Sorry guys I’m putting an end to this before it really got started. I can’t run this giveaway and get one response with a pick. Everybody here wants to act like they don’t need $100 when in reality almost every one of you probably doesn’t have two nickels to rub together.
Guess it’s an ego thing to pretend you don’t need it. Subaru I’m glad you were able to make $100 yesterday. Congrats. Mods you can delete thread. Thanks.
Here's my play w/ writeup. I will say, if it wins, I will be taking the BTC to conduct a contest as well.
Middle Tenn -1.5 -108 Bookmaker
Finally found a half-decent play today. Middle Tenn (MTSU) should cover this game on the road.
- MTSU 5-2 ATS on the road vs SH 1-3 ATS at home.
- MTSU 7-2-1 ATS over last 10 vs SH 3-7 ATS.
Although the game will be high scoring, I see the difference between these two teams on the defensive side. MTSU plays much better defense (#114) than SHSU (#253) so they should be able to hold the Bearkats in check. Also, SHSU Lives on the 3-pt line (#23) and is good from that range but ,the Blue Raiders 3-pt defense is stout (#22) so I see them keeping the Bearkats opportunities down.
MTSU is beating everyone ranked worse then them and only losing to better ranked teams. I like the consistency. Simlarly, SHSU loses to teams they should lose against (i.e. better ranking).
The only concern is the FT shooting. MTSU 69% vs SHSU 71%. Not a big difference but since this expected to be a close game FT shooting could become a factor. IMO I think it will be a bigger win for MTSU (5-6 pts) than the line indicates offsetting this issue.
