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Sports Betting Service Plays/Picks - Sunday 12/14/25

Wagerallsports

Wagerallsports

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Sharp bettor backs side before line moves on Raiders-Eagles game​

LV REVIEW JOURNAL SUBSCRIPTION

A sharp bettor at the Westgate SuperBook wagered on the Raiders as 12½-point underdogs to the Eagles before Philadelphia’s ugly 22-19 overtime loss to the Chargers on “Monday Night Football.”

“Maybe the Raiders will be down 13 and Pete Carroll will kick a field goal to cover,” SuperBook vice president of risk Ed Salmons said. “Who knows?”

The Raiders kicked a field goal as time expired Sunday to cover as 8-point home underdogs in a 24-17 loss to the Broncos.

The line dropped to as low as 10½ on Sunday’s game at Philadelphia after the Eagles lost and failed to cover for the third straight game before moving back up to 11½ and as high as 12 at BetMGM and Caesars Sportsbook.

The betting public is all over Philadelphia, with 76 percent of the spread bets at STN Sports on the Eagles (8-5, 7-6 against the spread). Former Philadelphia quarterback Kenny Pickett is expected to make his first start for the Raiders in place of injured starter Geno Smith.

“There was a little downward push in the line when it was announced Smith was out,” Red Rock Resort sportsbook director Chuck Esposito said. “But since that time it’s been extremely one-sided in favor of the Eagles. We will be huge Raiders fans from our side of the counter.”

Boomer’s Sportsbook director of trading Nick Bogdanovich rates Pickett about the same as Smith.

“I don’t think there’s too much of a drop-off between him and Pickett at this stage,” he said. “I don’t know if it’s an upgrade, but it certainly isn’t much one way or another.

“I would imagine the public will be all over the Eagles. I would assume we’ll need the Raiders. Unless the sharps really pound the Raiders, we’ll definitely need them.”

The Raiders have lost seven straight games and 11 of 12 but are on a 4-4 run against the spread.

“You watch the Eagles and it’s hard for them to win by a lot of points,” Salmons said. “We’ll probably need the Raiders to win straight up because they’ll money line parlay the Eagles to death and tease them.”

How low can you go?​

The total is the lowest on the NFL Week 15 betting board at 38½.

“For a spread that high, the total is as low as you can be,” Salmons said.

At STN Sports, 80 percent of the bets are on the over, despite the fact that the weather forecast calls for temperatures in the low 30s with potential snow and wind gusts up to 25 mph.

The Raiders are the league’s lowest-scoring team at 15.1 points per game and the Eagles are on a 5-0 under run.

“I think the low total is more pointed to the Raiders’ incompetence on offense,” Salmons said. “But it’s sports. Who thought the Raiders would beat the Patriots now looking back.”

The Raiders (2-11, 5-8 ATS) upset the Patriots 20-13 as 2½-point underdogs at New England in their season opener before losing and failing to cover four straight.

Props​

Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts is -124 at Caesars to score a touchdown and Philadelphia running back Saquon Barkley is -115 to score a touchdown.

Hurts is -162 to throw under 1½ touchdown passes and -173 to not throw an interception after throwing a career-high four picks in Monday’s loss.

Pickett is -138 to throw a touchdown pass and -154 to throw an interception.
 

Wagerallsports

Wagerallsports

Joined
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Messages
76,694

JOE RAINERI​

NFL BEST BET!​

Date/Time:
Dec 14 2025 4:25 PM EST
Line Provider:
DraftKings
Play Rating:
5%
Odds:
-112
Play:
Los Angeles Rams -5.5 (-112)
Was waiting to see if this line would move back towards Detroit this week but it looks like it will continue to head towards the Rams. Lock it in, Good to -6.5.
So it's the Matthew Stafford Revenge Game, Part 3. But forget the narrative for a second, because the reality of this game is all about the casualty report in the Detroit secondary.
The Lions are walking into SoFi Stadium with a secondary that is completely decimated. We are talking cluster injuries galore.
Last week, they lost their best defender, Brian Branch, to a torn Achilles. He is gone. Their other starting safety, Kerby Joseph? Gone since October. Their top corner, Terrion Arnold? Out for the season. They are literally down to their 4th and 5th string safeties to try and stop a Sean McVay offense.
That is like bringing a knife to a nuclear war.
And McVay is going to exploit the specific weaknesses that Detroit already had beforethe injuries. The Lions play Man Coverage at the highest rate in the NFL. Well, guess what the Rams destroy? Man Coverage. They rank #3 in EPA per attempt and #2 in completion percentage against it.
And it gets worse. The Rams use Play Actionmore than any team in the league (38% of dropbacks). The Lions' defense ranks 28th in yards per attempt allowed against Play Action. It's why we loved our 5% Play on the Dallas Cowboys Team Total last game against this Lions defense and cashed it easily.
So you also have a Rams offense that is elite in the Red Zone this year (#3 TD rate), facing a depleted defense that allows quarterbacks to hold the ball far too long. Stafford is going to have all day to pick apart these backups.
In the playoffs last year, the Rams moved the ball but choked in the Red Zone. This year? They are finishing drives. This isn't a matchup Dan Cambell and the Lions want at this point with their season on the line. I don't blame them. They are going to have to take multiple chances in this game to try and keep pace with the Rams offense and that will lead to extra possessions and likely more scoring for the Rams. While I certainly like the OVER in the game, I believe the Rams defense will get more stops and allow the offense to win this game by double digits. Lay the points. Give me Rams-5.5 to -6.5
 

Wagerallsports

Wagerallsports

Joined
Mar 6, 2018
Messages
76,694
vipbettinginvest
Germany Bundesliga
Freiburg - Dortmund
Dortmund

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England Premier League
Brentford - Leeds
BTTS - YES

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Romania Superliga
Hermannstadt - Univ. Craiova
BET : X @ 3.60 / 1 UNITS

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England Premier League
Brentford - Leeds
Brentford -0.5 corners

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Xamax - Bellinzona
Over 2.5

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American football USA NFL
Kansas City Chiefs - Los Angeles Chargers
Under 42
 
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