Slugger of the Day 2023

[Tanko]

No, that was Jerky.

And Judge went 0-4 today with two strikeouts. Man, that guys a bum.

Yankees should have dumped him when they had the chance.

 

[JDS]

No, that was Jerky.

And Judge went 0-4 today with two strikeouts. Man, that guys a bum.

Too bad I didn‘t bet on that shiiii

 

[Tanko]

Interesting analysis:

• Say I pick Aaron Judge every game he plays the rest of the season (155 games left and he plays in 150 of them - he sat out 5 games in 2022).
• He is projected to hit 46 HRs this year (2 already so 44 remaining).
• He had 11 multi-HR games in 2022.
• This means he should have at least 33 games (44 HR remaining - 11 multi-HR games) this year with at least 1 HR.
• If you bet on him to hit a HR in every remaining game he plays, @ +350 odds avg for each game, this will yield a net of -150.

Almost a breakeven endeavour.

For every additional game he hits a HR, the payout swings +450. So hitting a HR in 34 games = a +300 payout.


I know you can pick this apart with the assumptions I used: 11 multi-HR games, +350 avg odds, etc... but, if you think Aaron will hit a HR in 34 or more games this year, it'll payout. Not something I'm willing to do but interesting to consider.

Anyone got the nuts to do this?

 

[JDS]

Interesting analysis:

• Say I pick Aaron Judge every game he plays the rest of the season (155 games left and he plays in 150 of them - he sat out 5 games in 2022).
• He is projected to hit 46 HRs this year (2 already so 44 remaining).
• He had 11 multi-HR games in 2022.
• This means he should have at least 33 games (44 HR remaining - 11 multi-HR games) this year with at least 1 HR.
• If you bet on him to hit a HR in every remaining game he plays, @ +350 odds avg for each game, this will yield a net of -150.

Almost a breakeven endeavour.

For every additional game he hits a HR, the payout swings +450. So hitting a HR in 34 games = a +300 payout.


I know you can pick this apart with the assumptions I used: 11 multi-HR games, +350 avg odds, etc... but, if you think Aaron will hit a HR in 34 or more games this year, it'll payout. Not something I'm willing to do but interesting to consider.

Anyone got the nuts to do this?

Tanko in the lab giving us some betting ideas, no I wouldn’t do that personally lol.

 

[DiggityDaggityDo]

Tanko in the lab giving us some betting ideas, no I wouldn’t do that personally lol.

And I’m over here like…

 

[Iw1nCashFlow]

David Eckstein

 

[MoMoneyMoVaughn]

No, that was Jerky.

And Judge went 0-4 today with two strikeouts. Man, that guys a bum.

I can’t win either doggles.

 

[JDS]

I can’t win either doggles.

LMFAO @ doggles

 

[DiggityDaggityDo]

LMFAO @ doggles

Add it to the list of nicknames

Diggy too

 

[Tanko]

Tanko: 0-3, -3.00
Mike Trout LAA +300

Alright.... Hit one. Back to even.

Tanko 1-3, +0.00

 

[DiggityDaggityDo]

Alright.... Hit one. Back to even.

Tanko 1-3, +0.00

 

[Tanko]

Not seeing a lot of optimal weather conditions today for HRs.

 

[DiggityDaggityDo]

Diggity: 0-5, -5.00

C.J. CRON (COL) +400

 

[jjgold]

Diggity your in a big losing streak that’s not like you

 

[Leisure]

0-0
Taylor Ward LAA +500

GLTA

 

[DiggityDaggityDo]

Diggity your in a big losing streak that’s not like you

Lol

 

[Tanko]

Diggity your in a big losing streak that’s not like you

JJ... Ever thought about being a positive guy instead of the other one?
Just curous.

 

[DiggityDaggityDo]

CJ Cron not playing??

I waited until I saw he was listed as a starter before I chose him. Wtf

 

[DiggityDaggityDo]

Well shit…

“Cron was scratched from the lineup Saturday against the Nationals with flu-like symptoms.”

 

[JDS]

Jerky 1-2 +3.00 units

Yandy Diaz +500