Stormtrooper8 NFL 2023

[Tanko]

Crappy week. Gotta clean this shit up

6-8 Week 9
80-52-4 overall ATS

View attachment 21658

ATS overall record: 74-44-4
Week 1: 10-6
Week 2: 9-5-2
Week 3: 12-4
Week 4: 10-5-1
Week 5: 8-5-1
Week 6: 9-6
Week 7: 8-5
Week 8: 8-8


Week 9 ATS plays

View attachment 21413


Brief notes on each game:

TEN/PIT: This one is pretty close to a true coin flip for me. Think Steelers offense is too much of a mess, and like Vrabel as a dog – especially against a limited offense.

MIA/KC: Don’t love the line movement, but think this is a correction game for KC. Reid will have a good scheme against a so-so defense, and think this is generally a “get right” game even though I’m generally high on Miami.

MIN/ATL: I don’t trust Atlanta, but I really don’t trust Minnesota more with their QB situation. Weird number but I’ll lay it with the home team with more to play for.

SEA/BAL: This is another tough game, but the Seahawks have done really well with the early game slot going East. They are a tough team that matches up well, so I’ll take the points.

CHI/NO: This game sucks. Don’t like laying this many points with New Orleans, but think their defense is just going to be too much for the Bears offense. No money either way, though Saints likely my survivor pick

AZ/CLE: First time taking Cleveland all year! And it’ll probably backfire. Just don’t like the QB situation for Arizona, especially on the road against the Browns defense. Shouldn’t be a lot of scoring here.

TB/HOU: Really torn on this one, but think the Bucs defense will give them a chance to win. Houston coming back down to Earth a bit.

WAS/NE: The Patriots are pretty crappy, but they tend to be able to “take out the trash”, and this is a good opportunity to. Would have loved 2.5 or 3 though.

LAR/GB: Rams QB situation is iffy, but I think they’re simply a better team all-around and Packers look very lost on both sides of the ball right now. I’ll take the points.

IND/CAR: Kind of an interesting late afternoon game lol. Don’t like either of these teams, but think Carolina is gonna struggle to contain the Colts running game. I’ll take the “slightly” better team.

DAL/PHI: More in depth analysis a couple posts above, but think this is a great match-up for Cowboys and opportunity for them to take driver’s seat in the division

NYG/LV: For me, I’ll take the “interim coach first game” angle and lay the 1.5. Not much to love about either team. Both struggling a lot offensively.

BUF/CIN: Torn, because it is naturally a good spot for Buffalo. But Bengals only laying 2 as the better team, at home is too good to pass up.

LAC/NYJ: Can’t lay points on the road with the Chargers against a great defense like this. Weird game though, as not sure Jets will take full advantage of bad LA defense.

I think you had AZ instead of Cleveland as a play and went 5-9.
Sorry to bring it up.

 

[stormtrooper8]

I think you had AZ instead of Cleveland as a play and went 5-9.
Sorry to bring it up.

In the notes it says "first time taking Cleveland all year."

I flipped it to Cleveland afterwards, but must have screen shotted when I was considering Arizona initially

I'll adjust

 

[stormtrooper8]

It looks like I uploaded the wrong screen shot because I took two of them - one with AZ and one with CLE.

Not sure if I can have that fixed or worth the effort

 

[Tanko]

In the notes it says "first time taking Cleveland all year."

I flipped it to Cleveland afterwards, but must have screen shotted when I was considering Arizona initially

I'll adjust

Yep. I see it in the notes. My bad.

 

[stormtrooper8]

Tbh I don’t think I even considered Arizona much. Maybe I thought Kyler was playing or just wrote it down as the initial line before making pick

Don’t remember but I do remember feeling solid on Cleveland

Based on note and posting elsewhere going to keep it as 6-8 for the week. I do a lot of data analysis for this stuff and not going to adjust each time for a simple mistake. I can upload the other screen shot but doesn’t seem worth it.

 

[pete0]

ROUGH week

Brutal loss on Cowboys, kind of on Patriots too

Seachickens just shit the bed

2-3 -1.23 Week 9 (Patriots were -118)

32-13 +18.33 overall

dam, its only 1/9 weeks u went negative.

 

[Tanko]

dam, its only 1/9 weeks u went negative.

THIS!

The guy is hitting 63%. I'd give my left nut to be hitting 63% 9 weeks into the season.
He is really seeing NFL clearly. Crazy good at picking these games.

 

[stormtrooper8]

ATS overall record: 80-52-4
Week 1: 10-6
Week 2: 9-5-2
Week 3: 12-4
Week 4: 10-5-1
Week 5: 8-5-1
Week 6: 9-6
Week 7: 8-5
Week 8: 8-8
Week 9: 6-8


Week 10 ATS plays



Game notes...

CAR/CHI: What a wonderful primetime game. Don’t have much faith in either team, more playing the number. I’m not huge on Bryce Young, but this may be a bounce back spot for him against a crappy defense.

IND/NE: Not quite the Germany match-up of Week 9. Indy has been kind of plodding along, but I think their running game will get neutralized here by New England. Mac has been crappy but he may get some opportunities here. New England hasn’t been good to me, but I’ll be stubborn here.

GB/PIT: Don’t love this game either. Oof. I think the Packers are gonna put up a good enough defensive effort to keep this close, and I’ll take the points at this number. I just don’t trust the Steelers offense (not saying I really trust GB either lol).

NO/MIN: Interesting to see the hot Vikings getting points at home after a road win against a decent team with Dobbs. That said, I think the Saints are starting to figure some things out offensively. I also think they smell blood and feel a chance to try and separate themselves from the rest of the division.

HOU/CIN: Another tough game. I am high on Cincy in the big picture, but I am impressed with how Stroud has played. I do think, though, that the Texans defense is going to struggle here to keep the Bengals weapons in front of them. It’s a lot of points, but I will lay the touchdown with Cincinnati.

CLE/BAL: A lot of signs pointing to Baltimore here, but I’m gonna go the other direction. I think Cleveland will respond to a bad first meeting and make a lot of defensive adjustments to keep this thing tight. I also think Baltimore tends to be a little flat after a big performance. I think this may be that spot, despite it being a divisional game.

TEN/TB: Yeah this is another clusterfuck of a game. Tampa showed signs of life on offense, but think the new Levis Titans also have. Basically a coin flip. I think I’ll take slight underdog at home here, one last stand for Baker and the boys. Not much confidence.

SF/JAX: I think the Jaguars have been flying a bit under the radar, but I love the Niners in this spot. Both teams coming off a bye, but think it helped the Niners exponentially more because of health/the losing skid heading into the bye. Think they come out on fire and re-establish themselves as a serious Super Bowl contender.

DET/LAC: I really like the Lions here after the bye week, against a team on a short week. Think Lions are going to physically own the line of scrimmage and be able to run the ball down this shaky defense’s throat. I think they go into SoFi and get it done.

ATL/AZ: Number seems low, but Vegas has finally figured out that the Falcons are not very good. That said Arizona is just a total clusterfuck and I’m going to close my eyes and take the road Dirty Birds to somehow get to 5-5 here.

WAS/SEA: People will be low on Seattle after that terrible performance in Baltimore, and maybe even a little high on Washington, who may believe it’s truly in the playoff race now. But I think this is a nice bounce back spot for the Seahawks, who are still a solid bet to make the playoffs. Don’t trust Washington/Howell in back to back road games.

NYG/DAL: It’s a lot of points, but the Cowboys have had a lot of success in this division and against the Giants specifically. Maybe the New York defense keeps it respectable, but I just think they are going to be realllllly pressed to score here.

NYJ/LV: I think there is a newfound energy in this Vegas team. Credit to the Jets for staying competitive this season with a pretty bad QB, but I think they will regress a bit down the stretch. I think the Raiders get the win at home.

DEN/BUF: Denver has shown a little bit of life as of late, and Buffalo has looked pretty trashy. But this may finally be the “Bills roll inferior opponent at home” game. It’s a little more points than I like, but I’ll take the Bills here.

 

[Tanko]

ATS overall record: 80-52-4
Week 1: 10-6
Week 2: 9-5-2
Week 3: 12-4
Week 4: 10-5-1
Week 5: 8-5-1
Week 6: 9-6
Week 7: 8-5
Week 8: 8-8
Week 9: 6-8


Week 10 ATS plays

View attachment 21753

Game notes...

CAR/CHI: What a wonderful primetime game. Don’t have much faith in either team, more playing the number. I’m not huge on Bryce Young, but this may be a bounce back spot for him against a crappy defense.

IND/NE: Not quite the Germany match-up of Week 9. Indy has been kind of plodding along, but I think their running game will get neutralized here by New England. Mac has been crappy but he may get some opportunities here. New England hasn’t been good to me, but I’ll be stubborn here.

GB/PIT: Don’t love this game either. Oof. I think the Packers are gonna put up a good enough defensive effort to keep this close, and I’ll take the points at this number. I just don’t trust the Steelers offense (not saying I really trust GB either lol).

NO/MIN: Interesting to see the hot Vikings getting points at home after a road win against a decent team with Dobbs. That said, I think the Saints are starting to figure some things out offensively. I also think they smell blood and feel a chance to try and separate themselves from the rest of the division.

HOU/CIN: Another tough game. I am high on Cincy in the big picture, but I am impressed with how Stroud has played. I do think, though, that the Texans defense is going to struggle here to keep the Bengals weapons in front of them. It’s a lot of points, but I will lay the touchdown with Cincinnati.

CLE/BAL: A lot of signs pointing to Baltimore here, but I’m gonna go the other direction. I think Cleveland will respond to a bad first meeting and make a lot of defensive adjustments to keep this thing tight. I also think Baltimore tends to be a little flat after a big performance. I think this may be that spot, despite it being a divisional game.

TEN/TB: Yeah this is another clusterfuck of a game. Tampa showed signs of life on offense, but think the new Levis Titans also have. Basically a coin flip. I think I’ll take slight underdog at home here, one last stand for Baker and the boys. Not much confidence.

SF/JAX: I think the Jaguars have been flying a bit under the radar, but I love the Niners in this spot. Both teams coming off a bye, but think it helped the Niners exponentially more because of health/the losing skid heading into the bye. Think they come out on fire and re-establish themselves as a serious Super Bowl contender.

DET/LAC: I really like the Lions here after the bye week, against a team on a short week. Think Lions are going to physically own the line of scrimmage and be able to run the ball down this shaky defense’s throat. I think they go into SoFi and get it done.

ATL/AZ: Number seems low, but Vegas has finally figured out that the Falcons are not very good. That said Arizona is just a total clusterfuck and I’m going to close my eyes and take the road Dirty Birds to somehow get to 5-5 here.

WAS/SEA: People will be low on Seattle after that terrible performance in Baltimore, and maybe even a little high on Washington, who may believe it’s truly in the playoff race now. But I think this is a nice bounce back spot for the Seahawks, who are still a solid bet to make the playoffs. Don’t trust Washington/Howell in back to back road games.

NYG/DAL: It’s a lot of points, but the Cowboys have had a lot of success in this division and against the Giants specifically. Maybe the New York defense keeps it respectable, but I just think they are going to be realllllly pressed to score here.

NYJ/LV: I think there is a newfound energy in this Vegas team. Credit to the Jets for staying competitive this season with a pretty bad QB, but I think they will regress a bit down the stretch. I think the Raiders get the win at home.

DEN/BUF: Denver has shown a little bit of life as of late, and Buffalo has looked pretty trashy. But this may finally be the “Bills roll inferior opponent at home” game. It’s a little more points than I like, but I’ll take the Bills here.

Thank you sir.

 

[madmaddaddy]

Thank you for all your hard work and plays, Storm

 

[pete0]

ATS overall record: 80-52-4
Week 1: 10-6
Week 2: 9-5-2
Week 3: 12-4
Week 4: 10-5-1
Week 5: 8-5-1
Week 6: 9-6
Week 7: 8-5
Week 8: 8-8
Week 9: 6-8


Week 10 ATS plays

View attachment 21753

Game notes...

CAR/CHI: What a wonderful primetime game. Don’t have much faith in either team, more playing the number. I’m not huge on Bryce Young, but this may be a bounce back spot for him against a crappy defense.

IND/NE: Not quite the Germany match-up of Week 9. Indy has been kind of plodding along, but I think their running game will get neutralized here by New England. Mac has been crappy but he may get some opportunities here. New England hasn’t been good to me, but I’ll be stubborn here.

GB/PIT: Don’t love this game either. Oof. I think the Packers are gonna put up a good enough defensive effort to keep this close, and I’ll take the points at this number. I just don’t trust the Steelers offense (not saying I really trust GB either lol).

NO/MIN: Interesting to see the hot Vikings getting points at home after a road win against a decent team with Dobbs. That said, I think the Saints are starting to figure some things out offensively. I also think they smell blood and feel a chance to try and separate themselves from the rest of the division.

HOU/CIN: Another tough game. I am high on Cincy in the big picture, but I am impressed with how Stroud has played. I do think, though, that the Texans defense is going to struggle here to keep the Bengals weapons in front of them. It’s a lot of points, but I will lay the touchdown with Cincinnati.

CLE/BAL: A lot of signs pointing to Baltimore here, but I’m gonna go the other direction. I think Cleveland will respond to a bad first meeting and make a lot of defensive adjustments to keep this thing tight. I also think Baltimore tends to be a little flat after a big performance. I think this may be that spot, despite it being a divisional game.

TEN/TB: Yeah this is another clusterfuck of a game. Tampa showed signs of life on offense, but think the new Levis Titans also have. Basically a coin flip. I think I’ll take slight underdog at home here, one last stand for Baker and the boys. Not much confidence.

SF/JAX: I think the Jaguars have been flying a bit under the radar, but I love the Niners in this spot. Both teams coming off a bye, but think it helped the Niners exponentially more because of health/the losing skid heading into the bye. Think they come out on fire and re-establish themselves as a serious Super Bowl contender.

DET/LAC: I really like the Lions here after the bye week, against a team on a short week. Think Lions are going to physically own the line of scrimmage and be able to run the ball down this shaky defense’s throat. I think they go into SoFi and get it done.

ATL/AZ: Number seems low, but Vegas has finally figured out that the Falcons are not very good. That said Arizona is just a total clusterfuck and I’m going to close my eyes and take the road Dirty Birds to somehow get to 5-5 here.

WAS/SEA: People will be low on Seattle after that terrible performance in Baltimore, and maybe even a little high on Washington, who may believe it’s truly in the playoff race now. But I think this is a nice bounce back spot for the Seahawks, who are still a solid bet to make the playoffs. Don’t trust Washington/Howell in back to back road games.

NYG/DAL: It’s a lot of points, but the Cowboys have had a lot of success in this division and against the Giants specifically. Maybe the New York defense keeps it respectable, but I just think they are going to be realllllly pressed to score here.

NYJ/LV: I think there is a newfound energy in this Vegas team. Credit to the Jets for staying competitive this season with a pretty bad QB, but I think they will regress a bit down the stretch. I think the Raiders get the win at home.

DEN/BUF: Denver has shown a little bit of life as of late, and Buffalo has looked pretty trashy. But this may finally be the “Bills roll inferior opponent at home” game. It’s a little more points than I like, but I’ll take the Bills here.

 

[stormtrooper8]

Overall record: 32-13 +18.33
Week 1: 4-1 +2.93
Week 2: 3-2 +1.07
Week 3: 3-2 +1.03
Week 4: 4-1 +2.84
Week 5: 5-0 +5.00
Week 6: 3-2 +0.64
Week 7: 4-1 +3.05
Week 8: 4-1 +3.00
Week 9: 2-3 -1.23



Week 10

Patriots +113
49ers -3 -109
Saints -2.5 -118
Seahawks -6.5 +104
3-team/7-point teaser: Browns +13.5, Bengals +0.5, Packers +10.5 +120


Good luck

 

[613tunit]

That teaser looks solid. Thanks for posting Storm.

 

[Tanko]

Overall record: 32-13 +18.33
Week 1: 4-1 +2.93
Week 2: 3-2 +1.07
Week 3: 3-2 +1.03
Week 4: 4-1 +2.84
Week 5: 5-0 +5.00
Week 6: 3-2 +0.64
Week 7: 4-1 +3.05
Week 8: 4-1 +3.00
Week 9: 2-3 -1.23



Week 10

Patriots +113
49ers -3 -109
Saints -2.5 -118
Seahawks -6.5 +104
3-team/7-point teaser: Browns +13.5, Bengals +0.5, Packers +10.5 +120


Good luck

The teaser looks very enticing. I don't think you'll need it with the Browns. Their D is pretty damn good.

 

[613tunit]

H

Overall record: 32-13 +18.33
Week 1: 4-1 +2.93
Week 2: 3-2 +1.07
Week 3: 3-2 +1.03
Week 4: 4-1 +2.84
Week 5: 5-0 +5.00
Week 6: 3-2 +0.64
Week 7: 4-1 +3.05
Week 8: 4-1 +3.00
Week 9: 2-3 -1.23



Week 10

Patriots +113
49ers -3 -109
Saints -2.5 -118
Seahawks -6.5 +104
3-team/7-point teaser: Browns +13.5, Bengals +0.5, Packers +10.5 +120


Good luck

Hey Storm how do you feel about this card? Looking for someone to tail for tomorrow. Thanks!!

 

[stormtrooper8]

H

Hey Storm how do you feel about this card? Looking for someone to tail for tomorrow. Thanks!!

I swept 5-0 CFB so probably gonna suck in NFL tomorrow

 

[stormtrooper8]

I need to stop siding with the Patriots

It's just disgusting how many coverable games they f*** up

Really been the dumbest shit I've done in any sport this year

 

[JDS]

I need to stop siding with the Patriots

It's just disgusting how many coverable games they f*** up

Really been the dumbest shit I've done in any sport this year

You’re too hard on yourself guy, but I feel you we all have that one team we try to figure out but can’t.

 

[613tunit]

You’re too hard on yourself guy

Look who is talking

 

[JDS]

Look who is talking

You started tailing me way too late LMFAO