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Super Bowl 60 🏈 PRE/IN GAME DISCUSSION THREAD 🏈

justlooking

justlooking

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Apr 9, 2022
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325
I think d.maye is healthy
I didn't believe for a moment that his shoulder injury was going affect the game. No line movement proved it.

Regardless, I'm just curious how he will fare vs the Seahawks defense when he's behind (by a lot too I'm hoping).

People talk about the Rams torching Seattle in passing. The Rams have great WRs and TEs too that I'm sure are better than what New England has not to mention Stafford.

I'm beginning to think that Cooper Kupp could be the one that makes the difference if JSN is blanketed the whole game. You figure Vrabel will do what Belichick did which is to locate the best offensive player and shut him down. Well, Seattle has more than one best offensive player, so good luck with that.

Can't wait for the Super Bowl to start. I hate sweating the game, so I hope it will be easy on my heart. LOL
 

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The biggest liability in the SB right now is the Over
The second biggest liability in the SB is Seattle 😲
 

justlooking

justlooking

Joined
Apr 9, 2022
Messages
325
The biggest liability in the SB right now is the Over
The second biggest liability in the SB is Seattle 😲
That's good news for my Seattle moneyline.

They both probably won't happen for the public, and it's more likely that the game goes under than over. So, if the game does go under then Seattle wins and covers. It could be the other way around but I'm hoping it's not.

I suppose they both could fail for the public, but that's not what I've seen in the past.

The bet percentage is equalizing which I'm glad to see. I wouldn't be surprised if it ends up almost 50/50 by the kick off.

I just won $350 playing Pai Gow Tiles for a couple of hours at Hard Rock. I was down $1,000 and I had to shove $1,100 to be even because of the commission. Up over $1,000 in 4 days this week. Up over $1,200 last week in 4 days. Hopefully, this winning streak continues into the Super Bowl and I win that too.
 

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Messages
11,212
That's good news for my Seattle moneyline.

They both probably won't happen for the public, and it's more likely that the game goes under than over. So, if the game does go under then Seattle wins and covers. It could be the other way around but I'm hoping it's not.

I suppose they both could fail for the public, but that's not what I've seen in the past.

The bet percentage is equalizing which I'm glad to see. I wouldn't be surprised if it ends up almost 50/50 by the kick off.

I just won $350 playing Pai Gow Tiles for a couple of hours at Hard Rock. I was down $1,000 and I had to shove $1,100 to be even because of the commission. Up over $1,000 in 4 days this week. Up over $1,200 last week in 4 days. Hopefully, this winning streak continues into the Super Bowl and I win that too.
Good on you getting your money playing. But I'm so sure that the Patriots are gonna win and cover that I'm also sure that an Alternate line of the Patriots - 2 1/2 +225 is gonna be good 😜
 

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It seems as if almost no one outside of New England has much confidence in the Patriots. More than 70% of all spread bets that have been placed so far reside with Seattle, the largest percentage in Super Bowl history 👀 😲 💣 💣 💣 🤯 💣 💣
 

Wagerallsports

Wagerallsports

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Mar 6, 2018
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80,674

Sharp money moves point spread on Seahawks-Patriots Super Bowl​

LV REVIEW JOURNAL SUBSCRIPTION

The betting public is all over the Seattle Seahawks in Sunday’s Super Bowl, but sharp bets on the New England Patriots on Friday caused the point spread to drop at the Westgate SuperBook.

The Seahawks were holding steady as 4½-point favorites at every Las Vegas sportsbook except the Westgate and South Point, where they were -5. That changed Friday when the Westgate lowered them to 4½ (-105 on both sides). The South Point is still at 5 (-105 on both sides).

“This morning, we took some money at +5,” Westgate vice president of race and sports John Murray said Friday. “There were some sharp accounts that took +5, and we wanted to get to 4½ before we flipped over to -105 juice.”

Despite the sharp action on the underdog, Murray said more than 60 percent of the tickets and money are on Seattle.

“Right now, we’re definitely rooting for New England,” he said. “I’ll be surprised if we’re not rooting for New England on Sunday.”

Boomer’s Sportsbook director of trading Nick Bogdanovich said 70 percent of the money and 60 percent of the tickets are on the Seahawks at his shop, which also is booking the Super Bowl at -105 on each side.

“We’ll definitely need the Patriots. It’s just a matter of how much,” he said. “There’s probably some sharp bettors out there hoping this thing goes up. In their wishes, they probably want to take six. They know it’s probably not going any lower because all the money is on Seattle. They’re just waiting for the highest number.

“You’d be foolish to jump in early if you’re looking to bet on the Patriots.”

The consensus total is 45½, with Circa Sports and Boomer’s at 45.

“We need over for now, but you never know on the Super Bowl,” Bogdanovich said. “Someone could come and plop a big bet on the over. People love betting the Super Bowl over just for action. There was sharp money definitely under 46, but that decision could change over the weekend.”

At STN Sports, 66 percent of the spread bets and 58 percent of money line wagers are on Seattle, while 65 percent of bets on the total are on the over.
 

Wagerallsports

Wagerallsports

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‘Seahawks, Seahawks, Seahawks’: Betting public all over Seattle in Super Bowl​

LV REVIEW JOURNAL SUBSCRIPTION

With kickoff to Super Bowl 60 fast approaching, the action at Las Vegas sportsbooks has been fast and furious on the Seattle Seahawks.

“Unless there’s a miracle, we’ll definitely need the Patriots pretty good,” Boomer’s Sportsbook director of trading Nick Bogdanovich said Saturday, less than 24 hours before Sunday’s NFL title game at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, California.

A sharp bettor at BetMGM wagered almost $788,000 to win $716,000 on New England +4½ early in the week, but MGM Resorts director of trading Lamarr Mitchell said it’s been almost all Seahawks action since then as they account for almost 75 percent of the tickets.

“Everyone’s laying the 4½,” he said. “Outside of a couple early bets from our sharps on the Patriots, everything has pretty much been Seahawks, Seahawks, Seahawks.”

Seattle is a consensus 4½-point favorite and the consensus total is 45½.

“I was talking to a lot of people around town and it seems like everybody’s in a similar position. There are a lot of Seattle bets. The public likes Seattle,” Westgate vice president of race and sports John Murray said. “If New England were to win, we’d have a great day.”

The South Point and STN Sports were both at 5 on Saturday before lowering the line to 4½.

“We briefly went to 4½ but we’ve been mostly at 5,” South Point sportsbook director Chris Andrews said Saturday night. “At this point, we definitely need New England, which is why I’m staying at 5. We’ve got the highest money line in town, too, at -250 (on the Seahawks) and +210 (on the Patriots).

“It’s been all Seattle — not all Seattle — but a large amount on Seattle.”

Red Rock Resort sportsbook director Chuck Esposito said the best-case scenario at STN Sports is for the Seahawks to win but not cover.

“We did take a good-sized six-figure wager on the Patriots money line (at +205) that drove us back down to 4½,” he said. “Right now, the best-case scenario would be the ’Hawks winning by 1, 2, 3 or 4. The worst case would be Seahawks cover and over.

“But a lot can change. Sixty percent of the money will probably be (bet) between (Saturday) night and kickoff (Sunday).”

A bettor wagered $152,000 on Seattle on the money line (-230) Saturday at Caesars Sportsbook, where 68 percent of the money against the spread is on the Seahawks.

Caesars also took a $100,000 wager on the coin toss to land on tails.

Sixty-five percent of the tickets at the Westgate, STN Sports and Boomer’s are on the Seahawks and 75 percent of the money at Boomer’s is on Seattle.

“We’ll get plenty of action on Sunday. People are betting on basketball. They’re betting on the tables. They don’t want to tie their (money) up until the final day,” Bogdanovich said. “Hopefully some Patriots money shows up. If not, we’ll roll with Drake Maye and Co.”

Total recall​


The total is 45½ at every book except Circa, which is at 45.

“Sharp money’s on the under but the public’s overpowering it with all the parlays to the over. Favorite and the ’dog,” Andrews said. “I’ve been to 46 a couple times and wise guys have come in and bet under the 46. I told them to stick around. We might be back to the 46. Who knows?”

The ticket count on the over was as high as 74 percent at STN before dropping Saturday to 66 percent. Sixty percent of the money at the Westgate is on the over and 58 percent at Caesars is on the over.

“We continue to see larger wagers on the under,” Esposito said. “We’re even starting to see a little bit of under money starting to show from the public.”
 

justlooking

justlooking

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Messages
325
“But a lot can change. Sixty percent of the money will probably be (bet) between (Saturday) night and kickoff (Sunday).”

@Wagerallsports

Do you have more recent report than that or is that it before the kick off?

I swear, these oddsmakers are joke. Earlier in the week, they say one thing and now they say something else. The way I see, they are just trying to influence the public to bet one way or another if anything for those who haven't made up the mind yet. I don't know if I should even bother paying attention to what they are saying. At Covers, they have a lot of posters talking about how everyone's on Seattle and therefore they have to bet the Pats. Good luck with that.

All I know is that the bet percentages I see in places I check, they are all steadily dropping on Seattle. ActionNetwork is now at only 57% on Seattle and so is Scoresandodds.

At BetMGM, it's showing that the moneyline bets are 52% to 48%. If that percentage holds, then they will need Seattle to win; otherwise, they are going to lose a lot to pay the New England moneyline bets unless that's just the ticket counts and not the $ volume.
 

Wagerallsports

Wagerallsports

Joined
Mar 6, 2018
Messages
80,674
“But a lot can change. Sixty percent of the money will probably be (bet) between (Saturday) night and kickoff (Sunday).”

@Wagerallsports

Do you have more recent report than that or is that it before the kick off?

I swear, these oddsmakers are joke. Earlier in the week, they say one thing and now they say something else. The way I see, they are just trying to influence the public to bet one way or another if anything for those who haven't made up the mind yet. I don't know if I should even bother paying attention to what they are saying. At Covers, they have a lot of posters talking about how everyone's on Seattle and therefore they have to bet the Pats. Good luck with that.

All I know is that the bet percentages I see in places I check, they are all steadily dropping on Seattle. ActionNetwork is now at only 57% on Seattle and so is Scoresandodds.

At BetMGM, it's showing that the moneyline bets are 52% to 48%. If that percentage holds, then they will need Seattle to win; otherwise, they are going to lose a lot to pay the New England moneyline bets unless that's just the ticket counts and not the $ volume.
All i see is something from ESPN stating the same thing

 
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