Sports Betting Service Plays - Wednesday 4/13/22

[ES3]

SportsLine Projection Model

CHARLOTTE HORNETS VS. ATLANTA HAWKS | 4/13 | 7 P.M. ET

Against the Spread

Pick: Hornets +4.5

Charlotte is covering in 52 percent of simulations.

Over-Under

Pick: Over 236

The over hits in 57 percent of simulations.

Moneyline

Pick: Hornets +160

The Hornets are winning in 43 percent of simulations, bringing value at those odds.

 

[ES3]

AccuScore Picks

Atletico Madrid vs. Manchester City

Manchester City Moneyline

★★★★ (out of four)

Atletico Madrid vs. Manchester City

Under 2.5

★★★ (out of four)

 

[ES3]

Max Gorenstein

N.Y. METS @ PHILADELPHIA | 04/13 | 1:05 PM EDT

UNDER 8.5

ANALYSIS: Neither of the starters in this game, Max Scherzer and Aaron Nola, looked good in their first start. However, I am expecting both pitchers to turn it around in this game. Knowing how Scherzer approaches the game, I highly doubt he opens the season with two bad games. He will be locked in today.

Aaron Nola dominated the Mets the last two times he faced them allowing just one run in 11 innings. Yesterday, these teams combined for just two runs. Offenses should struggle in this one.

 

[ES3]

AccuScore Picks

Liverpool vs. Benfica

Liverpool Moneyline

★★★★ (out of four)

 

[ES3]

Max Gorenstein

MILWAUKEE @ BALTIMORE | 04/13 | 7:05 PM EDT

MILWAUKEE -1.5

ANALYSIS: The Brewers have not looked good in this series, but this is the game that they should light up the Orioles. The Orioles used four relievers on Monday and five relievers yesterday so their already terrible bullpen is now thin.

The Brewers will have Corbin Burnes on the mound. He struggled in his first start against the Cubs, but he should have an easy time today against a mainly right-handed Orioles team. Burnes dominated righties last season (.179 BA). Brewers should put up enough runs to cover the run line.

 

[ES3]

AccuScore Picks

Rangers vs. Flyers

Over 6

★★★ (out of four)

Kings vs. Avalanche

Over 6

★★★★ (out of four)

 

[ES3]

Martin Green

Manchester City vs. Atletico Madrid (Wednesday, 3 p.m. ET)

Picks:

Manchester City to win -125 (one unit)
Manchester City Over 1.5 goals -115 (half unit)

 

[ES3]

AccuScore Picks

Hornets vs. Hawks

Hornets +5.5

★★★ (out of four)

Hornets vs. Hawks

Over 235

★★★★ (out of four)

 

[ES3]

Stephen Oh

CHI. CUBS @ PITTSBURGH | 04/13 | 12:35 PM EDT

PITTSBURGH +1.5

ANALYSIS: These NL Central rivals close out their quick two-game set with a Wednesday matinee and the Cubs' Kyle Hendricks scheduled to be opposed by the Pirates' Zach Thompson. My model has the Pirates covering +1.5 on the runline (-145) in 63 percent of simulations.

 

[ES3]

AccuScore Picks

Spurs vs. Pelicans

Spurs +5.5

★★★★ (out of four)

 

[ES3]

Jon Eimer

Liverpool vs. Benfica (Wednesday, 3 p.m. ET)

Under 3.5 goals (1u -125)
Both teams to score (1u -135)
Nunez ATGS (.5u +250)

 

[ES3]

Kyle Purviance

The Pick: Mets vs. Phillies Under 4.5 runs 1st 5

Mets vs. Phillies | Free MLB Pick by Kyle Purviance - Apr. 13th

Mets vs. Phillies is today and we have a Pick of The Day video by Kyle Purviance. Visit BMR to get our free MLB betting picks!

www.bookmakersreview.com

 

[ES3]

AccuScore Picks

Nationals vs. Braves

Under 9

★★★ (out of four)

Mets vs. Phillies

Under 8.5

★★★★ (out of four)

 

[ES3]

Football Jesus Vegas

NBA Spurs + pts

MLBTOTAL

Detroit Tigers – Boston Red Sox
Over 8.5

 

[ES3]

AccuScore Picks

Dodgers vs. Twins

Under 8.5

★★★★ (out of four)

Brewers vs. Orioles

Under 8

★★★★ (out of four)

Blue Jays vs. Yankees

Under 8.5

★★★★ (out of four)

 

[biggins]

Street Smarts

BEST BETS (2) = 175-139 +110*
NHL: 94-61 +92.25*
OVER 6 Rangers vs. Philly -110 (5*)

MLB:
UNDER 9 Washington vs. Atlanta -110 (Gray vs. Fried) (5*)
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Leans:
MLB: (1st 5: 4-5-7.80*) (FG:3-7-16.20*) (Overall: 7-12-24.60*)
OVER 4 1/2 (1st 5) Houston vs. Arizona -120 (4*)
OVER 10 Cleveland vs. Cincinnati -110 (4*)

 

[ES3]

Jack Jones

Astros/Diamondbacks Under 8.5

The Houston Astros and Arizona Diamondbacks will each be throwing their best starters today in Framber Valdez and Merrill Kelly. Both should have their way with two lineups that have been very underwhelming through five games.

Indeed, the Diamondbacks are hitting just .130 as a team and scoring 2.4 runs per game. The Astros are hitting just .228 as a team and have been held to 4 runs or fewer in four of their five games this season. The UNDER is 8-2 in 10 games between these teams combined.

Framber Valdez went 11-6 with a 3.14 ERA in 22 starts last season. He opened this season pitching 6 2/3 shutout innings of a 3-1 win over the Angels. Merrill Kelly has posted a respectable 4.23 ERA and 1.280 WHIP in four seasons in the big leagues with Arizona. He held the Padres scoreless through four innings in his first start this season in a 3-0 defeat. Bet the UNDER in this game Wednesday.

 

[ES3]

Kyle Purviance

The Pick: Jonas Valanciunas Under 0.5 3-point shots made

Spurs vs. Pelicans | Free NBA Player Prop Pick by Kyle Purviance - Apr. 13th

Spurs vs. Pelicans is today and we have a Pick of The Day video by Kyle Purviance. Visit BMR to get our free NBA betting picks!

www.bookmakersreview.com

 

[ES3]

Wunderdog

Game: Cleveland Guardians (967) @ Cincinnati Reds (968)
Time: Wednesday 04/13 12:35 PM Eastern
Pick: Cincinnati -125 (moneyline)

The Cincinnati Reds got a poor pitching outing in the series opener vs the in-state rival Cleveland Guardians. The Reds managed five runs, but could not overcome a 10-run barrage by the Guardians. This afternoon should be a different story, as the Reds (2-3) will send Nick Lodolo to the mound. Lodolo will be making his first-ever start vs the Guardians, while Cleveland counters with Tristan McKenzie, who saw his team lose to the Reds in his lone previous start against them. It's always tough going up against a pitcher for the first time, especially a left-hander. Make the play on Cincinnati.

 

[ES3]

Donnie RightSide

The Pick: Padres vs. Giants Over 7

Padres vs. Giants | Free MLB Pick by Donnie RightSide - Apr. 13th

Padres vs. Giants is today and we have a Pick of The Day video by Donnie RightSide. Visit BMR to get our free MLB betting picks!

www.bookmakersreview.com