I think I’m posting in right thread. You guy’s were talking first quarter somewhere anyway
Jim Turvey: This is another one of those stars aligning plays.
The Bucks are fresh off their first loss of the season, and will be looking to get back on track against the Thunder in Oklahoma City on Wednesday. For the game as a whole, this pesky Thunder roster could sneak into a backdoor cover, but in the first quarter that seems doubtful.
The Bucks have been absolute monsters in the first 12 minutes of games this season, sporting a +26.1 net rating in the first quarter of games this season. That number is head and shoulders above anyone else in the league, and this is not just some small sample fluke. The Bucks were the second-best team in the league in first quarter net rating last season too (+9.9 net rating), and have never been worst than fifth in the past four seasons.
On the flip side, this iteration of the Thunder are notoriously slow starters. Last season, the team was, by far, the worst first quarter team in the league (-16.9 net rating). This season, they’re off to a slightly better start, but they are still farrrrr from a good first quarter team (-5.3 net rating, 22nd in the NBA).
Finish it all off with the fact that the Bucks are very likely to win the tip (part of why I also like Bucks first to five points and might look at Brook Lopez first field goal props today), and this is a recipe for a first quarter cover from the Milwaukee Bucks.
| Pick | Bucks -1.5 1Q |
The Bucks are fresh off their first loss of the season, and will be looking to get back on track against the Thunder in Oklahoma City on Wednesday. For the game as a whole, this pesky Thunder roster could sneak into a backdoor cover, but in the first quarter that seems doubtful.
The Bucks have been absolute monsters in the first 12 minutes of games this season, sporting a +26.1 net rating in the first quarter of games this season. That number is head and shoulders above anyone else in the league, and this is not just some small sample fluke. The Bucks were the second-best team in the league in first quarter net rating last season too (+9.9 net rating), and have never been worst than fifth in the past four seasons.
On the flip side, this iteration of the Thunder are notoriously slow starters. Last season, the team was, by far, the worst first quarter team in the league (-16.9 net rating). This season, they’re off to a slightly better start, but they are still farrrrr from a good first quarter team (-5.3 net rating, 22nd in the NBA).
Finish it all off with the fact that the Bucks are very likely to win the tip (part of why I also like Bucks first to five points and might look at Brook Lopez first field goal props today), and this is a recipe for a first quarter cover from the Milwaukee Bucks.
