DAVE ESSLER
MLB PROP FRI, 08/22/25 - 7:35 PM
927 STL / 928 TAM Team Total (-110) triple-dime bet
Analysis:
3* Rays TT over 4.5 - This starts with the park and the weather. It's outdoors in Florida in August. It's hot, and it's a smaller park, especially to RF. It's Steinbrenner Field, and George built it to resemble Yankee Stadium. There's also a nice breeze blowing almost straight out, or predicted to be. Working backwards, the Cardinal pen has been respectable but busy lately. Romero threw last night and has pitcher four of five games. Both Svanson and Leahy threw siginificant pithces last night. Then we get to Mikolas. On the road this season he's sitting with an ERA of 6.47 and allowed 74 hits in just 57 innings, with 15 of them leaving the park! He threw 87 pitches in his last start against the Yankees, which for some pitchers wouldn't be a big deal at all, but for him, it is. It's his highest pižtch count this the 4th of July, and he's usually a fly ball pitcher. It's the right formula for the Rays to plate five or more runs.
