I think many also need to recognize something we see in my office. It's one of the reasons I call for fading Team USA on the spread, even though that could get complicated now. We'd rather see them winning big now, to be overrated and over confident during the games.
Instead, they might be underrated and motivated to perform at the same time, something I mentioned early as the worst case scenario for Team USA spread faders.
Anyway, what we see in my office is the effect of FIBA rules in basketball and the continuity that some international teams will have, that Team USA simply won't.
This matters.