Masters pre-tourney/in-tourney betting and discussion thread

[Wagerallsports]

Unreal.

Good for you what you mean lol

You going to ride it out?

 

[JDS]

Good for you what you mean lol

You going to ride it out?

Yeah I only saw it at +140 I want +200 or more for a possible 1 unit win.

 

[KVB]

Since I feel like this is a two man race, I will take Bryson @ +250 & look to possibly trade that position on Rory as a dog.

Bryson already flipped this thing.

Potential to trade out early here.

 

[Wagerallsports]

Yeah I only saw it at +140 I want +200 or more for a possible 1 unit win.

Agree… fingers crossed

 

[canuckg]

Big putt Rory

 

[Wagerallsports]

That didn’t last long

 

[KVB]

Yeah I only saw it at +140 I want +200 or more for a possible 1 unit win.

Don't get greedy or the trade could fall apart.

 

[Wagerallsports]

Confidence shift both sides

 

[KVB]

Yeah I only saw it at +140 I want +200 or more for a possible 1 unit win.

Don't get greedy or the trade could fall apart.

You might not get the chance again.

They could be done giving us that opportunity. We calculate that the chance has arleady come, and is now gone unless you can get it fery late in the day, which really means holding out for alow probability occurrence.

 

[canuckg]

Get in Rory! Got him +130 live

 

[JDS]

Don't get greedy or the trade could fall apart.

Still a lot of golf left, if Bryson is up one on the back nine I could get the price I want.

 

[KVB]

Still a lot of golf left, if Bryson is up one on the back nine I could get the price I want.

I don't think so.

In my opinion, the trade is over.

If I were you, I'd either hold the losing Bryson or get rory for whatever I could.

This is how my office sees it. In fact, our trades are done and I likely won't even be watching golf anymore today.

We see it as over as far as trading goes.

 

[KVB]

Get in Rory! Got him +130 live

Yeah, after that early double bogie, the script sure looks like it's destiny for Rory here.

 

[KVB]

Still a lot of golf left, if Bryson is up one on the back nine I could get the price I want.

I don't think so.

In my opinion, the trade is over.

If I were you, I'd either hold the losing Bryson or get rory for whatever I could.

This is how my office sees it. In fact, our trades are done and I likely won't even be watching golf anymore today.

We see it as over as far as trading goes.

I just want to be clear on our opinion here of the trade.

It's our feeling that if Rory does go back to a dog, a tradeable dog, that he isn't going to win. Making the cover trade on Rory a losing bet. If the situation does occur, hopefully it's just Bryson trying to win, and not another golfer down the list.

 

[JDS]

I just want to be clear on our opinion here of the trade.

It's our feeling that if Rory does go back to a dog, a tradeable dog, that he isn't going to win. Making the cover trade on Rory a losing bet. If the situation does occur, hopefully it's just Bryson trying to win, and not another golfer down the list.

Aberg in the mix here, may just hold my position.

 

[KVB]

Aberg in the mix here, may just hold my position.

Yeah, I made basically the same trade as you did for this round but I had my finger on he trigger the moment Rory doubled the first hole.

Rory eatin g shit within the first 2 or 3 holes was one of the scenarios we had gamed out. And the back end of that scenario shows Rory winning it all if he could overcome that early mishap.

It sure looks like that's what happened here.

Anything can still happen, there is a lot of golf left and the scenarios we game out that look right early on could be equivalent to me leading early, which I don't like.

But in the end, it sure feels like it's Rory's destiny this time. Might be why he gets a few stroke lead, as insurance down the stretch and to keep him priced too high to benefit LIVE.

 

[JDS]

Yeah, I made basically the same trade as you did for this round but I had my finger on he trigger the moment Rory doubled the first hole.

Rory eatin g shit within the first 2 or 3 holes was one of the scenarios we had gamed out. And the back end of that scenario shows Rory winning it all if he could overcome that early mishap.

It sure looks like that's what happened here.

Anything can still happen, there is a lot of golf left and the scenarios we game out that look right early on could be equivalent to me leading early, which I don't like.

But in the end, it sure feels like it's Rory's destiny this time. Might be why he gets a few stroke lead, as insurance down the stretch and to keep him priced too high to benefit LIVE.

What price did you get Rory ? Didn’t even know you were betting The Masters tbh.

 

[jjgold]

Let’s go Rory

 

[KVB]

What price did you get Rory ? Didn’t even know you were betting today tbh.

+130 and +120.

I hit it when both Bryson and Rory were about the same price, flip flopping between +120 and +130.

Never even had a shot at Rory +140.

Things moved pretty quick and I had to accept the number I coudl get at that point.

 

[KVB]

Anything can still happen, there is a lot of golf left and the scenarios we game out that look right early on could be equivalent to me leading early, which I don't like.

But in the end, it sure feels like it's Rory's destiny this time. Might be why he gets a few stroke lead, as insurance down the stretch and to keep him priced too high to benefit LIVE.

@JDS there was a time, based on what we game out, that I would even pick up Rory at -300 or so right now, but I just don't do that anymore, at least not often.

One of the reasons I want to avoid watching it, lol. I would be tempted to buy Rory on the dips.

Did that Mickelson a few years back at SBR, and hit so many times. He ended up winning.

Feel like that's the path Rory will take so buying hijm LIVE on the dip not a bad look.

I'm passing on that today, though. Just not going to let Rory collapse make me feel like a dumbshit, lol.