records

Dirty lowdown... 🕺

www.facebook.com

 

[Wagerallsports]

I believe NFL awards are Thursday night

 

[Pimike]

27-20 may be dead on

 

[phillyflyers]

Vast majority of the planet believes Seahawks. <- Incorrect. Go see for yourself at https://www.covers.com/forum/nfl-betting-21. Vast majority is picking New England. I haven't checked the posts here to see what percentage is backing New England, but my guess it's the same; thus New England is the public sentiment.

Many of the majority believes Seahawks in a blowout. <- Also, incorrect. I saw may be ONE post at Covers that he thinks Seahawks will win in a blowout, but it was posted by someone who is totally new and had only that one post. LOL

Vegas taking heavy action on Seahawks. <- I would say that's also incorrect. Where have you read that that's what's happening? Only 2 over a million dollar wagers and they are both on New England. The current bet percentage is skewered towards Seattle at 75% to 25%, but what's 75% of maybe 5% to 10% of the total wagers? Practically nothing. The bet percentage by the kick off is what matters, which then you know where the public is siding and I'm beginning to think it's going to be New England not like now. If not, then I guess my Seattle moneyline bet is in trouble but it could still win and New England could backdoor cover.

Chances Patriots win outright and the books fukk the whole planet? <- It could happen, but that's if the whole planet is on Seattle. I highly doubt that's what the $$$ bet percentage will be by the kick off.

In the end, you cannot be capping looking at something you don't know for fact.

Don't you think it's better to just figure out who the better team is and hope that better team wins and covers?

You don't think Seattle is the better team of the two? I do and that's why I already bet Seattle ML as soon as the line came out at DraftKings and I'm waiting to bet even more at Borgata or Hard Rock.

NFL Public Betting Trends - Latest Bet & Money Percentages for Super Bowl

Track NFL public betting trends for the 2025/26 season. See weekly bet percentages, money splits & sharp vs public insights for all matchups.

www.sportsbettingdime.com

Super Bowl LX Betting Report: 'The Public Isn’t Buying the Patriots' | FOX Sports

It's still early, but so far, the public is throwing its support behind the Seahawks in droves. Patrick Everson has the report.

www.foxsports.com

NFL Public Betting & Money Percentages | The Action Network

Get public betting percentages on every NFL game to see which teams might be overvalued and undervalued by bettors.

www.actionnetwork.com

https://www.reddit.com/r/billsimmons/comments/1qtyj7k/70_of_the_public_is_betting_on_the_seahawks

 

[justlooking]

NFL Public Betting Trends - Latest Bet & Money Percentages for Super Bowl

Track NFL public betting trends for the 2025/26 season. See weekly bet percentages, money splits & sharp vs public insights for all matchups.

www.sportsbettingdime.com

Super Bowl LX Betting Report: 'The Public Isn’t Buying the Patriots' | FOX Sports

It's still early, but so far, the public is throwing its support behind the Seahawks in droves. Patrick Everson has the report.

www.foxsports.com

NFL Public Betting & Money Percentages | The Action Network

Get public betting percentages on every NFL game to see which teams might be overvalued and undervalued by bettors.

www.actionnetwork.com

https://www.reddit.com/r/billsimmons/comments/1qtyj7k/70_of_the_public_is_betting_on_the_seahawks

You know, it's really funny how the internet is all talking about how the line hasn't moved this and that when everyone's on Seattle.

1. Who knows for fact that everyone's on Seattle? Based on what I read, only like 5 to 10% of wagers are made in the first week as the majority of the bets occur on the weekend of the Super Bowl up to the kick off. If the bet percentage is still lopsided by then, they can talk about this shit then.
2. I go by what I see and what I see is that on Covers, the majority is backing the Patriots. I don't know about this forum since not that many people are probably betting real money.
3. I will be asking the betting clerks at Hard Rock and Borgata this weekend, and if they say they are taking more bets dollar wise on Seattle than New England, then I guess my Seattle moneyline bet is in trouble.

Lastly, haven't you seen the bet percentage flip by the kick off at ActionNetwork? What they show at 70% to 30% means nothing as of now in my opnion. I guess we will find out soon enough.

If you are betting New England or already bet them, then good luck to you.

I'm sure your confidence level on New England isn't like the Washington vs Detroit in last year's playoffs. You were dead on with that pick and I wish I would have listened since I would have won in 20K range.

 

[phillyflyers]

You know, it's really funny how the internet is all talking about how the line hasn't moved this and that when everyone's on Seattle.

1. Who knows for fact that everyone's on Seattle? Based on what I read, only like 5 to 10% of wagers are made in the first week as the majority of the bets occur on the weekend of the Super Bowl up to the kick off. If the bet percentage is still lopsided by then, they can talk about this shit then.
2. I go by what I see and what I see is that on Covers, the majority is backing the Patriots. I don't know about this forum since not that many people are probably betting real money.
3. I will be asking the betting clerks at Hard Rock and Borgata this weekend, and if they say they are taking more bets dollar wise on Seattle than New England, then I guess my Seattle moneyline bet is in trouble.

Lastly, haven't you seen the bet percentage flip by the kick off at ActionNetwork? What they show at 70% to 30% means nothing as of now in my opnion. I guess we will find out soon enough.

If you are betting New England or already bet them, then good luck to you.

I'm sure your confidence level on New England isn't like the Washington vs Detroit in last year's playoffs. You were dead on with that pick and I wish I would have listened since I would have won in 20K range.

Here's a clue...

The vast majority of the money is coming in on Seattle. Yet, Vegas refuses to move the line.

Why?

Because Vegas knows the Patriots are going to win the game.

Therefore, what interest is there in moving the line and make it where everyone starts putting money on the Patriots when they know the Pats are going to win? Thereby losing all that new money.

Vegas knows. I know.