NF Sharp Action
8:15 p.m. ET: Indianapolis Colts at Baltimore Ravens
These AFC non-division foes have gotten off to polar opposite starts to the season. The Colts (1-3 SU, 2-2 ATS) just snapped a three-game losing  streak with their first win of the season, beating Miami 27-17 as  2.5-point road dogs. Meanwhile, the Ravens (3-1 SU, 2-2 ATS) have   rebounded from a Week 1 loss to the Raiders with three straight wins,   including a 23-7 beatdown of the Broncos last week, winning outright as 1-point road dogs. The Colts are -14 in point differential. The Ravens are 13.
This line opened with Baltimore listed as a 7-point home favorite. The   public is hammering the red-hot Ravens, with 77-percent of bets at   BetMGM laying the chalk with Lamar Jackson and company. However, despite  this lopsided betting, the line has remained frozen at 7. This signals  some liability on the road dog Colts with oddsmakers reluctant to move  to + 7.5 and hand out the hook to contrarian Indianapolis backers. Road  dogs are 29-19 ATS (60 percent) this season. Primetime dogs are 8-6 ATS  this season and 36-25 ATS (59 percent) over the past two seasons. The  public has a lot of teasers pending on the Ravens, taking Baltimore down  from -7 to -1. Baltimore is 16-2 in primetime games under John  Harbaugh. The Ravens are also a sneaky popular survivor pick play.  Gameday movement will tell a lot. If we see juice creep up and the line  fall toward 6.5, that will indicate further Colts money. If it shifts  toward -7.5, then the Ravens will be taking in the late action.
We've also seen some respected money hit this under, dropping the total from 48 to 46. Both teams are 2-2 to the over/under on the season.   Primetime overs are 8-5 on the season, but unders have gone 4-1 over the  last five. The under is 5-0 over the past five matchups between these teams.