Silver football picks. NCAA and NFL

[RRsilver]

NFL......... total 6-5 .....+1.79

1-3..... -223

7-8...... -.44

 

[Wagerallsports]

Thoughts on tonight’s games?

 

[RRsilver]

Thoughts on tonight’s games?

Washington getting 7.5 that's a big number. Daniels went 23-29 for 226 yards against the Giants last Sunday, and he added another 40 yards on the ground. He ran for 88 yards and 2 touchdowns in the opener, and he has yet to turn over the ball. Washington also ran for 215 yards against New York, their second solid showing on the ground. Cincinnati has had issues defending the run early (160 allowed per game, 26th overall), a weakness that the visiting team could use to play ball control and keep the pigskin away from Burrow. Ilike Washington here with the 7.5. IF it was less then 7 I would pass.

Washington +7.5

 

[RRsilver]

NFL 7-8...... -.44

Wash........+7.5 (-115)

 

[Tanko]

Washington getting 7.5 that's a big number. Daniels went 23-29 for 226 yards against the Giants last Sunday, and he added another 40 yards on the ground. He ran for 88 yards and 2 touchdowns in the opener, and he has yet to turn over the ball. Washington also ran for 215 yards against New York, their second solid showing on the ground. Cincinnati has had issues defending the run early (160 allowed per game, 26th overall), a weakness that the visiting team could use to play ball control and keep the pigskin away from Burrow. Ilike Washington here with the 7.5. IF it was less then 7 I would pass.

Washington +7.5

I'm on this one as well.
The number was too big.

 

[BMR Genie]

NFL 7-8...... -.44

Wash........+7.5 (-115)

Get it, RR!

 

[RRsilver]

NFL 7-8...... -.44
... 1-0........+1.00

8-8.........+.56

 

[RRsilver]

CFB 11-8......+1.91 THRU 9/21/24

Washington +2 (-105) Bovada

 

[Tanko]

CFB 11-8......+1.91 THRU 9/21/24

Washington +2 (-105) Bovada

Have you looked at Ariz @ #10 Utah?
The line tanked from -12.5 to -8 now. I see value on Utah at -8 and can't find any news on why the line dropped other than maybe sharp action.

I think its dropped too much.
Any thoughts?

 

[RRsilver]

Have you looked at Ariz @ #10 Utah?
The line tanked from -12.5 to -8 now. I see value on Utah at -8 and can't find any news on why the line dropped other than maybe sharp action.

I think its dropped too much.
Any thoughts?

I have not seen anything on it and missed that it had dropped.

I found 3 updates from today on the game, and none of them said anything about the line movement.

 

[RRsilver]

Have you looked at Ariz @ #10 Utah?
The line tanked from -12.5 to -8 now. I see value on Utah at -8 and can't find any news on why the line dropped other than maybe sharp action.

I think its dropped too much.
Any thoughts?

Crazy, it looks like it opened at 11 then went to 12.5 then dropped to 8.5? I've never seen movement like that. That I remember.

 

[RRsilver]

CFB 11-8......+1.91 THRU 9/21/24

Washington +2 (-105) Bovada

adding
utah -8 (-108)

 

[Tanko]

Crazy, it looks like it opened at 11 then went to 12.5 then dropped to 8.5? I've never seen movement like that. That I remember.

I took it at -8 this morning.
I was afraid it might bounce back up. At -8 I estimate it has a ~+5% EV.

 

[Tanko]

Crazy, it looks like it opened at 11 then went to 12.5 then dropped to 8.5? I've never seen movement like that. That I remember.

Thanks for looking at it. Thought maybe I was mising some news.

 

[RRsilver]

Thanks for looking at it. Thought maybe I was mising some news.

I didn't see anything, and money just don't move lines like that. It would take a huge amount. Plus, it's at all shops.

 

[RRsilver]

CFB
11-8......+1.91 THRU 9/21/24
0-1.........-1.08

11-9........+1.83 THRU 9/27/24

Utah ..........-8 (-108)
BYU....... . +3 (-103)
Sam H ST. +10 (-108)
NEB. ..... -10(-105)
USA........+20.5 (-104)
FSU..........+6 (-105)

 

[BMR Genie]

CFB
11-8......+1.91 THRU 9/21/24
0-1.........-1.08

11-9........+1.83 THRU 9/27/24

Utah ..........-8 (-108)
BYU....... . +3 (-103)
Sam H ST. +10 (-108)
NEB. ..... -10(-105)
USA........+20.5 (-104)
FSU..........+6 (-105)

Add those + today, RR. Good luck!

 

[Tanko]

CFB
11-8......+1.91 THRU 9/21/24
0-1.........-1.08

11-9........+1.83 THRU 9/27/24

Utah ..........-8 (-108)
BYU....... . +3 (-103)
Sam H ST. +10 (-108)
NEB. ..... -10(-105)
USA........+20.5 (-104)
FSU..........+6 (-105)

Alright.... I like the card. We have a lot of overlap. Hopefully, that is a positive sign.

 

[RRsilver]

11-9........+1.83 THRU 9/27/24 This was wrong.
11-9........+.83 Would be correct
3-3......-.12


14-12 ....+.71 thur.. 9/28/24

 

[RRsilver]

NFL 8-8.........+.56

IND.....-2.5 (-110)
JAX...+5.5....(-105)
RAMS ..+3..(-108)
BUF..... +2.5 (-105)