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KVB what is the book thinking?

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stormtrooper8

stormtrooper8

Joined
May 30, 2022
Messages
12,731
F
Alright, maybe I'm coming down too hard.

Look, I'll just take you to the beginning, and leave it there.

If you didn't buy a ticket at that line, or know somebody who did that got paid there, then you don't even know if it traded there.

But even if it did trade there, it was likely run up. There were clients who wanted the favorite and likely paid a heavy spread price for it.

Are you understanding it yet? Are you getting it?

THE BOOK MAY HAVE BEEN RESPONDING TO ACTION THEY WERE WILLING TO TAKE.

Read the all caps sentence again. Now if you think the action they were willing to take, not all, just what I am referring to, is action on the dog, then you need to rethink what happened here. After all, the books are responding to action that they were willing to take in. That response was a rise in the favorite's spread.

That means, before responding, they had to take action on the favorite. Right?

Something had to stop the rise in the line. That would be a bet on the dog. A bet you seem to think will break the bank because, for some reason, you want to ignore all the bets that led that line to rise.

Strange, but your behavior is born out of ignorance to what the point spread is for, and thus why it might move.
Fatty is holding $1000 worth of NFC West futures for me

Should I be worried?
 

MinnesotaFats

MinnesotaFats

Joined
Nov 1, 2021
Messages
3,975
The rationale for posting a 2 score spread along side a 1.5 pt total difference is absolutely ridiculous. To 'even out' action w a plus 31 😆 🤣 you're just going to get middle by every square. To post a live o/u that need only a FG to hit w an entire quarter left is also bizzare.

I'm not clueless, those lines should have been +23.5 and 56.5. Even the novice odds maker would stick to that plus or minus a point.
 

BigJay

BigJay

Joined
Oct 28, 2021
Messages
15,017
The rationale for posting a 2 score spread
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KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
14,554
The rationale for posting a 2 score spread along side a 1.5 pt total difference is absolutely ridiculous. To 'even out' action w a plus 31 😆 🤣 you're just going to get middle by every square. To post a live o/u that need only a FG to hit w an entire quarter left is also bizzare.

I'm not clueless, those lines should have been +23.5 and 56.5. Even the novice odds maker would stick to that plus or minus a point.

No, you are clueless.

But go ahead, keep talking.

lol
 
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