Majors - 2024

[cellulark]

Alcaraz already backing out of opening tournament in Australia, so potentially no prep matches before Aussie Open

my only issue is that Alcaraz isn't 35 years old and playing on tour forever. YES he's ranked #2 but he shouldn't be playing less tennis




ATP and WTA all expressing frustration with the different tennis balls at different tournaments. Many injuries due to this

re: Alcaraz - what if he's planning to be in top shape and win majors until mid-40s and? Maybe he's playing it strategically, then I'd understand skipping tournaments often, doing what Federer did last 2-3 years before retiring.

But in all honesty, Alcaraz is just probably hurt. Which sucks.

 

[cellulark]

Djokovic wins at least 2

This is what they said about Federer... Until they didn't.

Djokovic could be ready to move on to showbiz and coaching IMHO

 

[jjgold]

re: Alcaraz - what if he's planning to be in top shape and win majors until mid-40s and? Maybe he's playing it strategically, then I'd understand skipping tournaments often, doing what Federer did last 2-3 years before retiring.

But in all honesty, Alcaraz is just probably hurt. Which sucks.

no new gen guys will go past 32 or so

Why???? Zero motivation and too much money

Its a different time now all sports women and men

 

[healthnjoy]

Djokovic still EVENs vs the field

Nadal just +1000!

 

[jjgold]

I will try Rune
Aussie
Us Open
French

 

[cellulark]

So much for Nadal futures. He should just play 2-3 tournaments a year, all on clay.

 

[harrycreek56.terry]

Current prices from @Bet365

-106 +225 +175 +125 Novak
+300 +150 +150 +162 Alcaraz
+600 +1000 +1000 +1000 Sinner
+800 +1000 +1200 +700 Evil Russian
+2000 +400 +1400 +1400 Rafa

I couldn't find any other prices at this time. BOL doesn't have any.

It's curious to me that Rafa is a lot more 'likely' to win in New York than Melbourne. And Sinner - the other way around. And Medvedev's chances are identical for either first or last Slam of 2024.

Opinions? I know I'm taking Alcaraz to win every single one of them.

Gotta be Sinner for value at those prices. Although my record at tennis betting is weak at best

 

[qurious$]

Current prices from @Bet365

-106 +225 +175 +125 Novak
+300 +150 +150 +162 Alcaraz
+600 +1000 +1000 +1000 Sinner
+800 +1000 +1200 +700 Evil Russian
+2000 +400 +1400 +1400 Rafa

I couldn't find any other prices at this time. BOL doesn't have any.

It's curious to me that Rafa is a lot more 'likely' to win in New York than Melbourne. And Sinner - the other way around. And Medvedev's chances are identical for either first or last Slam of 2024.

Opinions? I know I'm taking Alcaraz to win every single one of them.

+600 +1000 +1000 +1000 Sinner

is now +450 +333 +350.............wow

 

[mralar16]

Gotta be Sinner for value at those prices. Although my record at tennis betting is weak at best

Imagine parlaying the four majors and sitting on a 900/1 ticket? Sinner for Grand Slam, $100 to win $938,000 or so?

 

[cellulark]

A month later...

+225 +175 +125 Novak
+150 +150 +162 Alcaraz
+450 +333 +1000 Sinner
+1100 +1200 +700 Evil Russian
+400 +1400 +1400 Rafa

Sinner futures are the hot commodity. Nothing else really moved.

I don't think Sinner is ready to win just anywhere and anytime, as witnessed by what Medvedev was able to do in the AO final.

If anything, Medvedev's price should have gone down (not up!) for the French Open.

Thoughts?

 

[samsncharge99]

Med hates clay court. Sure he won a masters 1000 last year, but overall Med vs clay is not a fun match up

 

[jjgold]

I don’t know if Joker will ever win a major again he’s definitely did not have a good tournament, and he has shown some signs of age finally

 

[samsncharge99]

Cazaux -127
Llamas Ruiz +5 games (-125)

 

[cellulark]

Dec 19 to April 27... I think someone at bet365 gets fired if Sinners wins a Grand Slam. They must be carrying a biiig liability on him.

-106 225/250 175/175 125/150 Novak
+300 150/162 150/162 162/162 Alcaraz
+600 1000/300 1000/300 1000/275 Sinner
+800 1000/1600 1200/1600 700/700 Evil Russian
+2000 400/900 1400/1600 1400/1400 Rafa

 

[cellulark]

By tournament:

Rolland Garros: 162/250/300/900/1600
Wimbledon: 162/175/300/1600/1600
Alcaraz/Novak/Sinner/Rafa/Evil Russian

U.S. Open: 150/162/275/700/1400
Novak/Alcaraz/Sinner/Evil Russian/Rafa

 

[cellulark]

I'll probably bet Djokovic with these prices, going forward. He should take one major.

 

[cellulark]

In the WTA, prices are almost identical for Madrid and Paris:

evens SWIATEK
+600 to +700 range: Sabalenka, Rybakina, Gauff

 

[jjgold]

Swiatek should lose not dominate anymore
Way over priced

 

[cellulark]

Price changes in the final month pre-Roland Garros (bet365 only)

April 27 (and May 25):

275 (162) alcaraz
350 (250) djokovic
450 (300) sinner
2000 (1600) nadal
2500 (1600) medvedev

 

[cellulark]

In the WTA, prices are almost identical for Madrid and Paris:

evens SWIATEK
+600 to +700 range: Sabalenka, Rybakina, Gauff

Remember when Iga Swiatek was in the -110 -105 range to win Roland Garros? She's very likely to have more 6-0 sets than lose sets in the tournament!

Sabalenka odds dropped to +450, Gauff and Rybakina are +800+1000