Purdue +2.5 Looks Real Easy

[jjgold]

We are in this together

 

[BMR Genie]

Some of the books already have them at +3.

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[jjgold]

Genie I know what I am doing

 

[BMR Genie]

Genie I know what I am doing

Okay, JJ.

 

[BMR Genie]

@Tanko, I want to know your opinion on OT prop.

 

[JDS]

@Tanko, I want to know your opinion on OT prop.

View attachment 85976

Great question Genie, Tanko an expert in that department this year.

 

[Wagerallsports]

If only they were as easy as they look

 

[Pimike]

Coach was up all night studying this ones he even got the money from us over on whatsapp to get down large here.

All I will say is he is serious about this play.

 

[LT Profits]

Nothing easy against probably the best team in the country right now.

 

[Pimike]

Nothing easy against probably the best team in the country right now.

Good point. But Michigan just like Houston are looking ahead to Saturday

 

[Tanko]

@Tanko, I want to know your opinion on OT prop.

View attachment 85976

Genie, If I make a play on the game, its like a slam dunk on having OT.

 

[Tanko]

We are in this together

JJ, I hope you hit this one. You need a winner.
I don't remember you ever losing this many in a row before.

Get-r-done.

 

[BMR Genie]

Genie, If I make a play on the game, its like a slam dunk on having OT.

Wahahaha.. for real!

 

[JDS]

This number is sharply positioned see no real advantage in this game could go either way just like last night with Houston and Iowa State.

 

[jjgold]

Teams coming off the number one ranking don’t perform well against the spread the next game

 

[Pimike]

Teams coming off the number one ranking don’t perform well against the spread the next game

That is correct

 

[LT Profits]

Teams coming off the number one ranking don’t perform well against the spread the next game

That is mostly due to inflated spreads though. This one does not look inflated, looks like line is where it should be more or less, model has Michigan -2.4.

 

[Tanko]

That is mostly due to inflated spreads though. This one does not look inflated, looks like line is where it should be more or less, model has Michigan -2.4.

I have it -3.1.
Mine might be slightly higher than yours due to using a "recent momentum factor" over last 6 games that nudges it slightly up.

If I had a gun to my head, I might lay the points but its still too close to make a call IMO.

GL @jjgold .

 

[drunkenhorseplayer]

We are in this together

Leave me out, I'm on Mich -2.

 

[LT Profits]

I have it -3.1.
Mine might be slightly higher than yours due to using a "recent momentum factor" over last 6 games that nudges it slightly up.

If I had a gun to my head, I might lay the points but its still too close to make a call IMO.

GL @jjgold .

Not surprisingly based on our numbers, i put much more emphasis on full season numbers. But even putting that aside, even if Purdue was to hit +3.5, I would still pass because of Michigan advantages in Kenpom components as we discussed few weeks ago.