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Making sport betting as a hobby

jamesy2422

jamesy2422

Joined
Jun 1, 2025
Messages
2,803
video games do not accurately portray real sports or it would be easy to simulate madden each week and win big.

you have to start watching a sport and develop your model as you watch and see the stats you feel have value. try one sport first. watch and learn the game. see how the spread is calculated.

even with all the above, either A wins or B wins. flip a coin.
 

JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
58,173
You can win by consistently finding bets where the bookmaker’s price is wrong relative to the true probability and then betting the right amount for your bankroll. That’s really all it is. Figure that out and you’ll be a winner long term.
 

europro

europro

Joined
Mar 28, 2025
Messages
3,373
Hi,I want to join the sport betting activity because my folks divorced and they didn't give me anything to enjoy in life.My father always beated me and never cared about me and I can barrely live day after day.
I am very good at math,I even studied precalculus and calculus but I don't know how to start.Do you use football managers?How do you find out about teams,skills and stuff?
How much math do I need?
Is it a normal idea if I had suffered from depression and alcoholic problems?
good way to numb yourself . youve come to the right place. it beats alcohol/drugs id say if u can keep the monetary part under control and know what youre doing.
 

europro

europro

Joined
Mar 28, 2025
Messages
3,373
As a simulator for football can I use a football manager video game?
I am really clueless how to start but I do know that You need to learn how each member of the team plays in the field,their stats.
I am really sorry, If You think I offended you with my thread .
I live in Europe,Romania If You wanted to find my homeplace!
just fade this guy, whatever i play and youll make a lot of money bud.
hes lost everything in life. in the hole probably 800k or more.


his records in every sports last 3 months ive been keeping track:

Nfl 18-37

NBA 4-2

ncaaf 11-28

Mlb 9-11

CBB 7-9
 
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kaiovio

kaiovio

Joined
Nov 28, 2025
Messages
13
To start this hobby do you need to know how each player has an increased attack stats?I've remember there were cards with stats of each player in soccer but I don't know if this helps!
I know that in soccer you need to focus on strikers!
Can someone give me a guide?
Is it about the stamina of each player?
I've used a video game simulator and that app offered me a list of stats of each player!
Sorry for asking dumb questions but I'm really clueless!
 

djefferis

djefferis

Joined
Jan 8, 2024
Messages
4,334
As mentioned - your are talking about the most popular sport in the world. Given human nature - everyone wants to back the winner - and they will overpay for pleasure.

Simplify your approach and just simply bet what everyone else isn’t. Look at the bet trackers that show what majority of bets are on - then bet opposite.

In general - take under totals and +1 goal games on then handicap or draw in the 3 way lines. Speaking as someone who enjoys betting soccer in the USA - but knows shit about the sport or players - it’s been a winning strategy overall. This of course assumes 100s of matches - short term anything can and will happen in soccer.
 

djefferis

djefferis

Joined
Jan 8, 2024
Messages
4,334
Also - you mentioned knowing the strengths of each player and seeking advantages.

That’s a great skill to have - as a coach. As a sports bettor it’s generally a useless skill for betting on TEAMS. Yes - it can be useful to bet props to an extent - but props are also amongst the most closely monitored bets offered and much lower limits - want to get profiled by a shop fast and limited/shut down - hit a few props at max bet in a row.

There’s a reason squads have training staffs of dozens (or more) coaches. It’s because the ability to assess and scout talent and opposig teams is something a lot of people have. The ability to consistently pick winners and manage a bankroll - that’s a trickier skill set. If you’re good at evaluation - start coaching youth sports and grow your reputation. Plenty of money to be made managing top level talent once you get there.

The ability to become a winning bettor is something some people are just born with. Can it be taught - yes. But the lessons are failures and failure in this business is expensive. As mentioned - follow posters who are successful, emulate their actions and read 5x what you post. You can even learn lessons from JJ here - if you pan through the garbage.
 
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