LAB's NFL PLAY
• Bucs-2.5-120 10
Can play 3
+100 on DK, I will eat a bit of juice here
for a key number in a game that has already ended in a FG.
Bucs have not won in 4 straight games and have not covered in their last 8 games in a row. This team at one points was 5-1 with promise of playoffs and after injuries and poor play they find themselves at 7-9 playing for the division.
Bucs will be fully healthy in this one and will be playing in Tampa Bay. Wirfs should be 100% and the WR core is good to go. In the previous matchup the Panthers beat the Bucs as underdogs at home, now travel on the road where the offense has been statistically worse. Bryce Young in his career is just 4-17 SU on the road (3-5 in 2025).
Panthers come into this game as one of the most hyped and bet on underdogs to win this week, and why would they not be? All 8 of the Panthers wins have been as underdogs. This game will simply be the better team winning and regardless of the horrible past 2 months for the Bucs it all relies on this one game. Baker Mayfield will have a good game in this one and you will see the Bucs come out victorious.
This Panthers defense ranks 31st in 3rd down conversion rate allowing opponents to covert 3rd downs at a 47% rate. They also do not get any pressure which will be good for Baker to find his WR's. This Bucs defense has been solid facing the run this season ranking 7th in RYPG allowed and face a offense that is not explosive and a team that struggles in the redzone ranking bottom 5 in both on the offensive end.
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Late Season Favorites with Worse Win Percentage
Overall: 81-52-4,61% (ROI:17%)
Season: 1-0-0,100% (ROI:95%)