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NBA Play-in/Playoff Thread

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piratealew

piratealew

Joined
Feb 20, 2024
Messages
3,148
thanks JJ, it's been fun the last days especially.

On a 19-7 run since Thursday/760-674YTD

⭐️OKC-4-118
⭐️Celtics/Heat Over 203-113
⭐️LA Lakers/Denver Over 216-115
Celtics-10-112
New Orleans/OKC Over 204-120
 

piratealew

piratealew

Joined
Feb 20, 2024
Messages
3,148
Rarely do I double up with 2 big bets on same game but yesterday's situation was good for it in Minny game, same with LA Fakers game. They keep it close, as they have all series, I'll take the points as I dont see them winning outright. The avg margin of victory in this series is 6 for the Nuggets. i have this as a possesion game 2-3 points. And with Murray hurt, even if he does play it may be limited and he won't be 100%. Lakers get more contribution from their bench than Denver especially lately.

⭐️La Fakers+7.5-115
 

piratealew

piratealew

Joined
Feb 20, 2024
Messages
3,148
they sure did and it was a good night hitting OKC my top play and lakers...
3-0 on spreads last night, totals took a dip. 22-10 playoff run since last Thursday.. More fun tonight.

⭐️Cavs-4-120
⭐️Knicks-3-118
⭐️Bucks/Pacers Over 215-110
Pacers-4-110 (watching Haliburton status)
76ers/Knicks Over 202-118
 

piratealew

piratealew

Joined
Feb 20, 2024
Messages
3,148
^knicks let that game go late-i knew when it went to OT Philly was going to win with all the momentum. Some stupid decisions by Knicks late and crucial missed shots. Frustrating.

Crappy Tues, first in a few days, Paolo's 3 at the buzzer to bust the push was just icing on the cake, and Knicks losing cover late to go into OT. I knew they were lost then.

1-4 Tues/764-681YTD

⭐️Clippers-3.5-115
⭐️Boston/Miami Over 199-120
Boston-7.5-115 (1st half)

May be looking at a few live bet opps, esp with Boston, if they dont cover 1st half or it's a tight game, it might be a good spot to jump in, depending on the flow of the game and barring no injuries. I rarely play halves but Boston is a great 1st half team, especially in Boston, while they often let up on teams 2nd half. With the series back in their house, I would expect Boston to come out firing to put Miami away early and finish the series. No need for Porzhingus, they have dominated plenty of times without him, and the bulk of their scoring comes from Tatum and the rest of their vaunted back-court. Bam has been killing it this series, with Porzhingus guarding him, so he hasnt exactly stopped him at all. Bam can have another field day as usual and Boston win going away.

Miami is clearly out-manned and their only advantagte over Boston they have is that Coach Spol is the much better coach. Further, this game is revenge for the game 2 embarrassment when Miami upset Boston in the Garden by 10. While Celtics did exact some revenge on Miami's floor, they remember Game 2 and won't let it happen again.
 

piratealew

piratealew

Joined
Feb 20, 2024
Messages
3,148
5 of the last 6 games btw these 2 went under. Clippers averaged just 99.7 pts per game in their last 3 against the Mavs, while Mavs avg 102.7 in their last 3 against the Clips. I dont see them scoring enough to push it over, unless OT.

Mavs/Clips Under 209
 

piratealew

piratealew

Joined
Feb 20, 2024
Messages
3,148
2-2 last night, lets see what tonight will bring. Clips are an embarrassment, said all along Mavs would still win series but thought they might win one back in LA. Nope, they are done.

⭐️76ers-2.5-115
⭐️Bucks/Pacers Over 214
Pacers-3.5-125 (1st half)
Knicks/76ers Over 199-120

Another first half play, much like last night with Celtics. I see Pacers jumping out early, they dont want this series to extend and with the embarrassment of last game, and now back at home, I expect them to jump out early. I'll be looking for live bet opps at Half if it goes the other way, as I dont see Pacers losing to Bucks tonight but with a -8ish line for the game, a lot can happen. Betrivers has the lowest option for First half as I see a lot of 4.5 now.
 

piratealew

piratealew

Joined
Feb 20, 2024
Messages
3,148
Pirates I noticed you don’t really like money lines
Hit wrong button. Yeah i do play ML's for spreads of a pick to around -2.5, or ML's less than -140 Preferably. This time the ML for sixers was 180-190. steep for my blood.

️76ers-2.5-115
️Bucks/Pacers Over 214
Pacers-3.5-125 (1st half)
Knicks/76ers Over 199-120

Another first half play, much like last night with Celtics. I see Pacers jumping out early, they dont want this series to extend and with the embarrassment of last game, and now back at home, I expect them to jump out early. I'll be looking for live bet opps at Half if it goes the other way, as I dont see Pacers losing to Bucks tonight but with a -8ish line for the game, a lot can happen. Betrivers has the lowest option for First half as I see a lot of 4.5 now.



Just like I thought. Even with the higher line i got early before Dame news, it cashe easily and game is going exactly how I thought. Hopefully they keep up the scoring in the 2ndAnother first half play, much like last night with Celtics. I see Pacers jumping out early, they dont want this series to extend and with the embarrassment of last game, and now back at home, I expect them to jump out early. I'll be looking for live bet opps at Half if it goes the other way, as I dont see Pacers losing to Bucks tonight but with a -8ish line for the game, a lot can happen. Betrivers has the lowest option for First half as I see a lot of 4.5 now.


Congrats to all those who tailed and cashed easily on Pacers 1st half
 
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