Packers to make the playoffs: risk $1415/ payout 12k

[BigJay]

On tilt made these before the MIA game figuring they'd most likely lose that game but now it gets interesting. Obviously they'd have to win out (which I think they will) against MIN & DET at home & need help. Either Giants lose their last 2..IND [H] PHI [R] OR WAS loses 1 of their last 2 against either CLE or DAL at home. Here's why I think I'm screwed: no chance the Giants lose to IND & CLE & DAL really have nothing to play for once DAL has no chance to win the division in wk 18 so I think WAS wins out. If anyone thinks any differently or has any hedging suggestion, I'm all ears.
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[biprob]

Please Dougie, do a partial bet on the Lions next week! You have to hedge. Maybe Lions & Georgia ML parlay for 4K?

What's good teach! Posting this the second I found out WAS lost since I made sure to avoid that 1 & only result yesterday figuring if they won I was fucked. (accidentally clicked on PMT Pod & saw the caption). All told $2150 to win $12,100 on this. Since I'm ALL IN, dead broke, & could reload at most $500 on Fri, no real hedging angle, so I'm just gonna stay pat & for the best. Kind of surprised FD not offering a cashout but even so, I wouldn’t consider it for less than 10k since GB is -225.

 

[JDS]

What's good teach! Posting this the second I found out WAS lost since I made sure to avoid that 1 & only result yesterday figuring if they won I was fucked. (accidentally clicked on PMT Pod & saw the caption). All told $2150 to win $12,100 on this. Since I'm ALL IN, dead broke, & could reload at most $500 on Fri, no real hedging angle, so I'm just gonna stay pat & for the best. Kind of surprised FD not offering a cashout but even so, I wouldn’t consider it for less than 10k since GB is -225.
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This could be a nice early score for you in January Dougy if the Packers can take care of business. I’ll be rooting this one in from SFL.

 

[biprob]

Would be nice if TEN somehow won to keep this lotto ticket alive for a possible future cashout but no way they're winning in JAX. If I could sign up for a TEN loss for a GB win I couldn't reach for the pen fast enough.

 

[biprob]

This could be a nice early score for you in January Dougy if the Packers can take care of business. I’ll be rooting this one in from SFL.

Appreciate it jerky!..beyond fucking sick of reloading every damn week & could really use this 14k for some huge AO Futures making sure to maintain 10k+ in the account. Cashed our plenty at Bookmaker but basically donated 31.4K to FD with one $80 WD all year. Since this is the 1st time I could itemize gambling losses on my 1040, I'm hoping I could get a significantly better return back, but who tf knows how that works?

 

[JDS]

Appreciate it jerky!..beyond fucking sick of reloading every damn week & could really use this 14k for some huge AO Futures making sure to maintain 10k+ in the account. Cashed our plenty at Bookmaker but basically donated 31.4K to FD with one $80 WD all year. Since this is the 1st time I could itemize gambling losses on my 1040, I'm hoping I could get a significantly better return back, but who tf knows how that works?
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Always better to lose onshore to take advantage of itemizing losses for a better return. I’m glad it’s not the other way around.

 

[biprob]

Always better to lose onshore to take advantage of itemizing losses for a better return. I’m glad it’s not the other way around.

Down another $6400 at DK so conservatively speaking if I could get at least 10% back on this -38k, that wouldn't be too shabby. Most of these losses were for loading up on two 100k+ Futures that obviously the . Zags/GSW early last yr & Alcaraz/Swiatek FO Future. (Of course that one hit at the USO)

 

[teacher10]

Would be nice if TEN somehow won to keep this lotto ticket alive for a possible future cashout but no way they're winning in JAX. If I could sign up for a TEN loss for a GB win I couldn't reach for the pen fast enough.
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You made a future bet w/ Fix-It Felix?! I would have chosen Novak but then again you are a tennis god.

Packers D vs Lions O. It'll be tough but will tail on the Packers!

 

[biprob]

You made a future bet w/ Fix-It Felix?! I would have chosen Novak but then again you are a tennis god.

Packers D vs Lions O. It'll be tough but will tail on the Packers!

Appreciate the kind words teach but far from it. Even if TEN loses I still have 3.9M in Futures with Felix/Collins with PHI/KC or BUF. Again this was all in the hope of them approximating last yrs results (QF, F) for a decent cashout but based on them both playing like shit & losing yesterday, it's not looking good. Would gladly sub Tsitsipas/Rybakina AO Futures for them instead so hopefully if GB hits I could put something down on them as well.

 

[teacher10]

I'm sure Uncle Sam will be happy. But then again I would be happy too with a quarter of that amount. How do you get all the free play from NY?

 

[biprob]

I'm sure Uncle Sam will be happy. But then again I would be happy too with a quarter of that amount. How do you get all the free play from NY?

DK been super generous with the FPs for some reason since I'm pretty much FD reload exclusive. (obv to get me to reload) Along with that $500 fp, they just gave me one for $250 last wk..mentioned those 2 brutal beats with that & really should've hit this 9 teamer for 5k if I went with my gut..avoided NCAAF & used 2 NBA -300s instead & subbed Bucs & Chargers for the Jets.