nice pick
I'm on fire since you basically got me to take a little more time and run a pseudo cap around the prop. Probably just luck as there is much more work to really do here, I don't even look at all the games in any depth yet.
The trend here seems to be that the harder I work the luckier I get.

One thing I am learning is that there is some serious juice on that "No" to the HR prop but even so, I think there is an edge if you want to play those numbers. Money management is key there and to keep the risk flat. So it's not a big game. I'm digging into it.
Another thing is that I'm not sure how deep they're really looking to set this line. Not sure that looking deeper, like into other factors about the game and opponent, would matter overall; so far I think it does, and just how efficient can this market really be?
The issue I am already having is that there are too many options. For this contest I have to pick one, so it's not really indicative of whether or not the market is beatable or even worth it to beat these days.