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Bettor Days

Bettor Days

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SUPERCONTEST PICKS - WEEK 9​

Each week throughout the season, we'll feature the Top 5 Consensus Picks in the SuperContest on Sunday morning.

1) SAN FRANCISCO +1.5 (884)
2) L.A. CHARGERS -1.5 (806)
3) CINCINNATI -2.5 (552)
4) NEW ENGLAND -3.5 (479)
5) HOUSTON +6.5 (472)​

 

Bettor Days

Bettor Days

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5,090
PROFOOTBALLDOC (1-4 last week, 24-16 for season)
SIC Score is our proprietary numerical injury grading system that incorporates the health of every NFL team and individual players to give sports bettors, DFS players and fantasy owners an edge each week during the season. While it purposely doesn’t take into account coaching, schemes or matchups, SIC Scores give an accurate assessment of team/player overall health heading into a game.

DALLAS -9.5 vs DENVER
The Cowboys get Dak Prescott back and he will be full go with mobility given the extra week, but out of caution, they may only use him in the pocket. With wide receivers having some minor health issues. Ezekiel Elliott and Tony Pollard should be the focus especially due to the significant Broncos issues at linebacker where all four starters will be missing. Both teams will miss their starting left tackles, but Denver also misses top offensive weapon TE Noah Fant due to COVID.

Trevon Diggs will be full go with his ankle and should blanket Courtland Sutton who has played well but is not 100% after ACL surgery yet. Jerry Jeudy is also still working his way back to full health after his high ankle sprain. With K.J. Hamler out, the Broncos have issues with all four top pass catchers. The Dallas gets healthier this week while Denver drops. The Cowboys are heavy favorites but if it goes to script of health, could cover easily.

MINNESOTA +6 at BALTIMORE
The Ravens come in with a better record, off a bye and a bad loss to the Bengals. Meanwhile the Vikings just lost to a first-time starting backup QB. However, the SIC scores have the advantage to Minnesota on the road to at least keep it close. Baltimore has well known running back issues and are down to No. 5 on the depth chart but also have offensive line issues. No. 1 wide receiver Sammy Watkins is still limited with his hamstring and carries a low SIC score of 41, meaning that even if he plays there is a chance of aggravation and to expect lower production. Minnesota is relatively healthy, especially on offense. An upset is not out of the question, but the Vikings should keep it close.

LAS VEGAS -3.5 vs NY GIANTS
Both teams have been through a lot this week. The Raiders had the Henry Ruggs tragedy and the Giants went thru the COVID uncertainty. In the end, the Giants offense is missing the entire right side with 60% of the starters on the offensive line missing as well as the No. 1 RB Saquon Barkley still out as well as multiple pass catchers. Las Vegas is not at top health but compared to New York, they are almost 20 SIC score points the healthier side and should cover as road favorites.

KANSAS CITY -7.5 vs GREEN BAY
No Aaron Rodgers and there are other key offensive/defensive starters out for the Packers. The No. 1 corner is still missing and they face a healthy Tyreek Hill. The Chiefs defense is injury free and they face a Green Bay offense down at least four starters and Rodgers is not there to make up the difference. This once marquee matchup is now blunted with Kansas City who has struggled. Even with the Chiefs being a more than one score favorite, evaluating team health has us leaning to KC.

LA RAMS -7 vs TENNESSEE
How will Ryan Tannehill and the rest of the Titans offense fare without Derrick Henry? The Rams defense remains relatively healthy and now they add Von Miller who should be good enough to play through with his ankle injury. The L.A. offense is also relatively healthy going against the Titans with two top corners and linebackers out. The almost 20 point team SIC score difference favors the Rams.
 

Bettor Days

Bettor Days

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Doug Kezirian:
49ers-3 vs Cardinals
Rams-7 vs Titans
Dolphins-5.5 vs Texans

Joe Fortenbaugh:
49ers-3 vs Cardinals
Rams-7 vs Titans
Bengals-2.5 vs Browns
Ravens-6 vs Vikings
Packers+7 vs Chiefs
Patriots vs Panthers under 41.5

Tyler Fulghum:
Bengals vs Browns under 47.5
Ravens vs Vikings over 50.5
Packers+7 vs Chiefs
Titans vs Rams over 52.5
Cowboys-10 vs Broncos
Saints vs Falcons under 42

Anita Marks:
Chargers-1 vs Eagles
Raiders-3 vs Giants

Todd Fuhrman:
Patriots vs Panthers 1H under 20.5
Browns+2.5 vs Bengals
Titans+7.5 vs Rams
Packers vs Chiefs under 48
49ers PK vs Cardinals

Pete Prisco:
Bengals-2.5 vs Browns
Ramvs-7.5 vs Titans, over 53.5
Packers+7.5 vs Chiefs
49ers PK vs Cardinals
Patriots-3.5 vs Panthers
 

Bettor Days

Bettor Days

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Messages
5,090
Demarco Crew

Chris Jordan - Eagles
Chuck O'Brien - Cowboys
Gus Augustine - Minnesota
Jack Brayman - Green Bay
Jay McNeil - New England
Kirby Maxwell - San Francisco
Mitchell Newman - Baltimore
Tommy Brunson - Tennessee
Trace Adams - Buffalo
 

Bettor Days

Bettor Days

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Messages
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Bob Balfe

1:00 PM EST
Rotation #463-464
Raiders/Giants Over 46.5
I look at the Giants and I see a team that is really trying. They were [/COLOR]embarrassed at home a few weeks ago by the Rams and to make it worse guys keep dropping left and right with injury. The Giants have looked good the last few weeks and I think can put some points on the Raiders team via the air. The Las Vegas secondary is not talented and can be beaten. Daniel Jones is a duel threat QB that should be able to keep this defense honest enough to hit a few deep shots. The Raiders are a better team, but they are on a new coach, are coming off a bye and playing an early game on the east coast. The Giants do have decent players in their secondary, but Derek Carr is a great nickel and dimer that can work the ball down the field. Vegas has a ton of talent at the skilled positions and their offensive line should be able to take care of this front seven. This should be a great game with a lot of points. Take the Over.
 

Bettor Days

Bettor Days

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Jun 12, 2021
Messages
5,090
Maddux - All 10's - Lines when released (LW 3-3 -4, YTD 29-38 -130.5)

Balt -5'
Mia OV 45'
Cin OV 46'
Ind -10 (Won)
Hst +6
Den +10
LAC -1(15)
Cle +8' KC-1 (2 team Teas)
 

Bettor Days

Bettor Days

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Jun 12, 2021
Messages
5,090
Indian cowboy

Unit Play. #458. Take Panthers +3.5 Over Patriots (Sunday @ 1:00 pm est)

We are backing the Panthers as home dogs. This is a tough spot for the Pats as they come in off an outright win on the road as +3.5 dogs against the Chargers. Not sure I am comfortable laying points with the Pats on the road as favorites as they likely have a let down here. All signs are pointing to no Darnold out with concussion and in comes PJ Walker which we are fine with. Who did Walker play for? Temple. Who was his coach at Temple? Matt Rhule. These two have chemistry and familiarity with each other. Walker I think actually poses different challenges for the Pats. Belichick said "Walker appears to be more elusive than Darnold, whose status isn't likely to be resolved until the weekend. The New England coach said Walker's arm strength has been evident, even referencing what he has seen by reviewing Carolina's preseason games." So I think we actually get an upgrade at QB for the Panthers with Walker. Add in the fact that news out of camp is that it is quite possible that McCaffrey might go this week which will add another weapon and dynamic for the Panthers and Walker on offense extending drives. CB Gilmour will play against his former team since being cut and traded a few weeks ago to the Panthers and I expect him to be motivated and have an impact on the defensive side. This line opened Pats -2.5 with the public all over them but at -3.5 we have value with the home team here and the points. I would not be surprised to see the Panthers win outright at home but we will take the points. The Patriots are 2-9-1 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS win. Panthers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games as an underdog.
3-Unit Play. #469. Take Packers +7.5 Over Chiefs (Sunday @ 4:25 pm est)
We roll with the Packers here as I think this is a big overreaction to the Rogers news being out with Covid. The Chiefs cannot cover against anyone these days and could not cover as -10.5 favorites at home against the Giants so how are they going to cover against the Packers even without Rogers. Jordan Love will make his first start and lets not forget he was drafted in the first round for a reason. He has been with this team for a few years and is learning under Rogers. This is not a new system or team for him and will have all week to prepare. If there is anyone motivated here it's Jordan Love to prove to Packers brass that when his time comes he can and will take over for Rogers and what a better signature win then to do so over the Chiefs. The Packers will likely get Adams back this week who was out last week with Covid. We saw this last week with the Packers when Adams and Lazard were out that there was a big over reaction and they managed to win outright against the Cardinals. Given the state of the Chiefs right now this is simply too many points for them to be laying here against a well oiled machine like the Packers. We will gladly take the points here with the Packers and this over reaction and expect them to hang tough and keep this within a FG type game. Chiefs are 2-12 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up win. Chiefs are 4-14 ATS in their last 18 games as a favorite.
7-Unit Play. #467. Take Chargers ML (-130) Over Eagles (Sunday @ 4:05 pm est)
We love the Chargers here in this spot. The Chargers were in the drivers seat for the division but now come off back to back losses. They need a win here to keep up with the Raiders for top spot in the division. One question is who are you going to back in this spot Herbert or Hurts. No question we back Herbert in this spot and the weapons he has available. What I dont understand is the sudden love for the Eagles? This line opened Chargers -3 but money has come pouring in on the Eagles which makes no sense. They come off a game where they beat up the Lions who were coming in on a letdown after laying it all out there against the Rams and we were on the Eagles for that game last week. The big question here is how are the Eagles going to stop Herbert and the Chargers. The Eagles gave up 33 points to the Raiders, 28 to the Bucs, 42 to the Chiefs, and 41 against Dallas. Hurts and the Eagels cannot trade points and they will not be able to keep up with the Chargers. The Chargers cannot afford to take this game likely as they need this win and on deck they have the Vikings another non conference opponent so this is not a look ahead spot for them. I trust Herbert and the Chargers more off back to back losses over Hurts and the Eagles. We saw what happened a few weeks ago when the sharps took the Eagles from +3 to -1 against the Raiders and got destroyed. I will gladly take the more talented team here in the Chargers on the ML to just win the game. If you look at the Eagles losses they all came against elite teams in or bound for the playoffs. If you look at their wins they all came against teams .500 or below. They will struggle here again today and we like the Chargers to bounce back.
3-Unit Play. #475. Take Bears +6.5 Over Steelers (Monday @ 8:15 pm est)
We like the Bears to hang tough there today. I think this is a bad spot for the Steelers and likely have a let down coming off that upset win over the Browns last week. This is a Steelers team that clearly struggles in the favorite role as we have seen this season. They are still winless as a favorite at 0-3 losing as -5.5 favorites against Geno and the Seahawks, -5.5 favorites against the Raiders, and losing to the Bengals as -2.5 favorites. They have always been a good team to back as a dog but not a favorite. If they could not cover against Geno and the Seahawks not sure they can cover -6.5 against the Bears. The other factor you have to consider is on a low total of 40 it is clear points are going to be valuable in what will likely be a close game which gives us value on the Bears. This is more of a play fading the Steelers than a play on the Bears. I just dont see how the Steelers will get up by more than a touchdown here especially on a low total of 40. If you wait till Monday we likely see some -7 pop up once more of the public money comes in on gameday and that is just too many points for the Steelers to be laying. Bears just put up 22 points against a good 49ers defense which is impressive. Take the Bears to keep this one close. Steelers are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite. Steelers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
 
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