Monday Sept 9-Sept 16 MLB

[piratealew]

MLB Wed=23-15 (11-7 Top plays) Umpire Overs=86-57 last 28 days

MLB =2001-1752 YTD/ (993-877 Top plays)/ Umpire Overs=222-157 Umpire Under=21-19

“All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays. *Top plays are listed in order of strength.
️Phillies-1-125-Push
️Yankees-135-W
️Baltimore+130-L
️Braves-1-130-L
️Mia/Pitt Over 8-130 (Ump Over-Jean-11.5 Runs/2.2 SO/BB/62%K/New up++Metrics)-L
️Giants-134- W
️Cards-128-W
️Detroit-1-115-W
️Dodgers/Cubs Over 8.5-120-W
️Houston-1.5-107-L
️Mets-120-W
️Texas+133-L
️Dodgers-1-115-W
️Mariners-102-W
️Rockies/Tigers Over 8-115 (Ump Over-Ripperger-20-9 Over/10 Runs/2.4 SO/BB)-W
️Angels/Twins Over 8.5-115-W
️Cleveland-1.5-125-W
️Angels+1.5-115-L
️Marlins Team Total Over 3.5-125-L
Texas/Arizona Over 8-120-W
Miami+1.5-135-L
Braves-0.5-115 (F5)-L
Giants Team Total Over 3.5-115-W
Cleveland-0.5-125 (F5)-W
Cards/Reds Over 8-115 (Umpire Over-Segal-Avg 9-10 Runs Last 5 year/67-42 Over last 4 yrs)-L
Mets/Blue Jays Over 7.5-120-W
Texas Team Total Over 3.5-120-W
Tigers Team Total Over 4-W
Guardians Team Total Over 4.5-129-W
Tigers-0.5-120 (F5)-W
Phils/Rays Over 7-120-L
Mets-120 (F5)-L
Phillies Team Total Over 4-L
Astros-0.5-135 (F5)-W
Braves Team Total Over 4-L
Clev/Chicago Over 7.5-120-W
Giants/Brewers Over 7-112-W
Yankees/Royals UNDER 8.5-125-W
Oakland/Houston UNDER 8.5-115-L

Another good day Wednesday, pushed the POD thankfully they won the the parlays ML, won #2 and the late Top plays Dodgers/Over, Mariners, and Giants

 

[inzane]

Had the Mets tt over 3* and the game over 7.

Going into the 9th down 1-0 with a no-hitter in progress wasn't too inspiring, but they pulled it off...

 

[piratealew]

MLB Wed=23-15 (11-7 Top plays) Umpire Overs=86-57 last 28 days

MLB =2001-1752 YTD/ (993-877 Top plays)/ Umpire Overs=222-157 Umpire Under=21-19

“All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays. *Top plays are listed in order of strength.

️Brewers-122
️Tigers-1.5+100
️Yankees-152
️Mariners-130
️Brewers/Giants Over 7.5-105
️Houston-1.5-108
️Nationals-1-118
️Guardians-135
️Reds+157
️Yanks/Red Sox Over 8-128
Marlins/Nats Over 8.5-120
Tigers-0.5-135 (F5)
Houston-1-115 (F5)
Cleveland/Tampa Over 7.5-120
Reds+0.5+100 (F5)
Yankees Team Total Over 4.5-110
Brewers Team Total Over 3.5
Tigers Team Total Over 4
Rangers Team Over Over 3
Nats team Total Over 4.5-125
Reds/Cards UNDER 8-125

Still waiting on Yanks, Nats, Clev, Seattle Umps..GL all...

 

[inzane]

Good luck, I like Cinci too and already took Det and Houston -1 each.

 

[piratealew]

thanks buddy, Cincy couldnt get it done esp when the pen came in and blew it. Junis was pitching great.

***1st Umpire Over is ️Yanks/Red Sox Over 8 with Charlie mos who is avg 9.77 Runs, 18-12 Over on 2.54 SO/BB ratio and 63%K. With Cortez having his On base avg now rising .270 laely and a Boston team that leads MLB in doubles per game, i see some run scoring opps for Boston and Yankees as both in top 10 in home run rate.

***2nd umpire Over is ️Cleveland/Tampa Over 7.5 with Sean Barber who is 14-9 Over on 9.6 Runs and a 2.5 SO/BB Ratio. I had this game hitting just over 8 as both teams average runs at this rate but think this could go a run or 2 higher. I like this a bit more so it is a top play now

***3rd Umpire Over is Nats/Marlins Over 8.5 with James Hoye who is avg 9.15 runs, on 14-12 Over, and a low 2.5 SO/BB ratio. He has averaged 9-10 runs every year back to 2020. The over has has hit in 4 of the last 6 for Both teams.

 

[inzane]

Wow! Some late inning heroics saved the day again.

Had the 'Stros -1, over 8, and the A's tt over 2*.

2-2 in the home 8th and they get 4 with 2 outs, then the A's get a solo shot in the 9th for the sweep. This shit just doesn't happen to me...

 

[inzane]

Thanks for the ump overs.

 

[piratealew]

️Rangers/Seattle Over 6.5-125

 

[piratealew]

MLB Thurs=8-14 (Cash POD) Umpire Overs=87-59 last 29 days
NFL=1-1 (Cash POD)

MLB =2009-1766 YTD/ (997-885 Top plays)/ Umpire Overs=223-159 Umpire Under=21-19

“All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays. *Top plays are listed in order of strength.

️Cubs-135
️Batlimore-145
️Oakland-121
️Guardians-1-116
️San Diego+101
️Washington-130
️Atlanta+100
️Yankees-141
️Milwakee/Arizona Over 8-125
️Cardinals+120
️Twins-0.5-130 (F5)
️Pirates-125
️Dodgers/Braves Over 8-128
️Mets+0.5-110 (F5)
️Seattle/Texas Over 6.5-125
️Seattle+115
️Padres/Giants Over 6.5-125
Milwaukee+100
Houston-1.5-115
Twins-1.5-102
Yankees/Red Sox Over 8-120
Orioles-145 (F5)
Cubs-135 (F5)
Mets+1.5-143
Washington/Miami Over 7.5-125
Baltimore/Detroit over 7.5-115
Cards/Blow Jays Over 7.5-115
Cubs/Rockies over 10.5-115
Brewers Team Total Over 4
Cleveland-0.5-115 (F5)
Yankees Team Total Over 4
Washington Team Total Over 4
Oakland/Chicago UNDER 8.5-120

Won the POD again with Brewers, small plays went south and Mariners were a let down late. Decent day. Glad the Bills came through for us easy with Milwaukee late...

Back to a full slate and a decent card. Feel another big day coming, lets make some this weekend!

 

[piratealew]

***1st Umpire Over is Mets/Phils Over 8-125 with Lance Barrett who is 18-11 over on his games, on 9.31 runs. The over has cashed in 4 of Philly's last 6 games, and tonight i have them getting to at least 9.

 

[piratealew]

***2nd Umpire Over is Cubs/Rockies over 10.5 (played above) with Nate Tomlinson who is 39-20 last 2 years, with a low 2.2-2.4 SO/BB and avg 10 runs the last 2, with 11.2 last year and just under 9 this year but + on the over. Aiding the over is the obvious altitude equation where balls just fly and with Cubs smashing the ball lately-14 of their last 20 have gone over anf in their last 3 games with LA they put up 24 runs or 8 runs per game. I see no reason why cubs cant get to at least that tonight, while Rocks should get a few to contribute as they have scored 4 runs in 3 of the last 4.

 

[piratealew]

One of our fave run producing umps...

***3rd Ump Over is ️Padres/Giants Over 6.5 with Mark Wegner who is 15-7 Over on 10.5 runs and a low 2.4 SO/BB Ratio. The situation also points to an over as neither pitcher had a good outing last time, Cease gave up 4 to these giants and Webb 3 to the padres. These two have hit the over in six of their last ten meetings.

 

[piratealew]

MLB FRI=16-16 Umpire Overs=89-60 last 30 days

MLB =2025-1792 YTD/ (1005-893 Top plays)/ Umpire Overs=225-160 Umpire Under=21-19

“All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays. *Top plays are listed in order of strength.

️Padres-145
️Toronto-124
️Guardians-130
️Yanks/Red Sox Over 8-120 (Ump Over-Hurdson-16-8 OVER/9.7 Runs)
️Mets-103
️Dodgers+116
️Arizona-134
️Cubs-135
️Yankees-1-118
️Orioles-0.5-115 (F5)
️Royals+100
️Oakland-148
️Arizona/Milwaukee Over 8-130 (Umpire Over-Tripp Gibson/9.5 Runs/15-12 Over
️Reds+135
️Mariners-138
️Padres/Giants Over 7.5-105 (Ump Over-Vondrak-10.28 Runs/18-11 Over/2.4 SO/BB)
️Marlins+0.5-110 (F5)
️Angels Team Total Over 3.5-102
Toronto/STL Over 7.5-120 (Umpire Over-Bellino/~10 runs L2 YRS/56-38 Over L3 YRS)
Baltimore-1-129
Balt/Detroit Over 7.5-120 (Umpire Over-Barksdale-18-12 Over/9.1 Runs L2 Yrs/ LOW 2.1 SO/BB)
Angels+1.5-102
Royals/Pirates Over 7.5-115
Oakland Team Total Over 4.5-115
Marlins Team Total Over 3.5-130
Yankees-0.5-115 (F5)
Mets/Phils Over 8.5-115
Reds Team Total Over 3.5-110
San Fran Giants Team Total Over 3
Marlins+135
Yankees Team Total Over 4
Reds+0.5-112 (F5)
Cubs-140 (F5)
Texas/Seattle Over 6-125
Houston/LAA Over 8-125
Oak/Chicago Over 8-130
Tampa/Cleveland UNDER 8.5-110

GL all.

 

[piratealew]

Massive day, swept top 3 in both NCAA and MLB and hit 3-1-1 umpire overs today

 

[piratealew]

Great day saturday, lets keep it rolling..

MLB Sat=19-15 (Cash #2 top play/9-8 Top plays) Umpire Overs=92-61 last 30 days
NCAA=22-19 (Cash #1/#3....13-5 Top plays)

MLB =2044-1807 YTD/ (1016-908 Top plays)/ Umpire Overs=228-161 Umpire Under=21-19
“All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays. *Top plays are listed in order of strength.

️Arizona-147
️Yankees-1-115
️San Diego-111
️Toronto-113
️Royals-103
️Tigers/Os Over 8-125 (Ump Over-D. Thomas-15-10 Over/9.7 Runs, LOW 2.3 SO/BB)
️Oakland-1-138
️Houston-0.5-125 (F5)
️Reds+145
️Nats-1-115
️Cubs-123
️Oak/Chicago Over 7.5-126 (Umpire Over-Ripperger-21-9 OVER/10 Runs/2.5 SO/BB)
️Tigers+103
️Tampa+125
️NY Mutts+135
️Braves/Dodgers Over 8.5-125
️Az/Milwaukee Over 8-115
️Texas+143
Braves+100
KC/Pitt Over 7.5-115 (Ump Over-Ryan Willis-9.73 Runs/63% K/LOW 2.31 SO/BB+Metrics)
Yanks/Boston Over 8-125
Padres/Giants Over 8-115
Mariners/Rangers Over 7-105
Houston-1.5-115
Toronto-120 (F5)
Reds Team Total Over 3.5-120
Mets Team Total Over 3.5-112
STL/Toronto Over 8-115
Mets/Phils Over 7.5-125
Reds+0.5+102 (F5)
Texas Team Total Over 3
Nats Team Total Over 4
Oakland-0.5-115 (F5)
Padres-110 (F5)
Reds/Twinks Over 8.5-115
Nats-0.5-125 (F5)
Cubs/Rocks Over 11-115
Houston/LAA UNDER 9.5-128

 

[inzane]

Rollin', rollin', rollin'...

Good luck today Pirate.

 

[piratealew]

thanks brother, hopefully we keep this going again

was asked why Zona as top play:

"How you do feel about the Arizona game? From a thought perspective"

Love it. Gallen at home, with playoffs near and every game meaning more and more here on out while Brewers have basically locked their position in....Zona, hungrier team, better pitcher today, hottest Offense in MLB since ASB at home. it all points to the dbacks.

Now, when i cap the game, even if this was a game in April or May-its wort noting the vast difference in starters today. Gallen has shut down Brewers, winning 3 of last 4 and compiling a 1.75 ERA and WHIP under 1 in 36 innings. He is 2-1 with a microscopic 0.47 ERA in three starts versus the Brewers at home.Arizona's full pitching staff has been effective against the Brewers recently, showcasing a 2.86 ERA with a 1.09 WHIP in their prior 5 games. While Hall for Brewers had a stellar shutout last outing, he did give up 7 runs his prior 2 starts, across only 7 innings. I think we see some where in the middle.

Dback rate 2nd in slg at .447 so expect the offense to be active today








"

 

[piratealew]

Hit the POD and top 4 again. Always great with the bigger plays win. 2 days in a row hitting top 3 MLB.

MLB Sun=16-20 (Cash #POD/ Top 4 play/9-8 Top plays) Umpire Overs=92-64 last 31 days

MLB =2060-1827 YTD/ (1025-916 Top plays)/ Umpire Overs=228-164 Umpire Under=21-19

“All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays. *Top plays are listed in order of strength.

️Pittsburgh-135
️Royals-144
️San Dog Chaplains-112
️Arizona-1-130
️Dodgers-105
️Mets-1-125
️Guardians+100
️Philly+100
️Angels-1-124
️Dodgers/Braves Over 7.5-108
️Oakland+1.5-128
️Mets/Nats Over 7.5-112
Pirates-145 (F5)
Dodgers-115 (F5)
Arizona-0.5-115 (F5)
Dodgers Team Total Over 3.5-125
Mets Team Total Over 4
KC-138 (F5)
Mets-0.5-115 (f5)
Pirates Team Total Over 3.5-120
Philly/Milwaukee Over 8-115
Padres Team Total Over 4
Oakland Team Total Over 3
Royals/Tigers UNDER 8.5-110

GL all.

 

[piratealew]

***1st Umpire Over is ️Mets/Nats Over 7.5 with Andy Fletcher who is 23-6 Over, on 12.3 Runs and a low 2.04 SO/BB Ratio. Andy fletcher games are almost always auto overs but the matchup is right tonight too. Mets are hitting .279 against Nats this yr, are 9th in MLB in scoring and 5th in Homers. Mets hung 6 on Irvin last time they met in July, i see plenty of runs tonight from mets and a few from nats.

***2nd Ump Over is ️Dodgers/Braves Over 7.5 with Jordan Baker who is 17-10 Over on over 9 runs. The over has hit in Dodgers 5 of last 6 and 4 of the last 6 when these 2 play in Atlanta including the last 3.

 

[piratealew]

***3rd Umpire Over is Oakland/Chicago Over 7.5-120 with Edwin Moscoso who is averaging over 9 runs on a 14-12 over record, on a low 63%K and 2.6 SO/BB ratio. All things point to an over even with strong pitching. The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi Cubs' last 6 games and 4 of it's last 6 with Oakland, while 12 of Oakland's last 18 have gone over and 11 of their last 16 on the road. Chicago avg 4.6 runs while Oak 4, i see no issue with both getting to their averages and beyond with the umpire helping some.