Dwayne Bryant
7:07 PM ET -- MLB
957 New York Yankees
958 Toronto Blue Jays
Play OVER 8.5 -105
List Pitchers: ACTION
Bet Size: 5%
Line Parameters:
5% play at 8.5 or better
4% play at 9
2% play at 9.5
My MLB plays are determined by statistical data (standard and advanced metrics from Fangraphs.com), historical data involving similar games and situations (researched through the SDQL database), and current market data. A play is made when enough of these factors align. The play's size is determined by how many of these factors align, the perceived value, and my level of confidence in the play.
KEY SITUATIONAL ANGLES:
The OVER is 15-0-1 in the second half of the season since the 2023 season when the total is no higher than 9 and Toronto faces a team that is outscoring opponents by an average of at least 1 run per game. These games went OVER by an average of 4.4 runs per game!
The OVER is 5-0 this season when Toronto is at home off at least 5 straight road games, going OVER by an average of 4.7 runs per game!