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Sports Betting Service Plays/Picks - Sunday 1/11/26

Wagerallsports

Wagerallsports

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NFL playoff betting trends​


Sunday​


Bills (Pick, 51½) at Jaguars: The Bills have lost eight playoff road games in a row. Buffalo quarterback Josh Allen has lost and failed to cover his last four playoff games away from home. Buffalo went 4-4 ATS on the road this season and is on a 6-9 ATS skid overall. The Bills are on a 4-1 over run overall and an 8-2 over run in the playoffs. The Jaguars have won and covered eight straight overall and have won and covered seven of eight home games this season. Jacksonville is on a 7-3 over run. Edge: Jaguars and over.

49ers at Eagles (-5½, 44½): The 49ers had won and covered six straight until last week’s 13-3 loss to the Seahawks. The Niners were 7-2 ATS on the road this season and are on a 6-3 over run. The Eagles are only 4-4 ATS at home this season and are on a 7-2 under run. Edge: 49ers.


Chargers at Patriots (-3½, 45½): The Chargers had won seven of eight games this season until losing their last two to the Texans and Broncos. Los Angeles is on a 4-1 ATS run as an underdog and on a 6-2 under run. The Patriots have won 13 of 14 while going 11-3 ATS, though they’re only 5-4 ATS at home. New England is on a 5-0 over streak in the playoffs. Edge: Slight to Patriots and over.
 

Wagerallsports

Wagerallsports

Joined
Mar 6, 2018
Messages
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Weekend football predictions: Pro sports bettors pick NFL playoff games​

LV REVIEW JOURNAL SUBSCRIPTION

Sunday EAGLES (-5) over 49ers​


“A fresh Philly team who rested last week should have their way with a banged-up 49ers team,” said pro bettor Chuck Edel (@chuckedel). “San Fran has had trouble on both sides of the ball and is struggling versus playoff teams.”

Monday Texans (-3) over STEELERS​


Whitelaw and pro bettor Randy McKay expect the Houston Texans to end the Pittsburgh Steelers’ 23-game home winning streak on “Monday Night Football.”

“Bad matchup for Pittsburgh versus Houston’s No. 1-rated defense,” said McKay (@RR39). “On the other side of the ball, I trust (Texans quarterback C.J.) Stroud and company to have more success against a Pittsburgh defense that has secondary issues to make big plays to win and cover.”

Whitelaw expects the Texans to shut down the Steelers.

“I don’t think Pittsburgh is going to be able to move the ball much on them,” he said. “I think the Texans win this one moderately easily.”

Texans-STEELERS under 38​


Dumond recommends a play on the under on Monday, noting that the Texans allow only 17.4 points per game and the Steelers have surrendered only 19 points per game in their past four.

“Despite both sides being involved in high-scoring affairs last week, we expect the defenses to control this game,” he said.
 

Wagerallsports

Wagerallsports

Joined
Mar 6, 2018
Messages
78,524
NFL BETTING BREAKDOWN

Scott Pritchard, PritchardsPicks.com, @pritchardwins


Bills (12-5) at Jaguars (13-4)
Time:
10 a.m. Sunday, CBS
Line/total: Pick, 51½

Analysis: The Bills have lost eight road playoff games in a row. The game will feature their top-ranked rush offense against the Jaguars’ top-ranked rush defense. But the dam might break when Buffalo quarterback Josh Allen attacks Jacksonville’s vulnerable bottom-12 pass defense, and the Jaguars’ pass-reliant offense stalls against the Bills’ top-ranked pass defense.

Pick: Bills 31, Jaguars 24



49ers (12-5) at Eagles (11-6)
Time:
1:30 p.m. Sunday, Fox
Line/total: Eagles -5½, 44½

Analysis: The Eagles paid a heavy price last week when they rested their starters and lost to the Commanders. Had Philadelphia won, it would have earned the NFC’s No. 2 seed. It’s not a move most teams would make, but Eagles coach Nick Sirianni thought the rest could spark a change in the defending Super Bowl champions. But a seasonlong bottom-nine offense and a defense that can’t stop the run will struggle with any amount of rest against this stellar 49ers rush defense and a San Francisco offense that ranks first in third-down conversion percentage.

Pick: 49ers 24, Eagles 20



Chargers (11-6) at Patriots (14-3)
Time:
5:15 p.m. Sunday, NBC
Line/total: Patriots -3½, 45½

Analysis: These two elite defenses, both ranked in the top four in crucial categories, will square off in the freezing temperatures of Foxborough, Massachusetts, on Sunday night. Temperatures this cold never boost an offense, so the question might be which offense has the extra firepower to exert its will over the opposing team’s stalwart defense. The Patriots have the distinct advantage in the offensive department, ranking top five in all major categories, while the Chargers are middling in the same categories, especially points per game, where they rank 20th. A win brings the Patriots their first home playoff victory since 2018.

Pick: Patriots 24, Chargers 20



Texans (12-5) at Steelers (10-7)
Time:
5:15 p.m. Monday, ABC, ESPN
Line/total: Texans -3, 38

Analysis: The Pittsburgh Steelers have won 23 straight home games on “Monday Night Football.” Pair that streak with this one: In the Texans’ 24-year franchise history, they have yet to win a road playoff game, going 0-6. Houston’s top-ranked defense will try to end these streaks, and you can be sure Steelers coach Mike Tomlin and quarterback Aaron Rodgers have had many late-night film sessions this week looking for a weakness to exploit.

Pick: Steelers 20, Texans 17
 
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