These 2 teams played a month back and the Nuggets beat them with Jokic and Cam Johnson.
AG and Braun will most likely be back in this one with AG still expected to be on a minutes restriction and Braun surpassing 30 minutes for the first time all season. Nuggets are coming off BTB games winning as double digit underdogs and now go back home to face the Hawks who can run.
Nuggets are just 4-9 ATS this season facing teams inside the top 10 in pace and the offense takes a huge step down without Jokic at the helm. Nuggets have had some big issues on the boards not being able to rebound with lack of length, and will have no Jonas in this one either, leading to mismatches in length for the Hawks all night. Since January the Nuggets defense ranks 29th in DRTG and that includes getting back Braun and AG for spurts, while the Hawks have started January with the 7th best DRTG in the league and 15th on the season.
Hawks have been great not only on the road this season but have played great as underdogs. Sharp RLM Signals back me on this with the line moving in favor of the Hawks despite the large sums of money coming in on the Nuggets.