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March Madness Betting 2025🏀

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Wagerallsports

Wagerallsports

Joined
Mar 6, 2018
Messages
60,705

Michigan State Basketball Best Bets Today:​

  • Michigan State has hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 36 games (+19.80 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Michigan State have covered the Spread in 23 of their last 29 games (+16.40 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Michigan State has hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 32 games (+13.10 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Michigan State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.00 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Michigan State has hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 29 games (+2.05 Units / 6% ROI)

Auburn Basketball Best Bets Today:​

  • Auburn has hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 36 games (+18.65 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Auburn has hit the 1H Moneyline in 27 of their last 34 games (+6.60 Units / 0% ROI)
  • Auburn has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 33 games (+5.65 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Auburn has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.85 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Auburn has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.55 Units / 25% ROI)

Michigan State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)​

Michigan State has a 26-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (+15 Units / 37.93% ROI).

  • 30-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +19.8 Units / 2.44% ROI
  • 11-25 when betting the Over for -16.6 Units / -41.81% ROI
  • 25-11 when betting the Under for +12.9 Units / 32.66% ROI

Auburn Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)​

Auburn has a 19-16 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.3 Units / 3.27% ROI).

  • 31-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +18.65 Units / 1.28% ROI
  • 21-15 when betting the Over for +4.45 Units / 11.24% ROI
  • 15-21 when betting the Under for -8.15 Units / -20.58% ROI
 

Wagerallsports

Wagerallsports

Joined
Mar 6, 2018
Messages
60,705

Tennessee Basketball Best Bets Today:​

  • Tennessee has hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 38 games (+13.15 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 38 games (+4.85 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 38 games (+4.40 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 38 games (+0.70 Units / 2% ROI)

Houston Basketball Best Bets Today:​

  • Houston has hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 30 games (+23.90 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Houston has hit the 1H Moneyline in 30 of their last 37 games (+11.60 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Houston has hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games (+6.75 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Houston has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.75 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Houston has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.85 Units / 41% ROI)

Tennessee Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)​

Tennessee has a 19-18 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.9 Units / -2.2% ROI).

  • 29-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.15 Units / 0.85% ROI
  • 16-21 when betting the Over for -7.15 Units / -17.55% ROI
  • 21-16 when betting the Under for +3.4 Units / 8.36% ROI

Houston Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)​

Houston has a 20-16 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.3 Units / 5.64% ROI).

  • 33-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.15 Units / 0.06% ROI
  • 14-22 when betting the Over for -10.3 Units / -25.21% ROI
  • 22-14 when betting the Under for +6.65 Units / 16.4% ROI
 

Wagerallsports

Wagerallsports

Joined
Mar 6, 2018
Messages
60,705

‘Cinderella never showed up’: Bettors bury books in Elite Eight​

LV REVIEW JOURNAL SUBSCRIPTION

The betting public loves to play favorites, and that strategy has paid off in a big way in the NCAA Tournament.

Favorites won all 12 games in the Sweet 16 and Elite Eight over the weekend after winning 36 of 48 games in the first two rounds to help bettors cash countless favorite money-line parlays.

“They just keep hitting them,” South Point sportsbook director Chris Andrews said. “There’s nothing we can do about it.”

Sportsbooks will have to wait until next year for a major upset in March Madness. All four No. 1 seeds have advanced to the Final Four for the first time since 2008 and only the second time since the NCAA Tournament expanded to 64 teams in 1985.

“Cinderella just never showed up at the ball this year,” Red Rock Resort sportsbook director Chuck Esposito said. “We never saw her.”

Duke is a consensus 4½-point favorite over Houston in the national semifinals Saturday night at the Alamodome in San Antonio. Florida is a 2½-point favorite over Auburn in the other Final Four matchup.

“Obviously, Houston and Auburn can beat anybody. It’s no slam dunk,” Andrews said. “But I think Duke and Florida are well-deserved favorites.”

Favorites went 3-1 against the spread in the Elite Eight to improve to 33-27 ATS in the tournament. Duke (-7½, beat Alabama 85-65) covered Saturday and Houston (-3, beat Tennessee 69-50) and Auburn (-5, beat Michigan State 70-64) covered Sunday.

“It’s been really chalky the whole tournament,” Esposito said. “We were still looking for that big money-line ‘dog to win that we just didn’t get Thursday, Friday, Saturday or Sunday. Overall, it was a pretty good weekend for the guests.”

Gator growl

Texas Tech appeared on the verge of knocking off the Gators on Saturday as a 7½-point underdog. The Red Raiders led 75-66 with less than three minutes left before Florida hit four straight 3-pointers. The Gators closed the game on an 18-4 run to escape with an 84-79 victory.

“It would’ve been a monster (had Texas Tech won),” Esposito said. “Texas Tech led 90 percent of that game and just couldn’t win. We kind of saw the same movie over the course of the entire tournament, where you had the underdog winning the game outright going into the final five minutes. Then they kind of fell apart and didn’t have the horses.

“It’s different than what we’ve seen in the past. It’s not that same parity overall.”

The Red Raiders were fortunate to be in the Elite Eight. They stormed back from 13 points down with less than five minutes left Thursday in an 85-83 overtime win over Arkansas.

Back-door cover

Ole Miss bettors were covering the entire game as 3½-point underdogs to Michigan State on Friday until the final minute. Crowds at the books roared when guard Tre Holloman made two free throws to give the popular Spartans a 73-67 lead with four seconds left. But it wasn’t over.

Rebels backers exploded out of their seats when guard Matthew Murrell made an improbable 3-pointer as time expired for a back-door cover for the ages.

“That Ole Miss buzzer beater was huge,” Esposito said. “That was arguably one of the ugliest 3-point shots that I’ve ever seen, the way it fell in after hitting the back of the rim and the backboard at the same time.

“I turned my head for a minute and heard the ‘Aw’ of the crowd in the book, looked back and saw the ball rolling through the hoop. It kind of saved the day getting the Ole Miss cover there, and some of the games staying under have helped as well. But overall, it’s been a pretty good tournament for the guests.”

Unders stand

Unders went 7-1 on Friday, Saturday and Sunday and are 34-25-1 overall in the tournament.

Houston escaped with a 62-60 win over Purdue on Friday and bettors who had under 134½ in the game also escaped what would have been a likely loss in overtime.

The game appeared headed for overtime after forward Camden Heide tied it at 60-all for the Boilermakers with 35 seconds left. The Cougars then missed two shots before getting a chance to inbound the ball under the Purdue basket with two seconds left.

But Houston won it in regulation when guard Milos Uzan, a Desert Pines product, passed the ball to forward Joseph Tugler. Tugler threw a bounce pass right back to Uzan, who soared to the rim for an uncontested layup with 0.9 seconds left.

The Houston-Duke total is 136 and Florida-Auburn is 161.

Duke is the even-money favorite at Circa Sports to win it all. Florida is the +270 second choice, Houston is 4-1 and Auburn is +525.

Last Man Standing

Only five entries remain from a starting field of 3,147 in Station Casinos’ Last Man Standing contest. The winner-take-all prize for the $25-entry contest is $63,550.
 
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