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quantumleap

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quantumleap

Joined
Apr 10, 2022
Messages
4,188
New York Red Bulls II +1/2 +105
Starting point:
+1 -108

Movement point:
+1 -200

I'm reluctant to bet on a team with only 2 wins this season but this is another team that lit up the Dropping Odds page with 17 entries and the line movement also reflects money coming on them.
 

quantumleap

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quantumleap

Joined
Apr 10, 2022
Messages
4,188
I know, I know, I said earlier how I especially had not done well with baseball picks, especially Mexican Beisbol picks. However, I'm going to try this one. I picked Monterrey a few days ago and that won and picked Gwinnett the day after that and they only lost due to some throwing errors. The next day they fit the system but I didn't bet them because of the previous day's bad luck and they won. So I would have gone 3-0 if it weren't for some throwing errors. So I'm going to try once more.

Yucatan -102
Starting point:
+1 1/2 -143

Movement point:
+1 1/2 -233
 

Tanko

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Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
49,838
Daily numbers:

Sunday: 5-4, +0.21
Monday: 3-1-2, +1.46
Tuesday: 5-1-3, +2.49
Wednesday: 4-4-1, -0.50
Thursday: 4-3-2, +0.28
Friday: 3-2-1, +0.04
Saturday: 9-5-1, +2.83

As you may see, 4 out of the 7 days were rather flat. Only 3 days showed significant profit. Keep in mind this is a limited sample size but the reason I decided to post is because I had similar numbers each of the prior 2 weeks using this same system.
Positive units are POSITIVE UNITS.
Seem like you got something here.

Whole lotta plays though. Does it feel like a grind?
 

quantumleap

-

quantumleap

Joined
Apr 10, 2022
Messages
4,188
Positive units are POSITIVE UNITS.
Seem like you got something here.

Whole lotta plays though. Does it feel like a grind?
Imagine what I can do with this system if I use my brains a little bit. This system is a pure trigger system, no thought put into it at all. If I can notice games like Austin FC and others that seem even more obvious, I can bet more. If I see some like NY Red Bull II that don't look good, maybe I can avoid those.

Yes, it's starting to feel like a grind, especially notating every play and then posting here. That's partly why this will be my last day posting this system.

As I mentioned before, I may post moves of only 100 points in the future or perhaps when a team has 15 or more entries in the Dropping Odds page. That tells me the line movement is across the board for that team.

We'll see what I come up with, if anything.
 

Tanko

-

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
49,838
Imagine what I can do with this system if I use my brains a little bit. This system is a pure trigger system, no thought put into it at all. If I can notice games like Austin FC and others that seem even more obvious, I can bet more. If I see some like NY Red Bull II that don't look good, maybe I can avoid those.

Yes, it's starting to feel like a grind, especially notating every play and then posting here. That's partly why this will be my last day posting this system.

As I mentioned before, I may post moves of only 100 points in the future or perhaps when a team has 15 or more entries in the Dropping Odds page. That tells me the line movement is across the board for that team.

We'll see what I come up with, if anything.
Yeah. You are busting a$$ posting all these.
But, it shows the system has some legs. (y)(y)(y)

Much appreciated.
 

quantumleap

-

quantumleap

Joined
Apr 10, 2022
Messages
4,188
Yeah. You are busting a$$ posting all these.
But, it shows the system has some legs. (y)(y)(y)

Much appreciated.
My pleasure.

I think we've both been around gambling enough to know variance hits almost every system, even the valid ones. This has been consistent for 3 weeks. I have to be ready for the times when it fails and keep trying until I realize it's either a good system or I got lucky this last 3 weeks and it was a fluke.
 

Tanko

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Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
49,838
Agreed. Variance has always been a "biatch".

This appears to be a very good system. Just like you mentioned in post #109, you optimize. Look for tweaks so that you use the system to find the plays and find a better edge in those plays. Drop the bad, leverage the good.

I think we might be "brothers from different mothers". You analyze just like I do, looking for new/improved edges. We should discuss ideas sometime.

Good luck buddy. Keep it up.
:cheers:
 

quantumleap

-

quantumleap

Joined
Apr 10, 2022
Messages
4,188
Agreed. Variance has always been a "biatch".

This appears to be a very good system. Just like you mentioned in post #109, you optimize. Look for tweaks so that you use the system to find the plays and find a better edge in those plays. Drop the bad, leverage the good.

I think we might be "brothers from different mothers". You analyze just like I do, looking for new/improved edges. We should discuss ideas sometime.

Good luck buddy. Keep it up.
:cheers:
Thanks.

I've run out of ideas to talk about except this one. Well, I have tried trends at killersports but it's hard to know what works.

:cheers:
 

quantumleap

-

quantumleap

Joined
Apr 10, 2022
Messages
4,188
W) Aldosivi +1/2 +101, +1.01
W) Slaven Belupo +1 -142, +0.70
L) Radnicki Nis pk -117, -1.00
L) Mirandes pk -117, -1.00
L) Wolverhampton -1/2 -150, -1.00
W) Leeds -1 1/2 +116, +1.16
W) Strasbourg Alsace pk +117, +1.17
L) Llacuabamba pk +125, -1.00
W) New York Red Bulls II +1/2 +105, +1.05 (What do you know? They covered!)
W) Yucatan -102, +0.98
L) Diablos Rojos del Mexico -135, -1.00
L) Atlas -108, -1.00
L) Patriotas +1/2 -103, -1.00

Sunday: 6-7, -0.93
 
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