Matt Severance
CHI. WHITE SOX @ CHI. CUBS | 08/06 | 2:20 PM EDT
CHI. WHITE SOX -160
ANALYSIS: I've been fading the Cubs all week, and many times I probably will not when Kyle Hendricks is on the mound, especially at home, but man that lineup looks laughable today behind Hendricks with Willson Contreras getting the game off and Jason Heyward (not that he's any good) landing on the injured list. I don't see how the Cubs score much against the Sox's Lance Lynn (10-3, 2.07). The Sox do lose the DH but are keeping Eloy Jimenez's bat in the lineup by playing him (dangerously) in left field. The wind is blowing out pretty hard at Wrigley, and Hendricks does give up a lot of homers. Lynn does not.
MIAMI @ COLORADO | 08/06 | 8:40 PM EDT
COLORADO -157
ANALYSIS: We've bet the Rockies all week, and they should have swept the Cubs but took two out of three. The Marlins aren't much better than the Cubs and are 15 games under .500 on the road. Miami's Sandy Alcantara is a good pitcher but worse away (5-6, 3.71 ERA) and at night (3-5, 4.06). Colorado is 17-5 in its past 22 at home vs. a righty. It starts German Marquez. He is 5-2 with a 1.99 ERA over his last eight starts and 4-1 with a 1.53 ERA over his last seven at home. VERY rare to see a total Under 10 in Denver but this one is set at 9.5. I'd probably still lean Under but will not play it.