purplegrape
- Joined
- Apr 27, 2023
- Messages
- 299
Plays and basketball forecasts
Model using season long and recent team stats up until April 4 in attempt to exclude low importance games
Doesn't account for injuries, player stats, or trades, very flawed, I try to manually adjust and feel it out
Total forecasts are usually too high possibly due to incorporating league average game totals over previous 2 seasons
Model retrained in off seasons and overfit due to poor hyperparameter tuning
Other odds-based indicators are not posted
Model using season long and recent team stats up until April 4 in attempt to exclude low importance games
Doesn't account for injuries, player stats, or trades, very flawed, I try to manually adjust and feel it out
Total forecasts are usually too high possibly due to incorporating league average game totals over previous 2 seasons
Model retrained in off seasons and overfit due to poor hyperparameter tuning
Other odds-based indicators are not posted
| gameCode | homeLine/total |
|---|---|
| 20250415/ATL/ORL | -4.7 |
| 20250415/ATL/ORL | 222.7 |
| 20250415/MEM/GSW | -3.1 |
| 20250415/MEM/GSW | 235.1 |
| 20250416/DAL/SAC | 0.2 |
| 20250416/DAL/SAC | 237.4 |
| 20250416/MIA/CHI | -1.1 |
| 20250416/MIA/CHI | 238.1 |
| 20250419/DET/NYK | 231.2 |
| 20250419/DET/NYK | -4.8 |
| 20250419/LAC/DEN | -1.7 |
| 20250419/LAC/DEN | 231.2 |
| 20250419/MIL/IND | 241 |
| 20250419/MIL/IND | -4 |
| 20250419/MIN/LAL | 0.7 |
| 20250419/MIN/LAL | 229.5 |
