Wagerallsports
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- Mar 6, 2018
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Brandon Lang
The Pick: My 200 Dime winner is the Carolina Panthers.
The Line: The current line is -5 1/2 at the majority of books in Vegas and offshore as of 7:00 am EST. Be sure to shop around for the best line available.
Note: At this price you play it as it is. Now if the line should move to anywhere from -6 to -7 1/2 points, then you buy the half-point down.
My Analysis
I will be absolutely shocked if they don't win this game by double digits.
When the Carolina Panthers started the season with a pair of road losses at Jacksonville and Arizona, the whole world figured another bad season was here.
Then a funny thing happened: They shocked the world with one of the most eye opening wins of the NFL season: a 30-0 home shutout of the Falcons.
That was an Atlanta team rolling into Charlotte with all the confidence in the world after a 22-6 road win at Minnesota the week before.
Their defense held Bijan Robinson to 72 yards rushing and Michael Penix Jr to 172 yards passing and 2 INT's in the shutout win.
They lost at New England the next week but came back to win their next 3: home wins over Miami 27-24 and the Cowboys 30-27 before beating the Jets on the road 13-6.
Yes, Josh Allen and the Bills came out of their bye week an angry bunch and dismantled them 40-9.
However, what they did last week better make the rest of the NFL take notice of this team because they are starting to believe the NFL playoffs are not a pipe dream.
As a 13 1/2 point underdog they shocked the world and won outright 16-13!!!!
It wasn't a fluke folks: they held the Packers offense to less than 300 yards total offense, 104 rushing/265 passing in the 3-point outright win.
Now 5-2 their last 7, they now come home thinking playoffs and why not???
They are not playing the 7-2 Patriots or the 6-2 Buffalo Bills, the last 2 teams to beat them, but the 1-8 New Orleans Saints, arguably the worst team in the NFL.
And last week when they arrived in LA, head coach Kellen Moore decided to bench Spencer Rattler for rookie Tyler Shough.
Well, with Rattler at QB they lost their first 3 road games by 31 at Seattle, 12 at Buffalo and 12 at Chicago.
Simply put, Mr. Shough, you never had a chance last week.
In the 34-10 beatdown, Shough was 15 of 24 for 167 yards with 1 TD and 1 INT. The Saints had 10 first downs for the whole game.
Now you want me to believe, this team, that has lost 4 in a row both SU and ATS and all 4 road games by double digits, will rally around this rookie????
Against a defense playing lights out and just held the Green Bay Packers to 13 points in Lambeau!!!!!
A defense that has already beaten the following: Michael Penix Jr. Tua Tagovailoa. Dak Prescott. Jordan Love.
If Shough plays the game of his life and stays within 7 points today, so be it, I will tip my cap and move on my way.
But this Panthers team has quietly covered 6 of it's last 9 and 5-0 ATS last 5 versus NFC opponents!!!!
And as I said at the top, I will be shocked if this isn't a blowout today.
Prop bet: Grab the Panthers at +260 to make the playoffs!!!!!!
The Pick: My 200 Dime winner is the Carolina Panthers.
The Line: The current line is -5 1/2 at the majority of books in Vegas and offshore as of 7:00 am EST. Be sure to shop around for the best line available.
Note: At this price you play it as it is. Now if the line should move to anywhere from -6 to -7 1/2 points, then you buy the half-point down.
My Analysis
I will be absolutely shocked if they don't win this game by double digits.
When the Carolina Panthers started the season with a pair of road losses at Jacksonville and Arizona, the whole world figured another bad season was here.
Then a funny thing happened: They shocked the world with one of the most eye opening wins of the NFL season: a 30-0 home shutout of the Falcons.
That was an Atlanta team rolling into Charlotte with all the confidence in the world after a 22-6 road win at Minnesota the week before.
Their defense held Bijan Robinson to 72 yards rushing and Michael Penix Jr to 172 yards passing and 2 INT's in the shutout win.
They lost at New England the next week but came back to win their next 3: home wins over Miami 27-24 and the Cowboys 30-27 before beating the Jets on the road 13-6.
Yes, Josh Allen and the Bills came out of their bye week an angry bunch and dismantled them 40-9.
However, what they did last week better make the rest of the NFL take notice of this team because they are starting to believe the NFL playoffs are not a pipe dream.
As a 13 1/2 point underdog they shocked the world and won outright 16-13!!!!
It wasn't a fluke folks: they held the Packers offense to less than 300 yards total offense, 104 rushing/265 passing in the 3-point outright win.
Now 5-2 their last 7, they now come home thinking playoffs and why not???
They are not playing the 7-2 Patriots or the 6-2 Buffalo Bills, the last 2 teams to beat them, but the 1-8 New Orleans Saints, arguably the worst team in the NFL.
And last week when they arrived in LA, head coach Kellen Moore decided to bench Spencer Rattler for rookie Tyler Shough.
Well, with Rattler at QB they lost their first 3 road games by 31 at Seattle, 12 at Buffalo and 12 at Chicago.
Simply put, Mr. Shough, you never had a chance last week.
In the 34-10 beatdown, Shough was 15 of 24 for 167 yards with 1 TD and 1 INT. The Saints had 10 first downs for the whole game.
Now you want me to believe, this team, that has lost 4 in a row both SU and ATS and all 4 road games by double digits, will rally around this rookie????
Against a defense playing lights out and just held the Green Bay Packers to 13 points in Lambeau!!!!!
A defense that has already beaten the following: Michael Penix Jr. Tua Tagovailoa. Dak Prescott. Jordan Love.
If Shough plays the game of his life and stays within 7 points today, so be it, I will tip my cap and move on my way.
But this Panthers team has quietly covered 6 of it's last 9 and 5-0 ATS last 5 versus NFC opponents!!!!
And as I said at the top, I will be shocked if this isn't a blowout today.
Prop bet: Grab the Panthers at +260 to make the playoffs!!!!!!
